Fascinating Article on Kicking - We Were 23rd In The League In FGs Converted Relative to Expected Points...

[TylerDurden]

...or something like that LOL.

http://settingedge.com/40pluskicks

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The data is clear: Field goal kicking is harder the further out you go. That’s not shocking. What that does mean is that a 50-yard field goal, with a success percentage of 56.67%, shouldn’t be treated the same as a field goal under 20 yards, with a success percentage of 100.00%. Disregarding the traditional “field goal percentage” numbers and moving toward a model that measures performance relative to “expected” numbers gives us a better look at which field goal percentages were simply just over inflated by low-difficulty attempts.

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Team	Total	<40	40+
Pittsburgh Steelers	-1.26	-2.92	1.66
Green Bay Packers	-1.27	-1.59	0.32
Carolina Panthers	-2.47	-2.81	0.34
Washington Redskins	-4.50	-1.18	-3.32
Los Angeles Chargers	-4.87	1.27	-6.14
Cleveland Browns	-5.55	2.41	-7.96
Chicago Bears	-5.74	-3.12	-2.62
Arizona Cardinals	-5.83	-3.59	-2.24
Cincinnati Bengals	-7.59	0.93	-8.52
Buffalo Bills	-7.69	2.13	-9.82

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Above are the numbers on NFL kicking games in 2016. Any positive number is earned points above expectations. Any negative number is lost points below expectations. The reason for the split of field goals of 40 yards or more and 39 yards or less is that when you look at the execution numbers, that is where you see by far the most variation league-wide.

 

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[Jeremy Igo]

When mods break the rules by posting entire articles. 

[TylerDurden]

Lol, sorry Jeremy, I didn't copy ALL of it, even though I was trying to trim the fat as I went, but the editor is screwing up on my phone, so I just erased the whole thing.  People will have to click the link lol.

[Nails]

Another good opportunity (no offense didn't read article one way or another yet) to say Gano obviously must go.

[TylerDurden]

A lot of talk about Gano and Butker...  So, bump for those who haven't seen it.  I probably picked the wrong day to share it considering the game and all, but it really is a great read and gives some serious perspective on our kicking situation.

[TylerDurden]

Bump for relevance.  The whole article shows how unreliable Gano is and later projects Butker to be successful in the pros based off of the same metrics.