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Anyone else use FanDuel?


PandaPancake

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https://rotogrinders.com/pages/NFL_Player_Consistency-75414

 

Is also an awesome site for consistency rankings, let's you see # of 'ceiling' or 'floor' games for all players.  Also has the standard deviation, this stuff is really useful depending on which kind of contest you're entering.

 

If it's a tourney shoot for players with a bunch of 'ceiling' games and high standard deviation (albeit more risk), but that's the only way you'll ever win with 1,000+ people.

 

For 50/50s or H2H, aim for the consistent players with lower standard deviations and favorable match ups. 

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Watched a good piece on real sports about these sites last night , a lot of the top guys have been stock brokers at one point or another and compare this to playing the stocks. A lot of the top guys also have serious algorithms and stat programs they have created that put out information that the average joe just does not have and they are making over 6 figures playing these games a year.  

 

I wonder if these guys do this for football (I doubt with any real success). Baseball is "easier" in that you have tons and tons of data. When a guy has 5000 at bats you can really start to break down variables and determine what is predictive and what is random. Left handed pitchers, night game, natural grass, batting 4th. I think the guys you are talking about will actually come up with salary amounts nightly and then compare these to what Draftkings is offering. Then it is just a matter of picking the best values. And you can do this night after night thus avoiding the noise in the process.

 

With football I suspect the variance in the process destroys any real attempts to model weekly. Does Cam play better at night? Who the hell knows.

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