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Week 9 WIN agains the Packers - Stats & Analysis

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in Carolina Panthers

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Sporting News compares Cam & Aaron Rodgers:

http://www.sportingnews.com/nfl-news/4660558-cam-newton-nfc-best-quarterback-aaron-rodgers-panthers-packers?eadid=SOC%2FTwi%2FSNMain

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Newton (15 of 30, 297 yards passing, three TDs, INT, 122.3 rating, 59 yards rushing) didn’t just have better overall statistics than Rodgers (25 of 48, 369 yards passing, 4 TDs, INT, 96.6 rating, 22 yards rushing) on Sunday, but he arrived at them in similar fashion.

Like Rodgers, Newton used his mobility to elude the pass rush to extend plays — Clay Matthews, Julius Peppers and Green Bay’s defense were unable to sack him. Like Rodgers, he showed off his laser right arm and great accuracy with the deep ball.

Newton’s shots to wide receivers Jerricho Cotchery (59 yards), rookie Devin Funchess (52 yards) and Corey Brown (39 yards, TD) in the first half had Rodgers chasing to match in the second half. Newton's chunk runs set the tone on the first drive of the game, keeping the Packers' scrambling to contain him.

"He put us in a lot of good plays early on.” Panthers coach Ron Rivera said. “The first two quarters we got some really good looks. He was able to put us where he needed to be and he had a really good touch on the ball."

What’s scary: Even given how elite Rodgers has been as the unquestioned best QB in the league, Sunday was a reminder that Newton has a higher ceiling.

 

 

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Also at Sporting News, a nice analysis of Star & KK's role in our defense.  They call our defense "stingy" - not so sure that's accurate this year, and KK is not exactly an "unsung hero" this year, but still it's a good piece - particularly in how veterans like Tillman and Allen assess their play and potential.

http://www.sportingnews.com/nfl-news/4660564-kawann-short-star-lotulelei-panthers-defensive-lineman-packers?eadid=SOC/Twi/SNMain

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Both Short and Star Lotulelei, the Panthers'  other stout starting tackle, have been the unsung heroes of Carolina's defense this season. The third-year players combined for eight tackles (three for a loss) and two sacks on Sunday.

"They push the pocket, they’re able to get outside and move in open space,” Ealy said. “You seen Star run down guys, you see KK get (pass breakups) and pass-rush production against the quarterbacks. They're unstoppable, period, and we're unstoppable as a unit."

Safety Roman Harper said that when the line rushes the passer well, things get easier for the secondary. Cornerback Charles Tillman also weighed in on the defensive line’s production while talking about Rodgers' mobility.

"He does a really good job of buying time for his receivers,” Tillman said of Rodgers, whom he has faced more than a dozen times dating back to the corner's days in Chicago. "A guy covering six, seven seconds, that’s a lot for a DB. But again, our D-line was able to get a lot of sacks today, a lot of quarterback hits."

Rodgers was sacked five times, the most since Week 17 of 2012. That year, Green Bay gave up the most sacks in the league. Coming into Sunday, Rodgers had been sacked only 14 times over 7 games.

Defensive end Jared Allen, who played with two great interior linemen in Pat and Kevin Williams while in Minnesota, likes what he sees from his new teammates.

"As far as being dominant in the middle, they compare that way," Allen said. "If they stay consistent, that's the difference between being good and being great. They're coming into their own, they're understanding the game well and their ceiling is as high as they want to push themselves."

 

 

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Ok, this isn't really "game analysis" but I was just reviewing some Tweets Darin Gantt of PFT sent out yesterday.  He had some gems.  I don't know of another thread to post 'em in, so I'll stick them here.  Great sense of humor.

 

After Olsen's awesome one-handed catch:

Greg Olsen should donate the other hand that he clearly doesn’t need to Ted Ginn.

 

About the Packers D in the 2nd quarter:

Packers defense playing like Dom Capers is trying to get fired in Charlotte again.

 

On the bad weather:

What if Charlotte’s trade-off for an undefeated football team is crappy weather? Are you still good with that?

 

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Bill Voth has compiled a great collection of quotes from a number of articles about yesterday's wins.

http://blackandbluereview.com/what-theyre-saying-about-the-panthers-mon-nov-9/

What They’re Saying About the Panthers: Mon., Nov. 9

November 9, 2015Bill Voth

Mike Freeman, Bleacher Report:

These Panthers are great. These Panthers are imperfect. In that way, they are exactly like their quarterback, and their quarterback is like them. But most of all, they are 8-0. And I don't think they'll be beaten anytime soon, because Newton is now the most dominant all-around weapon in the NFL.

READ IT 

Vinnie Iyer, Sporting News:

What’s scary: Even given how elite Rodgers has been as the unquestioned best QB in the league, Sunday was a reminder that Newton has a higher ceiling.

READ IT 

John Clayton, ESPN:

In the pocket. Deep passing. Control of the offense. The balance of run and pass. Newton is improving as he takes on more and more. The numbers don't always show it, but Newton and the Panthers are No. 1 in the NFC, and Newton is responsible for more than ever, a balance Carolina can live with, even if Cam's critics can't.

READ IT 

Will Brinson, CBS Sports:

The Panthers aren't a flash in the pan. They're a consistently built roster predicated on a formulaic and repeatable brand of football that might not be sexy but is most certainly successful.

READ IT 

Alex Marvez, FOX Sports:

Carolina’s 37-29 victory Sunday represented a changing of the guard in the NFC. Green Bay (6-2) can no longer be considered the cream of the conference following its second straight loss.

