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Everything posted by Peon Awesome
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Online culture skews overwhelmingly negative. People use the internet to offload their anger and disappointment because people don't want to hear that crap in real life. That being said, there are some people on here who are more frustrated than happy when the Panthers win, especially if Bryce has a good game. They would prefer Bryce play awful, we lose out and draft or sign a new QB, than Bryce leads us with good play to a division title and we pick up his 5th year extension. Why? They will say it's because they KNOW Bryce is incapable of being a good QB and say it's better long term for the Panthers to move on sooner than later. But the reality is that they've staked their ego so strongly to that opinion that they can't stomach being wrong. And if that is more important to you than the Panthers success, you're probably not a real fan. But I think there's only a few people like that. I do think most Bryce "haters" would happily eat crow and go buy a Bryce jersey if he starts averaging 300 yards per game
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It's especially impressive given his small frame. No one expected his body to hold up coming into the NFL and even after getting hit at an above average rate, he's barely missed any time. To not only shrug it off once again, but elevate his game and lead us on two clutch drives to win the game, you have to give massive props.
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I think Canales is still learning and growing as a coach. I mean he was only an offensive coordinator for 1 year and now a head coach for 1.5 years here. He's still green but I do think he is genuinely learning from his mistakes and making adjustments. Last week, I think he got complacent at Dowdle's run game dominance and our presumed talent level advantage over the Saints and called a super vanilla game that got exploited. And once it was clear we'd have to throw to win, the Saints could switch to a heavy pass rushing scheme and make Bryce uncomfortable on each dropback. This time Canales played on the offensive and realized teams are going to sell out to stop the run and he let Bryce air it out. Overall was a great gameplan.
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Did anyone think there was any chance that after week 11, the Panthers would have a better record than the Chiefs with a healthy Mahomes?
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Yeah I thought it looked out on the push off, but was it really clear and obvious for the overturn? I'm not sure about that
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The Atlanta Falcons came into the game as the #1 passing defense in the NFL. They held Josh Allen to 180 yards with 2 interceptions and an 18 QBR.
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Sure if you just blindly look at stats, you can pinpoint a couple areas that look similar. But come on man that's lazy analysis. Instead of throwing lower percentage throws, Dalton held onto the ball unconscionably long, leading to several of those sacks including that unthinkable one at the end of the first half, inflating his completion percentage. Bryce for all his flaws, does a pretty good job of escaping pressure and scrambling for 5 yards or throwing it away. Dalton's pocket presence was just so incredibly bad today, which led to both of his lost fumbles. If Bryce would just hold onto the ball and get sacked every 3rd play instead of throw it away or try a contested pass, his completion percentage would be 15 points higher than Dalton's today. And Bryce only had more yardage in 3 of 7 games? You mean when we played run heavy schemes in our wins, instead of Dalton being forced to throw all game cause we're getting blown out? Look anyone is more than justified in arguing Bryce Young doesn't have the tools to lead this team to a super bowl. But he has been head and shoulders better this year than what Dalton showed today. That was just an abysmal perfomance.
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ESPN's Barnwell Early Offseason Grades
Peon Awesome replied to kungfoodude's topic in Carolina Panthers
Yeah I think calling Mike Jackson's contract a miss isn't fair. $5 million for your starting outside corner is a bargain. You can't expect that kind of value signing to be a shutdown corner, especially when you've got Horn locking down the other side, basically forcing the opposing QB to preferentially pick on Jackson's side. I think the biggest question mark is Wharton, and admittedly he's been injured a lot so it's more of a TBD. But as solid as Bobby Brown and Ashawn Robinson have been filling in, it feels more like money that could've been better spent elsewhere. -
Speaking of revisiting trades: Brian Burns
Peon Awesome replied to Peon Awesome's topic in Carolina Panthers
That's a good point, but maybe a silver lining in this case of the Rams offer is that it was supposedly 1st rounders 2 and 3 years later. So hopefully we would've fired Fitterer before at least one of those -
Horn and Brown appreciation thread
Peon Awesome replied to WarPanthers89's topic in Carolina Panthers
I watched a segment showing the top 10 plays in the NFL this week and Horn's first INT was number 1. That would have been a hell of a catch for a wide receiver. Out-stretched, 1 handed, running at near full speed with momentum carrying him towards the back of the end zone. An unbelievable play. -
I watched the Giants game this week and Burns was a beast. 2 more sacks, currently leading the NFL with 9 for the year. We got a 2nd and 5th round pick, which essentially became Jonathon Brooks and Chau Smith Wade. Burns is getting paid about $28 million per year, while Micah Parsons just signed for $47 million per year. Our pass rush seems to be our biggest weakness right now, although our rookies are looking good and perhaps when all is said and done, we won't miss Burns too bad. But at the very least on paper, this definitely looks like a miss for us.
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Yeah the Jets are definitely better than their record suggests and the Panthers seem to play so much worse on the road than at home. I'm definitely not going into the game overconfident. Hopefully with the way our run defense has been, we can clamp down their offense and put ourselves in good position for the win. I think it'll boil down to whether we beat ourselves. < 2 turnovers = Panthers win
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How Bout Some Love to the Rookie kicker?!
Peon Awesome replied to Castavar's topic in Carolina Panthers
It was an overtime kick against their biggest competition in the division; for a regular season kick, how much bigger does it get? -
How Bout Some Love to the Rookie kicker?!
Peon Awesome replied to Castavar's topic in Carolina Panthers
I'm super happy with our kicker, but you actually have to give Pineiro credit this year. He's having a hell of a year so far. Hasn't missed a fg and made a 59 yard game winner last week to beat the Rams in overtime -
I would say most of Bryce's throws were catchable at least. He had very few that were just completely off the mark. Add back a couple of those that hit McMillian in the hands and his stat line would have looked more respectable.
