Positions taken most often inside top 13 picks since 01

[panther4life]

QB's 24 or 2 per draft

DT'S 23 OR 1.91 per draft

WR 21 or 1.175 per draft

OT 20 or 1.66 per draft

DE 17 or 1.41 per draft

LB 15 or 1.25 per draft

CB 13 OR 1.08 per draft

RB 13 or 1.08 per draft

S 7 OR .583 per draft

TE 2 or .166 per draft

G 1 or 0.08 per draft

After looking at that i went and looked at how many players made the top 13 big board at each of these 3 sources, ESPN'S Scouts inc., NFL.COM'S prospect grades and NFL draft scout.

The following players all made their top 13 players.

in order of highest average ranking:

Joeckel(T)

Warmack(G)

Star(DT)

Demontre Moore(DE)

Barkevious Mingo(DE)

Jarvis Jones(LB)

so theres 6 player's I deem as near locks to be off the board by the time we pick with Warmack possibly falling since Guards rarely go that high. Normally 1 RB goes in the top 13 but not likely this year so I could see Warmack sneaking in place of a RB.

History also tells us their will likely be 2 QB's gone so that brings the total to 8 off the board. 2 DT's are usually gone by the 14th as well and it appears Richardson is the most likely to go behind Star inside the top 13. Add in Milliner as an average of 1 corner goes and that takes the total up to 11 off the board. 2 WR's seems to be the norm as well and that means Patterson and Allen could be gone too. Now thats a total off 13 players. I'll add Fisher the OT and Werner the DE as prospects who are likely to go based of their big board rankings and historical amount of times their respective positions go in the top 13.

So to recap according to history and the 3 big boards I referenced from above here are the players I think are most likely to be gone by our pick at 14.

1.Joeckel OT

2.Star DT

3.Warmack G

4.Moore DE

5Mingo DE

6.Geno Smith QB

7.Jarvis Jones LB

8.Richardson DT

9.Milliner CB

10.Patterson WR

11.Allen WR

12.Fisher OT

13.Werner DE

Of Course if any qb's or other positions like LB that we have no need at move inside the top 13 then odds of a player at a position of need will fall to us increases.

If the draft does fall this way i'd probably look to go with Hankins or Vaccaro.

edit: Jarvis Jones (LB) was also in the top 15 of every big board I referenced. I removed a 2nd qb from being drafted to adjust for him.

[2jakefansinva]

nice work.

I'm hoping a team in the twenties gets a hard-on for someone that falls and we are the recipient of added picks

I believe our new GM and HC could benefit from having a few extra selections.

[Delhommey]

Ansah will prob go top 15 as well. I would not be against taking him.

[Ruff]

That DT # is actually kind surprising.

The fact that only 1 G has been taken in the top 13 seems insane.

[Actionman0z]

That guy has a great Senior bowl game, and everyone thinks hes top 15 talent.. give me a break. He's a 3-4 OLB not a DE anyway.

[MHS831]

Ansah will prob go top 15 as well. I would not be against taking him.

The only problem with that is this--how many teams are going to take a DE OLB? The top of the draft is LOADED.

[Growl]

That DT # is actually kind surprising.

No, it's not. It's one of the most important positions in the game and the only team that didnt know it were the Marty Hurney led Carolina panthers.

[Who Said What?]

No, it's not. It's one of the most important positions in the game and the only team that didnt know it were the Marty Hurney led Carolina panthers.

It is so blatant too. I have had a hard time these past four seasons watching teams gash us on the ground up the middle. We have not had capable DTs since Buckner and Jenkins.

[Kurb]

Ansah will prob go top 15 as well. I would not be against taking him.

A DE ? Reallly..

[Delhommey]

A DE ? Reallly..

The Giants were absolutely stacked at DE when they took Jason Pierre Paul. Not only did that work out very well for them, we now have a Giant influenced front office.

[Kurb]

The Giants were absolutely stacked at DE when they took Jason Pierre Paul. Not only did that work out very well for them, we now have a Giant influenced front office.

Agree with the idea.

[Delhommey]

Agree with the idea.

Ansah looked like a manchild at the Senior bowl.

He's freakishly athletic, but just doesn't know the in's and out's of the position.

I'd be elated if we took him.