How do we succeed / fail?

[imminent rogaine]

If we win, and I could see it, it’s cmc healthy, line absolutely owning, Baker completely buying In to macadoo and buckling down to go on an F-U tour. On defense, it’s Horn back healthy and YGM stepping up. T

[rippadonn]

21 minutes ago, Mr. Scot said:

Well, somebody did.

Probably wasn't Ben McAdoo...

Now who could that be? Hmmmmmm.

[Mr. Scot]

The scenario that keeps running through my mind for the coming season is one where the offense finally looks good...but the defense breaks down.

I'm not a big Phil Snow fan so this outcome isn't exactly hard to imagine.

[Evil Hurney]

Reasons for a winning season:

1) CMC stays healthy

Historically speaking, the Panthers win at a much higher rate when CMC plays.

• CMC plays, 27 wins out of 58 games, 0.466 win%
• CMC sits, 6 wins out of 23 games, 0.261 win%

A 0.466 win% translates to 7.9 wins in a 17-game schedule.

 

2) Baker outperforms the likes of post-shoulder-injury Cam, Kyle Allen, Taylor Heinicke, Will Grier, Teddy Bridgewater, PJ Walker, and Sam Darnold.

The two statistical best on that list are 2018 Cam (53.2 QBR) and 2020 Teddy (56.8 QBR). Baker has 2 seasons that exceeded Cam and 1 season that exceeded Teddy. Last season was the only time Baker dropped below a QBR of 50; Sam has NEVER had a QBR of 50 or higher.

 

3) The relatively young defense continues to improve.

In terms of yards allowed: 23rd -> 18th -> 2nd

In terms of points allowed: 31st -> 18th -> 21st

In terms of expected points contributed: 24th -> 20th -> 6th

 

4) Zane maintains and Hecker gives us a reliable punting game

The image above shows the 2021 numbers and illustrates how sub-par our punting game was last season. Hekker helps our defense give up fewer scores by starting the opposing team inside the 20 more often.