CPantherKing

QBs in the top 10 historically do not win SB championships for the team that drafted them. You can hope for your Bradshaw, Manning or Aikman, but you'll have more return with a Brady, Wilson, Foles, Rodgers, Roethlisberger, Warner, Johnson, Favre, Brees, Montana, Unitas, or Staubach. 1965, 1967, 1970, 1979, 1982, 1983, 1989, 1998, 2004, and 2017 are the 10 drafts that produced a top 10 SB winning QB for the team that drafted them/traded for them on draft day. 2 - 3 - 9 - 3 - 1 - 6 - 11 - 6 - 13 [the year spread between top 10 QBs] Considering the Mannings are of the same family, you have large gaps in between a top 10 QB who is immediate championship level. We had to wait 11 seasons for the Mannings and then another 13 seasons for Mahomes. The impact of top 10 QBs have been a rare find over the past 3 decades thanks to free agency and rookies only having 3 to 4 years to prove themselves for a new contract since 2011. I expect the next top 10 QB to win a championship for the team that drafts him to be Arch Manning in the 2027 draft (10 seasons after Mahomes) and then we may not see another until 2040. Reality hurts. Stop drafting QBs in the 1st round and you will have a better chance of championship success.

You don't acquire a QB with hindsight or going off their ranking coming out of college based on traditional scouting methods. This has proven itself more wrong than right time and time again. Over the past 23 seasons there have been 8 1st round QBs and 6 non-1st round QBs who have won the SB. There is a consistent near 50/50 split when it comes to historical top franchise QBs and successful franchise QBs among all NFL teams. The draft capital spent on these 1st round SB winning QBs totals 14,790 points. Non-1st round SB winning QBs total 967 points. Only 3 of these QBs were #1 picks and 2 of them were named Manning. Investing in a 1st round QB is costly and it does not give a team an advantage of winning the SB. Approaching the acquisition of a franchise QB is much like investing in companies. You want to hit more than you miss, and learning on what not to invest in is more important than investing in the QBs everyone is talking about. You will pass on some good QBs, but you will not collect the failed QBs. I've been working with data analytics since I was a kid and have since made a career out of it. I loved using data analytics on players in the NFL. There is more to it, but if you follow these simple rules, you will hit on many QBs capable of taking your team to the SB. QBs must have GWD success in college (this will not get better in the NFL), QB has a hero mentality regarding their offense (think firefighter), demonstrates champion leadership ability in HS and college, QB has a sigma personality, and QB has professional sports pedigree. If a QB hits on all 5, you draft them #1 since they are a pedigree franchise QB. If they hit on 4 of 5, they are rare and get drafted if they fall to the late first round. If they hit on 3 of 5, they are a hidden gem that can be developed quickly on the NFL level - draft them in the 3rd to 5th round. If they hit on 2 of 5, they are a top franchise back up QB. If they hit on GWD only, they are a potential project and you sign them as a UDFA to run the scout team and prove they are worth a 3rd QB spot on the roster. The rest of the standard measurables can be easily scouted and coached. You will also need to be patient with this because it means you will have to eliminate an entire pool of QB draftees for a given year. I have never had more than 4 QBs qualify in a single draft class. Most draft classes will not produce a single QB based on this criteria. You will go multiple drafts without a QB, and will need to spot the players who other teams have missed to fill out your teams roster. Only 3 draft classes have produced multiple QBs worth drafting based on the positions they were drafted since 1995. Since 1995, the only drafts a QB would be added to the roster from the draft pool using this criteria would be 1998, 2000, 2001, 2002, 2005, 2008, 2011, 2012, 2014, 2017, and 2022. Other strategy's will work too. This one I use will allow you to hit on 4 of every 5 QBs your team will add from a given draft class.

Jimmy G and CMC are a Playoff/SB winning backfield. That backfield is going to rack up the GWD. The Panthers could of had them. This front office keeps getting it wrong.

They can't consistently produce GWD and will choke in the clutch, in big games, and the playoffs more often than not. They look good and pass the 1st round test though. Just not good when it comes to GWD.

Jimmy G is the GWD king I'd rather have a QB who does not look perfect and makes minor mistakes in the game, but can rack up the GWD. Too many of you want the Phillip Rivers, Justin Fields, Mac Jones, or Cam Newton type QB. Couple a RB like CMC with a QB like Jimmy G and you will have the best GWD backfield in the NFL

Not pure luck. Good coaches can take 3rd round QBs, 6th round QBs, undrafted QBs, and turn them into Championship/HoF QBs on the regular. They have written books about it and have taught future NFL coaches how to do it too.

And Stephen Davis needed an athletic pass catching RB like DeShaun Foster to complete the running game. With CMC gone, the Panthers need to find a top pass catching scat back to make them respectable for the playoffs. They are using WRs, but that is easier for defenses to read. They know Shenault isn't going between the tackles. Currently the Panthers are trying to use Shenault, Hubbard, and Blackshear to cover for this major weakness on offense.

