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Because the teams/FOs suck. The way I figure it, if one team can win with a Matthew Stafford or Sam Darnold, then another can, especially since they drafted them. Again, the reason that they didn't win a championship is because FOs and HCs aren't doing good jobs at the end of the day with team building, identifying strengths and weaknesses, and ultimately putting QBs into the best situations to succeed.

I get the argument, but I feel like half of the super bowls won in that time frame have been by Brady or Mahomes

I think an interesting follow up would be how many of those QBs went on to win a Super Bowl at all. From some quick chatGPT questions, it seems only 3 of them (Eli Manning, Matthew Stafford, and Sam Darnold) have gone on to win a Super Bowl as a starter. While teams picking in the top 5 generally aren’t great organizations, I think the fact that 34/37 haven’t won Super Bowls can’t just be pinned on the organizations. Maybe quite a few of those guys never should have been top 5 picks. Here’s looking at guys like Blake Bortles, Mitch Trubisky, Joey Harrington, Bryce Young, Tua, Mark Sanchez, and the list goes on and on. Maybe there is just something wrong with QB draft evaluations, as many analysts thought the majority of those 37 dudes were top 5 picks.

I honestly wouldn't draft a QB if my team earned the first pick, unless we're talking Luck, Cam or Stafford level talent available. Generational type guys that can lift a bad team. They are rare breeds though. Trade back for a king's ransom and come back when you've gotten your ish together - see Chicago bears. As far as yards and scores trending down, I think it has a lot to do with how teams are playing defense now. Most defenses are in some form of nickel/dime most of the game, with exotic blitz packages using DBs to pressure the QB. They're taking away the passing game, and teams built to pass without a complimentary run game to keep the defense honest will struggle. Maybe RBs will become top draft picks again.

How many made it to the SB? Cam was drafted #1 and almost won, do we think he wasn't worth the pick? lol Same with Joe Burrow.

A big time standup LB (QB of the defense), improve the pass rush, improve oline depth. Get lucky with injuries. They can win over 6.5 games. Fail in any one of those areas and the bottom falls out pretty quickly.

I'm not for picking and choosing when you get your QB. I think you have to strike when the iron is hot and the opportunity presents itself. But you're right about the fact that most of the teams landing those top 5 picks are just bad organizations that fail to build a good overall roster. I do think they're going to do some mire rule tweaking soon to further benefit offenses. Offensive ststs were booming for years but have been trending downward now for a few years. The NFL knows that it's offense that drives the casual viewer and this most recent SB is probably going to be the impetus to further meddle with the game to get those yards and scoring trending upward again. I think they're going to do something to help OLs with pass protection, I'm just not sure what.

Teams drafting a QB in the top 5 are usually just really bad personnel wise and/or not smart in the front office. Establish a strong front office and coaching staff that drafts well for multiple seasons. Then and only then do you go in for a QB. A good team is not drafting in the top 5, even if you have mediocre QB play. A good QB on a bad team won't win Super Bowls. An average QB on a really talented roster and FO can pull it off.

A'Shawn Robinson is a prime candidate for cap cut. I think he's a good player but his production could be replaced early in the draft. I don't believe in Wharton and B. Brown is a NT.

Everyone always acts like a top pick is the only way to find a franchise QB but in this current century it has empirically not led to championships.

so much depends on the draft and free agency. At this point, considering the schedule, I would not bet that we win over 6 games.

Consider the source

And he needs to pull his head out of his ass about calling plays. He doesn't have the talent/ability to be both HC and OC yet and it shows.

Yes, and don't think they're convinced this offense can get on track to compete. Dan will need to knock it out of the park this free agency and draft to give this team a chance to have a winning record.

Explain your thinking on DL---I am interested in hearing more opinions about it. Had a dream that we signed Cooper Kupp to a 1-year deal. I know. My therapist told me.

OL, DL, pass rush or off-ball linebacker. No 1st round offensive weapons in this draft. I'm a BPA guy, but that dog won't hunt when the oline or dline is getting manhandled after one injury. So, everything EXCEPT the #1 target from this list.

and losing Icky and losing rico

Devil's advocate: I played for Winterfield in Pop Warner. I do not call them we. Seriously: I had the same thought,

He was a good sub, and the first year after this injury--especially for the bigguns--I do not expect much even if he can return mid season

I could easily see BPA being OL or DL at #19. I’m biased towards improving the line of scrimmage.

Well I guess there are it really a lot of us but is seemed like you were addressing the general population.

We won only 8 games and now are rewarded with a brutal first place schedule. The odds reflect that.

Where did you get the "lot" part from?

we can't afford NOT to

I mean are you really expecting to win a SB ? Last year Seahawks +6000 Patriots +8000 3 of the top 5 SB odds didnt even make the playoffs. But go ahead and still not understand odds if you are determined to.