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Which would you pick (at #59)?


Mr. Scot

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Let's suppose the Panthers don't complete a trade for a first round pick prior to this Saturday.

Then, when their first pick comes up at #59, they have a choice between two players.

1) a good defensive tackle

2) a dominant offensive guard

Cases can be made for either being the better choice.

On the DT side...

- defensive line is clearly the biggest "need" position on the team

- the DL lineup is still in flux with the future of Julius Peppers in doubt

- the Panthers starting DTs, Kemo and Lewis might be better suited for rotation

- the offensive line returns all five starters from last season (for the first time)

On the OG side...

- offensive line depth, a key part of last season's success, took a hit this offseason

- while Keydrick Vincent is good, he's not the strongest, and not dominant

- it's expected that Vincent will be healthy, but he's had injury issues before

- the Panthers will be facing a Murderer's Row of opposing DTs this season

Granted, the defense has bigger issues at the moment, but adding a top level guard to an already good young unit could set the team up with potentially one of the best offensive lines in the entire league for years to come. The effect that this could have on both the running and passing games cannot be overstated, and a dominant offense can be a winner even if the defense is only respectable.

With all this in mind, assume for a minute that the best available defensive tackle at the #59 spot is a red chip "solid player" while the best guard available is potentially a blue chip "elite level" guy.

What do you choose: The guard to make the O-line dominant, or the DT to make the D-Line competent?

Putting it another way, do you fill the greater need for right now, or add the better player for the long term?

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You could throw DE into the mix here instead of DT if you prefer. Same rules apply (good vs great, etc).

Eh on second thought, if we see a great anything (other than returner, kicker etc.) we should grab him. Trades are pretty commonplace in this league, and if we even get say a great safety or LT, we'll have more ammunition and get better value out of it.

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Eh on second thought, if we see a great anything (other than returner, kicker etc.) we should grab him. Trades are pretty commonplace in this league, and if we even get say a great safety or LT, we'll have more ammunition and get better value out of it.

Valid, but I'm kinda hoping to keep the discussion centered in the trenches (OL vs DL) rather than just making it into a general "BPA vs need" discussion.

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Gut says DT, and yes I am thinking long term. Not only is defense the weaker unit, but also the biggest weakness is on the most important part of that unit, the DL.

If the G can play C too though that's really a tough call because then also need another guy who can play C. In that case I would probably have to say the G-C.

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    • What you are saying isn't always true and I'll give you several examples to demonstrate this. 1) The best player on the board at the end of in round 1 by all consensus is RB (top 15 player in draft who slips b/c of the devaluation of the RB position). Your team is in desperate need of a LT because the current one is getting your QB killed. You already have a serviceable RB in place. The LT has a 2nd round grade and you have the first pick on day 2 of the draft Who do you choose? 2) Your run defense was abysmal the previous season. A DT in round 2 does not provide much in terms of pass rush, but most reports have him rated as the best pure run stuffing DT in the draft. The two highest rated players on your board at the time are a TE and tweener at OLB/DE who slipped into round 2 after a run on WR's. Who do you choose? 3) Your pass rush rush is solid across the board. You even have guy coming off of the bench to provide production. Your secondary in below average. No Safety on the roster is a difference maker and as a unit the squad doesn't have an INT. The highest rated player on the board is a DE. The 5th highest rated player on the board is a an intelligent ball hawking Safety. Which player would make the team immediately better?  1) I think the BPA logic applies when your team is solid across the board and you can afford to draft for depth 2) I think it also applies when your team stinks and any solid player will be an immediate upgrade over what you already have. I agree that you should NEVER reach for a player when you are need at a position like we did for Bryce Young. But I also think if there's is a player on the board that will fill a glaring weakness you need to take him even if a player with a higher over all ranking is available at another position (which isn't a need)  
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