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WhatifSports NFC South Preview: Panthers 11-5

SCP

By SCP,
in Carolina Panthers

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http://www.whatifsports.com/beyondtheboxscore/default.asp?article=2010NFL_NFCSouthPreview

Taints 12-4

Panthers 11-5

Falcons 6-10

Bucs 4-12

Here is how they do it:

For this analysis, each regular season game is simulated 501 times, with the sum of the winning percentages of those games being our final predicted record. As can be noted, sometimes a team is "favored" (wins more than 50% of the time) in a different number of our games than the expected record shows. We list this record as the Absolute Record. The assumption of the Absolute Record is that the more likely scenario always happens. Since we know that it does not, our expected record (in parentheses next to each team) is far more accurate. Also, especially since we are rounding, it is possible for a team to win a game more often, yet score the same or fewer points on average. In those cases, for Absolute Records, we always take higher winning percentage and are not predicting a tie or a win by an underdog. This is another reason why the expected records are more accurate, as the teams are so evenly matched, the game could easily go either way.

Also, we account for players with injury histories who are considered likely to miss games despite currently being healthy by randomly taking them out of what the analysis dictates is the correct number of games throughout the season. For players who will begin the season injured or who are assumed to replace the current starter during the season, we deliberately make those roster changes in the appropriate weeks. All of these items can cause some perceived inconsistencies with the scores, especially when a team plays one opponent from its division with one set of starters and uses different personnel later.

Today we preview the NFC South

It doesn't mean crap, but it's a good read. Thought you tards would enjoy.

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pantherj Grand Master

pantherj

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We have the best O-line in the South, the best RBs, the best WR, and our defense was destroying teams toward the end of last season. Yes there have been some changes, but winning 11 games isn't out of the question. That being said, I'll lose my voice from screaming for joy if we win 11 games.

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