READ IT 

Jeff Darlington, NFL.com:

What the Panthers did to the Packers in Sunday's first half wasn't just worthy of our "aw, shucks" compliments. It was real-deal, dominating football against the one team with the best chance of challenging them for home-field advantage in the playoffs.

READ IT 

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Some more game stats from B/R:

http://bleacherreport.com/articles/2587397-packers-vs-panthers-carolina-grades-notes-and-quotes/page/2

A few excerpts:

Quarterbacks

Cam Newton had the best half of his career in the first half, throwing for 200 yards and three touchdown passes as the Panthers jumped out to a huge early lead.  He cooled off some in the second half, but still finished with 297 yards passing, three touchdowns and one interception.  He also added 57 yards on the ground and a rushing touchdown, as he continued to run down Steve Young’s record for games with both a passing and rushing touchdown.

 

Wide Receivers

This was, by far, the wide receivers' best day this season.  Three of them—Philly Brown, Devin Funchess and Jerricho Cotchery—had more than 50 yards receiving, with Funchess and Brown adding in a touchdown a piece.  All four—including Ted Ginn—had a reception of 20 yards or longer, as the Panthers brought surprising amounts of big-play offense to the team.

 

Offensive Line

The offensive line kept Cam Newton upright all day long—the Packers only had two hits on the Newton in the backfield all day long.  They were slightly less effective on the ground, but they were able to get enough of a push for the team to average 3.6 yards per carry.

 

Defensive Line

Kawann Short, Kony Ealy and Star Lotlulelei all had sacks, and they held the Packers to just 71 yards on the ground on the day.

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More from that same article:

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Carolina’s supposed to have a stellar defense and a serviceable offense, relying on the run game and opportunistic football to score points.  This week, however, the Panthers decided to prove their receiving corps was a little better than people gave them credit for.

For the first time in his career, Cam Newton threw for 200 yards and three touchdowns in a single half, boosted by a number of huge plays.

In the first half alone, the Panthers had the following plays:

 

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Here's an updated "Offense by Quarter" table showing all our games.   Some comments follow below the table.

For the sake of comparing apples with apples, in the version of the table below, I'm not showing the Overtime against Indianapolis, just the Regulation time..Also, as always, this table excludes kneel down drives, and also excludes any defensive or ST TDs.  This only shows points scored on Offensive drives.

(If you click on the table and then click the bottlom left corner "full size" option, you will see a larger version - you may need to increase the zoom % at bottom right).

offense_by_qtr_wk9.thumb.png.f08953d5719

Highlighted in yellow are quarters where we scored 0 points.  Highlighted in Panther blue are quarters where we scored 2 or more TDs, or gained 150+ yards.   Green shading shows when 35% or more of our points in a game were scored in a given quarter.

Some notes:

  • In  3 of our 8 games (Tampa, Philly, Green Bay), we've scored in every quarter.  In the other 5 games, we've scored in 3 of the 4 quarters.
  • We've scored in 27 of the 32 regulation quarters we've played.  (28 of 33 if you count the OT against INDY).  We've scored TDs in 20 of the 32 quarters.
  • The 2nd quarter is the quarter where we've been scoring the highest percentage of our points.
  • We've scored 2 or more TDs in a single quarter in 3 games.  (Tampa, Seattle, GB).
  • JAX (week 1) is the ONLY game this season where our offense has scored less than 20 points.
  • After failing to score points in the 1st quarter in 3 of our first 5 games, we seem to be doing a bit better in getting out to a faster start.  We've scored first quarter points in each of our last 3 games, including TDs against Philly & Indy.
  • Our 2nd quarter against Green Bay is just INSANE when you look at it in the context of all our games this season.  We scored points on 4 of our 5 drives.  (3 TDs & a FG).  It would have been scoring on 5 for 5 drives and 27 points instead of 24 but for Gano's missed FG.  I'm very curious to look back in Panthers' history and see how many other games we've ever scored 3 or more TDs in a single quarter or gained 200+ yards in a single quarter.  Remember, these are ALL offensive points!

I find myself continually amazed by our offensive strength and point totals this year even though on the field, it doesn't LOOK like we're dominating teams. (Except for the 2nd Q against Green Bay!)  It seems to me we're doing well at staying quite consistent on offense throughout games, capitalizing pretty well on our scoring opportunities.

I hope to have some opportunity to go back and look at the first halves of both 2013 and 2014 and see how this season's stats compare. 

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Cross-posting excerpts of a comment I just posted in one of the Titans pre-game threads.  While comparing Titans & Carolina, I noticed some interesting stats about our scoring efficiency so far this season.

***

Here's the link to the Sporting Charts matchup tool where you can compare stats for Panthers & Titans:

http://www.sportingcharts.com/nfl/teams/matchup/364-carolina-panthers-vs-336-tennessee-titans/

One stat that jumped out at me was scoring efficiency.

Panthers are 10th in the league in terms of scoring efficiency.  Titans are 29th.

Tennessee's red-zone TD scoring efficiency is slightly above ours (61.5% to 60%)  [See: https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/red-zone-scoring-pct/], but Carolina is more often in the Red Zone (rank 6th in the league in Red Zone attempts) [See: https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/red-zone-scoring-attempts-per-game ]

Panthers are currently 4th in the league in terms of points per play.  Tennessee is 25th.  [See: https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/points-per-play]

For all of 2014 Panthers ranked 21st in Points per Play. But, as of mid-season last year, we were even worse, at 26th., so this scoring efficiency has been a HUGE HUGE area of improvement for the Panthers this season.

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