Jump to content

  • Welcome!

    Register and log in easily with Twitter or Google accounts!

    Or simply create a new Huddle account. 

    Members receive fewer ads , access our dark theme, and the ability to join the discussion!

     

NYTimes has an NFL Playoff Prediction Widget.

PanthersATL

By PanthersATL,
in Carolina Panthers

 Share

Recommended Posts

PanthersATL Grand Master

PanthersATL

Posted
Posted

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/upshot/carolina-panthers-nfl-playoff-picture.html#&

Let's have some fun
image.png.9003c9135aaf5fa2d3331779cb9e3e75.png

Currently, the widget says we have a 64% chance to make the playoffs based on current information and 50k+ simulations.  Let's go down the chart and see how our chances change with a given win/loss:

  • Win vs Philly: our chances for playoffs go to 76%
  • Beat the Falcons twice:  84%
  • I guess this is the difference between AFC and NFC opponents: (based on how I have the win/loss columns selected for a generic 9-8 season) if we WIN vs the Patriots and lose to Arizona, we have a 43% chance of playoffs. If I flip-flop the Patriots and Arizona games where we beat ARI, then our playoff chance goes to 66%.

Clicking around back and forth on the various win/loss columns, the widget suggest that the Arizona game is key to our playoff appearance.  It also makes a strong case for having to beat the Saints too...

Generically speaking, it looks like a minimum of 9 wins will be needed for any playoff percentage. 10 wins makes a huge difference vs 9.

 

(Hey, I know it's still early in the season - but as long as you don't take this widget seriously beyond the number crunching game, it's no different than guessing at lottery numbers right now. As the article says, with 208 games remaining there are about 411 novemdecillion different ways the N.F.L. regular season could end.  Still, it could be handy to help determine those "we must win" or "must cheer for other teams to lose" games  )

 

  • Pie 2
  • Beer 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

×
 Share
Go to topic listing

  • PMH4OWPW7JD2TDGWZKTOYL2T3E.jpg

  • Topics

  • Posts

    • hepcat
      NHL 2026 Playoff Thread

      By hepcat · Posted

      Looking like it might be game 7 for Pitt and Phi. Philly is spent. I like more rest for the canes 
    • BEASTfromdaEAST
      Moton Meets the Press

      By BEASTfromdaEAST · Posted

      Moton is the man through and through. 2 things I'll always give Gettleman credit for, 1 is drafting Moton, the other is building a SB contending roster and blowing it up in one off-season 
    • TylerDurden
      The Carolina Huddle

      By TylerDurden · Posted

      Kurb is still alive and well.  I’m still friends with him on all of the social media.  He truly is a great man!  That’s my bro!  He always looked out for me since the early days of the huddle.  It definitely makes me sad that he just quit posting here, but that’s life.  He still shares his takes on social media and X, but a lot of the huddle vets just grew tired of this format and the environment, I guess?  It’s a lot of guys that were valuable contributors here that just stopped posting but are still alive and passionate Panthers fans.  Blindsite used to post huge write-ups and was a well-respected poster and then just disappeared.  We had one of these type threads several years ago and he checked back in and explained he just lost the motivation to stay active here.  It was amazing hearing from him again…   I signed up in 04 after coming over from the Charlotte.com boards and been here ever since.  (For those that don’t know - this is Proudiddy - had to change the name very recently due to ‘ol tootsie roll penis and the bad press 😂).  I’m forever thankful for all of you, even those who I haven’t had the greatest history with, I still appreciate yall.  Many have come and gone, both figuratively and literally, and that has put a lot into perspective over the years.  I went from a young, newly married, wide-eyed twenty year-old guy with a baby on the way, to a now forty-two year-old guy, recently divorced and newly re-married guy with my oldest baby now an adult and 5 more kids since.  And what ride it has been!  You guys have been a much bigger part of my life than I really care to acknowledge.😂
×
×
  • Create New...