Draft Metric observations the last 4 years

[pstall]

This is looking at the draft data and fleshing out what the trends and outcomes have been.

I will start with the basics of the last 4 years drafts and then take a snapshot of the last 10 years for some perspective.

2007 first rd pro bowlers 10

slot of pro bowlers -2,3,7,11,12,14,19,23,24

offensive-5/ def- 5

2008-7

1,3,10,12,16,24,25

off-4/def-3

2009-4

13,15,22,26

off-1/def-3

2010-3

2,18,27

1/2

At a glance. The # of Pro Bowlers selected in the first rd are trending DOWNWARD.

It's nearly 50/50 on offensive and definsive players. 13 def and 11 off.

LB's had the most Pro Bowlers by postion with 5

Followed by CB with 4 and RB, WR, OT with 3 each. DE only 2, but those have been the last two drafts.

1 qb- Matt Ryan

NE not surprisingly has the most PB's from the last 4 yrs drafts with 3 and Ten, Min and oddly enough the Lions with 2 each(Suh, Calvin Johnson) in that same time.

15 other teams have at least 1 with Beason being Carolina's lone PB from this time period.

Roughly half the teams have selected a PB in the last 4 yrs.

The last 4 drafts the Panthers have had a PB selected in the slot 6 times BEFORE their pick. The only exception being 2010 because there was no 1st.

I include 2009 despite no 1st as well that I will show in a sec.

2007- Car chooses at 25-the 2 picks before produce a PB. Bowe and Merriweather(NE)

2008- Car is @ 13. Clady PB at 12/ at 19 Car chooses Otah. At 16 Cromartie is a PB for AZ(not before 19 but to show a PB again). Rd 3 of 08 Car selects at 74 and PB Charles for KC goes at 73

2009- No 1st for Car but for the 2nd that was Everette Brown at 43, Car choose at 43 and Byrd for Buff is a PB at 42.

2010- no 1st for second year in a row. Only 3 PB's in the 1st.

It should be noted NO other team had this many PB's go before their pick in this same window of time. I only included 09 because of how early the 2nd pick was. Throw that out if you want. For effect of trend it was added in.

10 yr window trends to follow. Ready for bed.

[jasonluckydog]

You should dumb this down for us slow kids....My head hurts, off to bed.

[Fright]

Basically in the last 4 drafts, the draft pick taken before our pick in the 1st round has been a pro bowler.

But the older the draft class becomes, the more chances they have to become a pro bowler, so of course it'll be a downward trend of less PB's, b/c they've had less time to play the newer the draft class.

How about the picks after us? Anything strange about them? I hope it's the opposite effect, I'd hate to look at guys we just missed and they all end up PB's.

Edit: I decided to look at the picks right after our picks in the first round and 2nd round in 09. Nothing too special compared to what we managed to draft right before them (player we drafted before them on the side).

2007-#27 Cowboys Anthony Spencer LB (we got Beason)

2008-#14 Chicago Chris Williams OT (we got Stewart)

#20 Tampa Bay Aqib Talib CB (we got Otah)

2009-#44 Miami Dolphins Pat White QB (we got Brown)

I'm happy with the pick in 07 no matter who went before or after, since we managed to get Beason at #26. I'd take Beason any day over Bowe or Merriweather. However, our 2nd was Dwayne Jarrett, which could have gone to some one more useful, but no one probably expected it to end the way it did with him.

In 08 we came away with good talent in Otah and Stewart. I just hope injuries don't continue to be a trend through out their career. That first round was loaded with talent, so we couldn't really go wrong and we filled needs.

Flacco was picked after Stewart and right before Otah, but I don't think people imagined our QB situation would go down like it has and we needed depth at RB and OL, so I like our picks still.

I think we've done a great job scouting the talent and filling needs the last 4 years over all.

[Real Emotional Trash]

The players you're pointing out from 4 years ago have had, well, four years to make it to the Pro Bowl.. as opposed to last year's draft, consisting of rookies.

Unless of course you're showing what rookies made it to the pro bowl that same year.

[Sandy Claws]

[Cyberjag]

The Pro Bowl is also determined in part by fan ballots, so popular teams have a better chance of getting their players in. A late round player on the Cowboys is far more likely to get a slot than a first rounder on the Lions.

[caddieman]

The players you're pointing out from 4 years ago have had, well, four years to make it to the Pro Bowl.. as opposed to last year's draft, consisting of rookies.

Unless of course you're showing what rookies made it to the pro bowl that same year.

LOL! the exact same thing I was thinking!

[pstall]

i didnt include or factor the # of years to reach the PB.my fault