Khyber53

Must be worried he's going to get a Musk e-mail asking what he's done during the last week. That's how we get this crap turned out at the very, very beginning of free agency and before the draft and training camp. Gotta show some work, get something to post and keep justifying paychecks. That being said, we all gobble this stuff up knowing that it's just fluff. So, just enjoy it for the cotton candy it is.

APP State!!!!!! Woot!

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It's not a philosophy, it's a truth. Every time any team makes a draft pick they are betting that this young fellow will somehow be able to make the jump to the NFL, that'll he won't be bogged down by injuries, that he will over perform where they picked him. And in the vast majority of cases across the entire spectrum of picks, the success rate is low. That makes every draft pick a hope.

Every pick is a hope. Every pick.

The bar was set very, very low. Historically low. I'm not sure a coordinator has ever survived the off-season with a team that set a historic low for futility before. Still, I have hope from what we've picked up and retained.

I kinda see him as BPA at 8. The problem is that I also see him as BPA at around five and six and seven, too. That has me worried. Best player, whatever position, can make a team. This guy is one of those who can do it and we desperately need some of those folks.

Tyler Warren will be the pick. That's what I'd do and that's what the tea leaves are reading right now.

I'd love to add a classic fullback to our team. If he were five years younger I'd jump at having him here. And yeah, I still miss Brad Hoover.

Bengals gonna Bengal.

Here's my deal: About every other script I write, I spend about two weeks going through police report after police report, looking at crime scene photos, going through autopsies, watching interview footage, sometimes even having to watch on scene video/audio of a murder in progress. It wears on a soul and honestly, I'm weary of the people who say "I can do this or that to another person" or "if they tried that with me" or the worst of them all "I believed they would stop, why didn't someone stop them?" Human life is just too fuging cheap on planet Earth.

Well, we got one uninjured and good season from him. And a handful of partial ones due to injuries. He may get paid a lot more out there on the market than we can wisely do, so... it might be Jaycee's preference to hit the market more than our reluctance to offer a decent contract. Would like to see him back, but he can't get Top 10 or Top 15 money.

Yanno, I'm staying out of this. There's no good place to go here. Let's all just not put hands on other folks.

And rightly so.

Warren in the first, don't worry about FA tight ends. And really, has anyone ever won picking up former Jaguars? Have the Jaguars ever won with their own folks?

Didn't see this at all.

Let's see how it plays out.

Oh, I see where you are coming from. I've just seen too many iffy QBs get massive paychecks after a sudden re-emergence. Someone will roll the dice with three years, $90 million.

Sam Darnold is going to make bank and I think we will see him in Cleveland. Justin Fields will end up in Indianapolis on a modest deal to compete for QB1 there. I think he has a shot and he'll take it. Las Vegas will take a shot at Aaron Rodgers with even worse results than the Jets had. New Orleans will sit this one out. Tennessee, Giants, Jets will all draft. Pittsburgh will sit steady early on until the draft and take someone if they fall, perhaps Dart, but definitely not Sanders. They may well end up offering Russell another season. I think we see Kirk Cousins stay in Atlanta as insurance and because his contract is just too, too big to be tradeable without Atlanta having to eat 75% of it.

That has been my take and exact pick for almost a month now. Warren, if he's still there, is the guy.

Yeah, and I don't advocate going hard into the free agent market this year for a WR, either. Maybe grab someone a bit before training camp. We need to put the money elsewhere, just like we need to put the draft picks elsewhere. Are we great at WR? No, not yet. But Thielen has been remarkably spry at his age and Coker was a revelation. And I'm not ready to give up on XL yet. First season for WRs is always tricky.

The best wide receiver on any team is a fully active participant in about 55% of a team's offensive plays. A tackle, a guard, a QB, a running back, DT or DE, LB, pure edge... they are often times involved in 100 percent of the snaps on defense or offense. When you've got a high draft pick, take one of those positions where they can have access to and the chance to affect more plays. Later in the first round, I personally believe that wide receivers come back into play in a cost effective way around pick 20 or thereabouts. And tight ends, really depends on how you use them. A really great one can be involved dynamically in 80 - 95 percent of an offense's plays, from blocking to receiving, especially in the modern NFL. The right one(s) I think can be a cost effective choice from picks 5 - 15, but that's really a maximum of one player like that every couple of seasons.

If we threw a 1 year prove it deal to him, I'd be all in. But we won't and he wouldn't. Someone will overpay for him and maybe we'll get that team's second choice and be better off for it.

Pay the guards while the QB is young and on the cost effective contract. Develop your tackles along with him at similar rates. When the QB and tackles are reaching their contract years, it's time to swap out the guards for cheaper draftees that can be coached up by the (now)vets alongside them. And you grab the best Center you can find, whenever and wherever you can find them. Or so to the way I was taught.

Wouldn't hate either pick.