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Dream scenario for ending out the season

cranky

By cranky,
in Carolina Panthers

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bythenbrs Grand Master

bythenbrs

Posted
Posted
28 minutes ago, GarthMcGrath said:

REAL dream scenario:

Beat the Saints

Beat the Bucs with Baker Mayfield. He hurts his shoulder again last play of game.

Beat the Hawks with Sam Darnold.

Beat the Bucs with Teddy Bridgewater.

Get the #1 Seed (still technically possible)

Beat the Lions with Kyle Allen (Jared Goff injured during practice)

NFC Championship - Beat the Bears with Caleb Williams

Super Bowl - Beat the Texans with CJ Stroud

Bryce Young is the MVP and has exercised all of his demons and proved he is the true franchise.

 

I’ll have what he’s having…

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hepcat Grand Master

hepcat

Posted
Posted
On 12/3/2025 at 10:54 PM, OneBadCat said:

Brother they rigged that game at home years ago in the 2014 playoffs. Now they just might call a fair game since they got scrutinized for the Monday night game but I doubt it. 
 

We’re gonna be battling the refs every game from here on out.  Seahawks or Bears are probably the least likely to be rigged in the playoffs though. 

You aren’t lying about the playoff game at home. But I also can’t fault the refs for the panthers getting stuffed on TWO goal line opportunities.

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hepcat Grand Master

hepcat

Posted
Posted
43 minutes ago, ProcessBlue2 said:

I forgot Tampa plays next Thursday. Puts them playing 3 divisional games in 14 days. With us coming off a late season bye.

If the Panthers sweep Tampa and make the playoffs, and at least one of those Tampa games Bryce is the reason the team wins, he’s earned his spot. I think we all know in the back of our minds he’s going to barf all over himself in at least one of the Tampa games, probably the first one removing all chances of making the playoffs, and then he throttles them in a meaningless last game. 

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ProcessBlue2 Grand Master

ProcessBlue2

Posted
Posted

I’m traveling home today and had some time. I  added a lot of data into ChatGPT including: average EPA (offense and defense), statistical averages, efficiency %s, strength of schedule, strength of victories, remaining schedule, etc. 

To summarize: On average teams following a bye week have a 5-10% increase for EPA per play. Teams with a post- Week 12 bye have a 10-15% increase of EPA per play on average. Teams with a late season bye week on average have a 15% greater chance of victory against opponents than they would have prior to their bye week. 
 

I asked to simulate the remaining games and this was the results:

Carolina 10-7

Bye

@ New Orleans (W 27-14)

Vs Tampa Bay (W 23-20)

Vs Seattle (L 31-17)

@ Tampa Bay (W 17-14)

 

Tampa 9-8

Vs New Orleans (W 27-17)

Vs Atlanta (L 27-21)

@ Carolina (L 23-20)

@ Miami (W 21-14)

Vs Carolina (L 17-14)

It references Carolina’s higher EPA per play following his the bye week, Tampa’s 3 consecutive divisional games, and apparent linear regression of EPA per play since season start as the reasons.

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