MHS831

No--she is not--she uses concrete data to support her assumptions. She is into predictive analytics, analyzing patterns to predict outcomes--if you can share a statement of how accurate her predictions have been, then do so. Basically, she is a fortune teller who uses data to guess. I have yet to see a chart or data to determine her accuracy--but that does not mean it does not exist. My statement was to say that I am not sold on her--but I have not delved deep into researching her predictions and the alignment with outcomes. It is based in probability--and we all make decisions every day using the same strategies--I just have not seen her reliability examined--so until I do, I am not convinced--which does not mean there is not something to her work--it is simply not presented in a manner that research should be presented to establish validity--if they did that, they would lose their audience (me included--its boring!). That is the only reason I am skeptical. A palm reader may guess my dog's name, but until I see her methods of inquiry, I am skeptical. Cynthia is fun, and her rationale is very interesting, but there is some cherry picking going on, based on what I can tell.

Have you researched her, or are you basing your opinion on her hype/promotional information? I am basing my opinion on inconsistencies in her statements. She rarely provides the statistical makeup of her argument--but she has a background in research. So do I--so you should listen to me.

In my opinion, Frelend could be BSing the NFL world with most of her "analytics" but she does make some good points here that give us reason to consider different perspectives. For example, if Young is able to overcome his size and stay safe, the next question is "how?" A deeper drop. She mentions tackles, and that is a good point. A deeper drop makes the path the QB more linear for edge rushers, who are currently challenged with their bends. A deep drop lessens the angle, given the OTs the challenge of facing more power and speed. Although the difference is slight, it can be significant. To compensate, the OT also has a more linear drop, (an ideal OT drop is approximately 45 degrees outward) and this new challenge might cause that drop to increase to 55 degrees, for example). That reduces the size of the pocket because it causes the initial contact to be inside a smaller pocket. I think it was Byron Bell and Mike Remmers who were dropping at nearly the same angle of the QB--straight back--forcing Cam to step up or spin out. Problem was, Cam was not that deep and his athleticism could extend plays. However, Frelend hits on a great point without getting into the details. The impact on the OTs. In other words, if all this is true, it places a tremendous pressure on your OTs--something that may not be exposed in college, but in the NFL, it will be exploited--in my opinion. If you want to read a VERY THOROUGH statistical breakdown of "Time to Throw" (TTT) this Colts article is second to none: https://www.stampedeblue.com/2021/10/16/22727432/fine-lets-talk-about-time-to-throw Based on these stats, it sure seems as if the most pass attempts are between 2.4 and 2.7 seconds.

And where in my comment did I say, "we just watching the tape?" Read carefully before you criticize a statement that was not made by anyone other than you so you could argue against it.

watch the combine-watch the pro day-then watch the tape. The tape does not lie,

The STIGMA of smallish QBs (and running QBs for that matter) may influence a tough decision. That was the point--and it was a mere suggestion not intended to be submitted into state's evidence seeking a prosecution. It addresses human nature and bias---that's all.

yeah, the idea of getting a good QB on a rookie, seventh round contract for 3 more years has to be enticing---all things equal. They have gone budget QB this season--and they are all young QBs--Darnold is 25 (will be 26 in June)--about the same age and Tennessee's Hooker. Lance is only 22 (May 9), and Purdy is older than Lance (23-December). if lance does not win the job in year 3, bust,

If he was the #3 overall pick and he has barely played a down--while 2022 Mr. Irrelevant is now inked in as the starter for his performance in 2022--I would say that is not what SF hoped to get out of him. Bust status is probably determined when the team gives up on the player and moves him out.

The word was "smallish" which might imply that he is smaller than the average QB, which he is.

Tom Brady played in Charlotte.

With our OL, the rules to protect QBs, and our defense, you have to think this would be the best landing spot for Young. (If you are wondering how the defense protects Young, you have to consider situational football. If Young is not playing from behind, he can throw the ball away, slide, or hit the checkdown more often. Forcing things when you are behind is a way to get hurt.) That is not to say that I think they will take Young--it is to say that Young should be praying for Carolina over Houston.

i think they will draft stroud and we will cheer. Tua and Murray, both rather smallish QBs, getting hurt this year may be enough to sway them to take the safer (healthwise) pick over the best processor. We shall see.