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Great list. I was also impressed with Moehrig. Great tackling techique. Had the near sack/pressure on Penix, a tackle for loss, and got a 3rd down stop in the open field.
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We won, but Bryce and Canalas still blow
Peon Awesome replied to Panthers Fan 69's topic in Carolina Panthers
I think this is a bit disingenuous. Sure, they missed a 49 yard field goal to start, although I'd say that wouldn't have dramatically affected the game being up 3-0 especially since we played aggressive on the first drive regardless and marched up the field for a TD. Plus a 49 yarder isn't exactly a chip shot. The 2nd missed fg, I give 99% of the credit to the Panthers. They have a demoralizing turnover that gifts the Falcons the ball around the Panthers 30 yard line and then proceed to play unbelievably good defense to actually force negative yardage in 3 plays, setting up a much more challenging 55 yard field goal that is essentially a 50/50 prospect for all but the top few kickers in the league. That's not the Falcons bungling it; that's the Panthers asserting their dominance. The int td by Smith-Wade was an incredible break on the ball. It's not like Penix overthrew the receiver by 10 yards and it hit Smith-Wade in the chest. That was a hell of a play. The 2nd interception, it wasn't a good throw, but the receiver slipped and we were already up 20-0 at that point. So even if he just throws an incompletion, it doesn't dramatically change the game's complexion. And when you win 30-0, you think that happens when the opponent plays flawlessly? Of course you can point to Falcons mistakes. But it still takes a great performance to capitalize. To your later points about not letting Bryce air it out when the game was in hand, when would you suggest they had done that? Cause it was still a 3 score game into the early 4th quarter. You really think Canales should have assumed there was zero possibility a team can make 3 TDs in a full quarter with 3 TOs and the 2 minute warning? Yeah I think its fair to say it was over when we went up 27-0 with about 10 minutes left. But by the time we got the ball back, there was 8 minutes left in a 27-0 game. Every team in the NFL is playing safe run out the clock there. And even if Bryce gets a couple deep throws in against a demoralized Falcons defense that's not playing for anything but maybe pride at that point, you think you've learned a lot about Bryce's potential? I wouldn't. -
I'm pretty sure he's already making a strong case. He was 9th in the NFL in receiving yards coming into this week and has the most scrimmage yards of all rookies. Who is his competition right now?
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Yeah the field goals were great obviously, but I was especially impressed with the placement of the kickoffs. There were 2 that landed in the landing area and ended as touchbacks to the 20 yard line, and several others that were placed perfectly deep to give our coverage team the chance to make a stop and set up a long field. Special teams overall were fantastic but Fitzgerald is looking like an incredible find.
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That's where you really need a kicker who can kick it out of the back of the endzone. Could they just have purposely kicked it out of bounds and let Minnesota take it at the 40? Or could Minnesota force a rekick instead? If not I would've just kicked it out of bounds for sure.
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To add to the experts' analysis, Jordan Reid of ESPN was a big fan of the Panthers draft. Here's highlights of the article: Which team produced your favorite class? Reid: Carolina Panthers. Receiver, edge rusher and safety were their top needs entering the draft, and they addressed all of them in the first four rounds. Tetairoa McMillan was my highest-ranked receiver -- he gives Bryce Young a true WR1. Princely Umanmielen and Nic Scourton provide Carolina with two young edge rushers. Lathan Ransom is a hard-hitting safety who can produce on the back end and special teams. Jimmy Horn Jr. was one of my favorite late-round receivers and could stick on the roster as a return specialist. Make your early call for Offensive Rookie of the Yea Reid: Tetairoa McMillan, WR, Carolina Panthers. I'm a big believer in McMillan's fit with Bryce Young. McMillan's catch radius will instantly make him the go-to receiver for the Panthers. He also has the formational versatility to play multiple spots and can fill the role Mike Evans had in Dave Canales' offense in 2023, when Canales was the Buccaneers' offensive coordinator.
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I was very curious to see if we overpaid on either trade so I plugged all the numbers in the most commonly referenced draft value chart (https://www.drafttek.com/NFL-Trade-Value-Chart.asp). The numbers are below, but to summarize, both trades were very fair value. We overpaid the equivalent of pick 202 in our trade with Denver and actually got a slight value back with the Patriots equal to pick 210 but both of those are later 6th round picks. If you add them together, we overpaid by 3.2 points, or pick 219 which is the 3rd pick in the 7th round. Good to know we didn't do anything reckless. My work is below if you want to see the math. Trade 1 Outgoing value: 57 - 330 pts 74 - 220 pts 111 - 72 pts 230 - 1 pt Total: 623 pts Incoming value: 51 - 390 pts 85 - 165 pts 122 - 50 pts 208 - 7.8 pts Total: 612.8 pts Difference: Loss of 10.2 pts (equal to pick 202 in 6th round) Trade 2 Outgoing value: 85 - 165 pts 146 - 33 pts Total: 198 pts Incoming value: 77 - 205 pts Difference: Gain of 7 points (equivalent of pick 210 in 6th round) Total difference: 7 - 10.2 = loss of 3.2 points (equivalent of pick 219 in 7th round)
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114 + 146 is about equal to pick 99 on the draft value chart. If he's still there at that point, seems silly not to try to make that happen.
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I would've thought so too, but we gave up 10 extra points of value in our trade and Detroit gave up 11 points of value. So they ended up being pretty even. Dropping from 74 to 85 is a bigger drop in value based on the draft value chart than dropping from 130 to 230 (55 point difference vs 42 points).
