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What does Cam have to do to win MVP?

Chief_Chokeaho

By Chief_Chokeaho,
in Carolina Panthers

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CPantherKing Grand Master

CPantherKing

Posted
Posted

Thought I would look back at the other MVP QBs over the past 30 years. Here is what I found:

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These are what the MVP QBs averaged per game. For QBs with multiple MVPs, I chose their MVP season with the best team record. Compared to Cam he is not leading any passing category, but he is not trailing any of the categories either. Very comparable to Steve Young and John Elway during their MVP years. I believe these numbers will improve over the next 5 games of the season.

As for a measure of overall production, I employ a rating system I developed and believe cuts through the passer efficiency garbage stats of passer rating; the guesstimation and pocket favoritism of losing QBs like ESPN's QBR; or the best in show ratings of PFF. All I care about is wins, and how much a player contributed to that win. So, without getting into the formulas and details this measure compares anyone from a QB to a K in relation to their production relative to their team and the rest of the league. 

This is how Cam compares to MVP QBs when the focus is on points > turnovers > first downs > total yardage. The statistics I have do not go back past the 90s for individual first downs. You will notice how some QBs drop dramatically when you factor in gaining first downs. Others like Peyton Manning drop when you factor in strip sacks and fumbles lost that gave an advantage to the opposing team.

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While Cam is looking good compared to QB MVPs, I do have to note that Tom Brady is currently having a season that would rank him 3rd on this list below his 2007 MVP season based on productivity. The season has to be played out and Brady had the easier part of his schedule in the first half of the season. I expect his numbers to drop some over the remaining games with some stronger competition and the physical toll of an NFL season. The NFL can have dual MVPs like Manning/McNair in 2003.

QBs like Andy Dalton, Carson Palmer, Aaron Rodgers and Peyton Manning are built to deliver fast and effective blows to their opponents in the early rounds of a season, but players like Newton, Brady, and Wilson are built to go 12 rounds over the season and 15 rounds into the playoffs. Unfortunately for the Dalton's and Palmer's of the NFL you can not KO your opponent in the early rounds and the season always favors the QB who can go the distance. Look to a combination of the QB that is physically and mentally tough and you will find the teams who will be ready to fight for the Lombardi Trophy.

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Bartin Collaborator

Bartin

Posted
Posted

16-0 is his only chance.

Brady's numbers are just too good for him to win it otherwise if he keeps up the same pace considering he's lost Lewis and Edelman for the 2nd half of the year, Amendola for a couple games, now Gronk for a couple games and his starting LT for 3/4 of the season as well as several other lineman for multiple games.

We say Cam is doing more with less than anyone else but what Brady is doing with all the injuries the Patriots offense has suffered is extremely impressive and on par with Cam.

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