I'm blaming it on the DL. Burns, Brown, Ioannidis and YGM. They make up one of the worst DLs in the NFL against the run. Teams love to target Burns and Brown with the running game when they are next to each other. Here's a taste. Let me know if you want more. Don't watch if you don't want to know the truth. Keep your eye on 95 before they pull him from the game. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a7CrxOAxZac Every Mixon run

31st in allowing rushing 1st downs. 30th in allowing rushing yards. Tied for dead last in fumbles lost. Tied for 29th in allowing rushing TDs. He was moved to NT because he sucked at 3 tech. Teams still run right at Brown and Burns as their main game plan. Result is 7 wins and 3 losses. Would you want to be called the DL rock of that defense? I'd imagine you'd be aiming to get replaced. He makes some hero plays. He had a good game in a win against one of the worst team in the NFL. He is run at all the time and teams win more than they lose. Teams give him plenty of opportunities to pad those stats because they know he makes a lot of mistakes and missed tackles while tiring out quickly and giving up on plays when he is beat. He seemingly played a full game without being lazy and giving up against the Falcons. The result was a win. Someone got on him and he was motivated. Let's see him stay motivated and stop the running game like a SB contending NT can do week in and week out. Let's see offenses give up on game planning to run up the middle on him. This DL is horrible against the run and can barely tackle. They are built to be a speed rush college DL. If all they had to do was pressure and rush the passer, this D would be #1. Too bad teams can screen pass and run on them easily.

Called it before the season. Continue to be right while I watch multimillionaire coaches and GMs get it wrong. CMC would be destroying with Bozeman at C instead of Elf. Move Ickey to the interior and this OL is the best in the NFL.

Falco s just attacked Brown and Burns on that drive. Took advantage of them going hero mode and overplaying. Not taking care of team responsibility

Panthers going tank mode

Shoulder to head on defenseless is also part of rule

Move Horn to FS and Chinn to SS

Shenault has much more big play ability than DJ. He sees the field and uses blocks so much better while being where he is suppose to be for the QB. If we had Shenaults playmaking ability, fight, and power with DJs speed, talent and athleticism we would have an ultimate #1 WR. Could Shenault be the Jerry Rice to DJs John Taylor?

Bozeman is killing it with the OL calls and identifying the defense

You can watch it on Twitch for free. AmazonPrime has a channel there.

Xavier has always had stone Hands. This was expected.

Shaq doing well

Falcons not respecting TEs They peeled off of Sullivan to go under DJ. Almost got PJ since Sullivam did not sell his defender. These TEs need to perform

Tremble not paying attention

McAdoo looks like he's been drinking

With the Wilks move I expect Tepper to push for Byron Leftwich as HC. Leftwich would keep Wilks on as DC and bring Clyde Christensen with him as OC. Smart move would be to keep a HC/GM connection which would point to Rob McCartney becoming the new GM of the Carolina Panthers. Rob McCartney comes from the Bucs and has ties to Leftwich, Tepper, and the Steelers. He has grown up around the Steelers since the age of 5 and has impacted the Bucs roster that led to the Bucs winning the SB. Christensen, Leftwich, and McCartney have shown an interest in Aqeel Glass, but lost out to GM Licht keeping his guy Trask in the 3rd QB spot behind Brady and Gabbert. You would have a HC/GM/OC/QB linked from the start. Doug Williams would be an interesting link too that could follow Leftwich as an advisor, and Williams has been big on Glass' NFL potential. All would have an inside look at the Bucs. I would expect Corral to still be in the mix as a Tepper pick with personal ties to Tepper too. I could also see Peyton Ramsey make a return if the Leftwich crew is the way Tepper goes.

Also, he has produced 9 GWD when the running game, coaching, and defense have lost control of the game. He accounts for being the major factor in 1 out of every 5 wins for the Ravens. His GWD% is 38% (this is what is expected from a good QB on a bad team). I believe he is worth the risk compared to going after a Darnold, Mayfield, or Watson. What concerns me is that his QB style is expected to be 9 seasons. Good pocket passers are 12 to 15 seasons. With 5 seasons under his belt, he is not a QB for a team rebuild. He is a plug and play QB for a team that has spent 2 to 3 seasons building a foundation for a QB. The Rams or 49ers would be good examples of a team that would benefit from a QB like Jackson. The Panthers do not have a contender foundation. They gave that up when they shipped off CMC and tossed out the Snow college speed D. There are no playmakers on offense and the defense will need a complete rebuild. The Panthers are set up with a good OL and some complimentary receivers with a few good defensive pieces for an NFL level defense. This team is better equipped to find a HC with NFL experience who has proven he can develop NFL QBs and go with a young QB to develop for his system in 2 seasons.

Burns is a pass specialist and not a complete NFL DE. He is a very good pass specialist. He was overrated in the draft coming out of college. At this point in his career, he does not appear to be getting any better against the run with his fundamentals. He is a playmaker for a championship team, but he is not a championship leader/captain. He has been pushed into roles as leader, run defense/containment and pass coverage. He is weak at these areas. He is best served as a pass specialist, playmaker, and role player. He is similar to Von Miller, but Von Miller at this late stage of his career is still better than Brian Burns. This is NOT hate. Burns has weaknesses and I believe a good coach would be honest about that to create a championship team. Burns, like CMC, are key pieces to a championship team imo, they are just not the foundational pieces you should build an offense or defense around.