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Vegas Odds - Week 1 vs. TB

jamos14

By jamos14,
in Carolina Panthers

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The NFL Shield At Midfield Grand Master

The NFL Shield At Midfield

Posted
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idk we might lose , i cant see our line stoping their defense . we dont have steve smith no more idk how we are going to win with out smitty? bench cam! im telling yall da is the next delhomme , trade scam for smitty back and rayrice and we will have the best team 

 

hmm whats that thing called when someone intentionally posts dumb poo on the internet to get a response again

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Jbo Newbie

Jbo

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We actually played a great game in the season opener last year against seattle, just came down to 1 or 2 plays. Of course seattle got it to go in there favor like they always do. I expect the same thing sunday just with a win.

That was at home though so it helped, slightly. I also expect a win though. Its the Buc's for crying out loud, the last time they were relevant we rushed for 200+ yards on them... come on.

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Happy Panther Grand Master

Happy Panther

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Doesn't Vegas automatically give 3 points to the home team? Are they really saying we are pretty even? I assume they don't plan on a lot of action with this late game.

No. On average it is more like 2 and it is not automatic. Any advantage that the linemakers give (for any variable) will be based on actual data. Given that Tampa has the worst attendance in the league and this is a quick trip for the Panthers I doubt homefield is affecting the line much. 

 

But 2 points either way does suggest this is a pretty even matchup from Vegas' standpoint

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JJT Newbie

JJT

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That was at home though so it helped, slightly. I also expect a win though. Its the Buc's for crying out loud, the last time they were relevant we rushed for 200+ yards on them... come on.

It was 299 yards, and it was the last good rushing game we've had.
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JJT Newbie

JJT

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Lines do not move because of who the sports books think is going to win.

The sports books could care less who wins.

An opening line is set at the point where the book believes an equal amount of money will be bet on both sides by the public.

If an equal amount of money is bet on both sides in a point spread contest, the book will win 4.5% of the total handle every time, regardless of which team wins.

This is because all point spread bets are at -110 in terms of the money line.

The odds on the Panthers game have shifted from Car-2,5 to as much as Car + 2.5

This shows that tons of money from bettors at large have been flowing Tampa's way.

The books have had to move the line 5 points in order to try and generate bets on Carolina.

A 5 point swing is huge in an NFL game and the books hate it---it a potential middling bloodbath.

You can preach this until you're blue in the face. Either no one can grasp the concept or no one cares.
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