We know that 3 of these 7 players will absolutely not be drafted by the Panthers.

I agree, but I am not sure Luvu plays the edge on a regular basis--I think his base position will be ILB. Of course--that is just my take---waiting to see what happens

His sources also say, "Thank you for your order. Pull around to the window."

Just a suggestion: 3 numbers

I heard the might, but no Jim Ottos. (00). I do not understand the difference between 0 and 00 than 9 and 99.

He gave me poo because I was joking about the average age/maturity level of the Huddle--not his son--so it might be a sensitive subject--your son was not targeted. Be proud.

With Young, we are penalizing him because he might get hurt. We did not do that with Cam, who had an 8-year career (do not count the last 3 years--they were bad).

I agree. It sounds as if Reich is making the choice, but he is actually saying, "I am making the choice, but I will not know his preference until 10 days (roughly) before the draft. I would add that I am sure they will report that they were on the same page.

13 and a half--buddy!

I see YGM as a 4-3 DE or a 3-4 DE on passing situations. He is 6-5, 265, and ran a sub 4.6 40 at his pro day--so I dunno--a perfect 4-3 DE. According to the Bleacher Report, the ideal size for a 3-4 OLB is 6'3" 240.

Nah. I don't need an agent.

Hold up! I have been screaming about Marshall this offseason. He is not going to breakout--he already has. He is the reason (and Shenault) that i do not think we should take a WR at 39. During 2021, Marshall had 138 yards on 17 receptions. During the first eight games of 2022, Marshall had 148 yards on 10 receptions. During the time, we got rid of Anderson and Rhule. In the last 8 games of 2022--more than a half season--Marshall had 342 yards on 18 receptions. If you take the last 8 games of 2022--when TMJ was forced into the offense more, he would have averaged 43 yards per game. Over a 17 game season, that equates to 727 yards. Considering the QB situation, coaching, maturity, etc. It is reasonable to expect TMJ to continue that type of production, if not improve it. PS. He is not yet 23. There are many players in this draft who are older.

If this becomes about the size of the QB, then we all know who the pick is going to be. Stroud has had the much better WRs to throw to and he has played in the weaker conference. Does that mean he cannot play QB? Nope. But before you put your eggs into one basket, remember this: Young was good enough at 5'10" to beat out all competition at the most prestigious college football program in the nation. If his size is a detriment, it is also a reason to admire him more than the others. Sam Darnold was good in college. He has the size and the physical skills needed to be a great pro qb--why did he not become one? Was it coaching? I don't know. But he was 6-4 and can spin it. What the hell is the big problem? I think the reason QB is so hard to gauge is based on 2 things in general: 1. This situation. Most elite QBs go to struggling programs and are forced into the "messiah" role too early because fans and coaches pressure the process. These are 22-year old kids, and suddenly, they are determining the success a billion dollar business behind a bad OL. 2. The things that are important as a QB cannot be easily seen. How quickly do they process? Imagine, in college, a successful QB needs to process a play in 1 second. 50% of the top QBs in college can do that. They are drafted. In the NFL, that processing window closes to .8 of a second. Of those that are drafted, only 25% can do that. If they do not learn or their situations do not change, they bust. I get why QBs in the NFL with all the size and talent in the world bust. Many have had it fairly easy--relying on their "god given" skills and size to elevate them above the competition their entire lives. In some ways, they may never have been genuinely challenged. But a 5'10" QB getting a scholarship at a FCS school is impressive. To be named the starter as a freshman is a near miracle. But for that team to be Alabama? Shut up. I am not endorsing either candidate, but if you only see Young's size as a detriment, it really is. Yes, he can be injured or hurt, but a solid OL and the new NFL rules that protect the QB are factors. Stroud can get injured as well. But it is also a measure of the man inside, and that man "can plan my castle onslaught any day."