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Dream scenario for ending out the season


cranky
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28 minutes ago, GarthMcGrath said:

REAL dream scenario:

Beat the Saints

Beat the Bucs with Baker Mayfield. He hurts his shoulder again last play of game.

Beat the Hawks with Sam Darnold.

Beat the Bucs with Teddy Bridgewater.

Get the #1 Seed (still technically possible)

Beat the Lions with Kyle Allen (Jared Goff injured during practice)

NFC Championship - Beat the Bears with Caleb Williams

Super Bowl - Beat the Texans with CJ Stroud

Bryce Young is the MVP and has exercised all of his demons and proved he is the true franchise.

 

I’ll have what he’s having…

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On 12/3/2025 at 10:54 PM, OneBadCat said:

Brother they rigged that game at home years ago in the 2014 playoffs. Now they just might call a fair game since they got scrutinized for the Monday night game but I doubt it. 
 

We’re gonna be battling the refs every game from here on out.  Seahawks or Bears are probably the least likely to be rigged in the playoffs though. 

You aren’t lying about the playoff game at home. But I also can’t fault the refs for the panthers getting stuffed on TWO goal line opportunities.

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43 minutes ago, ProcessBlue2 said:

I forgot Tampa plays next Thursday. Puts them playing 3 divisional games in 14 days. With us coming off a late season bye.

If the Panthers sweep Tampa and make the playoffs, and at least one of those Tampa games Bryce is the reason the team wins, he’s earned his spot. I think we all know in the back of our minds he’s going to barf all over himself in at least one of the Tampa games, probably the first one removing all chances of making the playoffs, and then he throttles them in a meaningless last game. 

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I’m traveling home today and had some time. I  added a lot of data into ChatGPT including: average EPA (offense and defense), statistical averages, efficiency %s, strength of schedule, strength of victories, remaining schedule, etc. 

To summarize: On average teams following a bye week have a 5-10% increase for EPA per play. Teams with a post- Week 12 bye have a 10-15% increase of EPA per play on average. Teams with a late season bye week on average have a 15% greater chance of victory against opponents than they would have prior to their bye week. 
 

I asked to simulate the remaining games and this was the results:

Carolina 10-7

Bye

@ New Orleans (W 27-14)

Vs Tampa Bay (W 23-20)

Vs Seattle (L 31-17)

@ Tampa Bay (W 17-14)

 

Tampa 9-8

Vs New Orleans (W 27-17)

Vs Atlanta (L 27-21)

@ Carolina (L 23-20)

@ Miami (W 21-14)

Vs Carolina (L 17-14)

It references Carolina’s higher EPA per play following his the bye week, Tampa’s 3 consecutive divisional games, and apparent linear regression of EPA per play since season start as the reasons.

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    • No. Physical tools alone aren't enough. There are plenty of examples of draft busts to support that. Aost all of them had the physical tools and that wasn't enough. But Bryce is a perfect example of the opposite. Absolutely elite intangibles aren't enough either. If you simply don't have the physical abilities all the football intelligence and work ethic in the world won't be enough to overcome it. Just look to the sidelines every Sunday. We call those people "coaches".
    • As much as I despise Billy B, his philosophy on QBs is how I would approach things if I were a GM. You always keep looking for your next starter.  He has Bledsoe, who got injured and his backup ended up being the GOAT. Even while he had that going, he kept getting his next guy and developing them. When Brady got hurt, Cassel stepped in and went 11-5 and they missed the wild card by dumb luck. Who knows how far they would have gone if they had gotten in. Jimmy Gs career started in NE. There were others, but he always kept looking.  You can't be afraid to keep looking for your next starter, but it looks like we're afraid to look for more than a marginal one. If you're going to offer a $25m contract with incentives, that screams marginal QB. It also screams you're just a transition until we find our guy. After a 10 or 11 win season, he's not accepting that offer. And then you're in a Daniel Jones situation. Do you pay for a year of success and pray it wasn't a one year wonder?  To this point, Bryce has really produced nothing, yet for whatever reason, our FO has not even sniffed at the idea that we need a real QB room with real QBs. Dalton was never starter potential, Plummer was a joke. KP certainly isn't, neither is Grier.  Our approach to the QB room needs to be one of strength not fear. Bring in guys who can compete or who you think can compete. This is THE elite position, in an elite sport, paid premium salary, where production matters. Either you produce or you can lose your job. It's not mean, it's just the reality of the position.  And I'm really just tired of our candy ass approach to it. 
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