How will this deep WR class impact the WR FA market?

[jarhead]

My uneducated guess is maybe they command less money

[rayzor]

they'll be expecting a lot, but settling for a lot less.

 

like every year, there will be one or two who get giant deals right out of the gate by dumb and desperate teams who could have waited a week or two and saved 3 or 4 mil/year and there will be one or two who get really big deals with their original teams, but then the rest will likely have to wait until after the draft unless they settle for very moderate and cap friendly contracts and/or one year deals just so they don't have to play and lose the waiting game.

 

this draft elass is going to keep prices pretty  low. i mean we're not going to be getting guys like golden tate or whatever for the vet min, but for about $3-4mil we could get a very talented WR.

 

one thing i see happening is teams facing what we are with smitty.  "cap challenged" teams will look at their WRs with big contracts and try to figure out if the guy they have on their roster could be replaced by one or two cheaper players found in FA or the draft. i think we'll be shocked to see a couple more really good WRs hitting the market that are cap casualties.

 

[jarhead]

they'll be expecting a lot, but settling for a lot less.

 

like every year, there will be one or two who get giant deals right out of the gate by dumb and desperate teams who could have waited a week or two and saved 3 or 4 mil/year and there will be one or two who get really big deals with their original teams, but then the rest will likely have to wait until after the draft unless they settle for very moderate and cap friendly contracts and/or one year deals just so they don't have to play and lose the waiting game.

 

this draft elass is going to keep prices pretty  low. i mean we're not going to be getting guys like golden tate or whatever for the vet min, but for about $3-4mil we could get a very talented WR.

 

one thing i see happening is teams facing what we are with smitty.  "cap challenged" teams will look at their WRs with big contracts and try to figure out if the guy they have on their roster could be replaced by one or two cheaper players found in FA or the draft. i think we'll be shocked to see a couple more really good WRs hitting the market that are cap casualties.

That is the way I see it. 

[EightyNine]

Economically speaking, you would think it could only hurt their value.

 

But I don't think it will make much of a difference because teams can't just assume they will get one of the WRs they want in the draft.  Having draft picks in general hurts the value of free agents, so I can't imagine they would have more of an impact this year than what it has been in past years.

[rayzor]

Economically speaking, you would think it could only hurt their value.

 

But I don't think it will make much of a difference because teams can't just assume they will get one of the WRs they want in the draft.  Having draft picks in general hurts the value of free agents, so I can't imagine they would have more of an impact this year than what it has been in past years.

i think the quantity of quality receivers in this draft can't help but influence the market more than it usually does.

 

in addition to that, while cap space has increased, there is still limited space in many teams and the FA market last year saw more players signing one year deals than is typical and those players will be hitting the market again. there's quite.  few things working against all FAs this year...but those players who are going to be affected most are those players who play a position that has a lot of talented players entering via the draft. i think that the top LT FAs will still be getting large contracts because they are such a rarity, but for RTs, OGs, DBs, WRs, and maybe even QBs will take more of a hit to their value this year.

[hepcat]

It depends on what the team is looking for.  If you want a known commodity and you're ready to make a Superbowl run (ahem...Panthers) you can go after a guy like Hakeem Nicks.  If you're willing to wait for a guy to develop, you draft a guy.  The deals the players get are merely the result of what teams are willing to spend.  Some players get lucky and get a huge deal because a team gets desperate, but I think more and more teams would rather risk a draft pick on a guy for cheap then to tie up a bunch of money in a guy who could get hurt or suck.

[jarhead]

With the trend to pay franchise qbs a crap  load of money all positions except left tackle and maybe elite pass rushers are trending down but with the glut of talent at WR in the draft this year is coming at a great time for us. Depending on what happens with Smitty we may be adding 4 or 5 guys easy.My guess would be we either re-sign Ginn or go after someone like Emanuel Sanders. 

[hepcat]

With the trend to pay franchise qbs a crap  load of money all positions except left tackle and maybe elite pass rushers are trending down but with the glut of talent at WR in the draft this year is coming at a great time for us. Depending on what happens with Smitty we may be adding 4 or 5 guys easy.My guess would be we either re-sign Ginn or go after someone like Emanuel Sanders. 

 

The Panthers REALLY need to re-sign Ted Ginn.  He's a very valuable role-player.  Especially given the rumors Steve Smith might be a cap-casualty.  

[jarhead]

The Panthers REALLY need to re-sign Ted Ginn.  He's a very valuable role-player.  Especially given the rumors Steve Smith might be a cap-casualty.  

 

 

Oh I agree I was just noting that Sanders is also a decent returner and receiver. 

 

 

[hepcat]

Oh I agree I was just noting that Sanders is also a decent returner and receiver. 

 

True but he'll probably cost a lot more.