Jump to content
  • Welcome!

    Register and log in easily with Twitter or Google accounts!

    Or simply create a new Huddle account. 

    Members receive fewer ads , access our dark theme, and the ability to join the discussion!

     

Best Home field Advantage. Wow.


PantherBrew

Recommended Posts

http://www.grantland.com/story/_/id/10170641/bill-barnwell-best-home-field-advantages

 

 

 

 

 

To figure out who has the best home-field advantage in football, I went through the recent past and figured out the point differential for each team in their regular-season home and road games.1 To figure out their home-field advantage, I subtracted the road differential from the home differential and divided by two (since we're measuring home-field performance versus, theoretically, a neutral field). Games that weren't played at a team's typical home stadium, like the London international series or Buffalo's annual game in Toronto, were considered to be neutral-site games and excluded from the study.

As an example, take the home-field performance of the Seahawks since 2002, when they opened their new stadium in downtown Seattle. The average Seahawks home game over that time frame has seen them win by exactly one touchdown, 7.0 points. Only four other teams have won their home games by a larger average margin than the Seahawks. Those teams are each better on the road, though, than Seattle; the Seahawks lose their average road game by 3.3 points. That's a swing of 10.3 points the moment Seattle gets on a plane, which suggests that Seattle's home-field advantage is worth 5.2 points. That is, as you might expect, the most impressive observed home-field advantage in football during that time frame.

Here's a table with each team's home-field advantage in its current stadium, leaving out any games from before it moved into its new stadium. This only includes games since 2002, since that's when the NFL expanded to its current 32-team size, divisional structure, and schedule.

2d0go7l.jpg

 

 

 

If you don't believe point differential really captures the way a team plays at home and on the road, there's an even simpler way to analyze this: winning percentage at home and on the road. I'm a little uncomfortable with the small samples2 for teams with brand-new stadiums, but the numbers are mostly similar to the table above. Here are the top and bottom five teams in terms of the gap in their winning percentage at home and on the road:

mh5xk4.jpg

 

 

I do realize a lof of this has to do with just having an overall shitty teams since 2002. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Thread title implies the Panthers have the best homefield advantage when the article says they have the 31st. Article is interesting, title is terrible as are 90% of Huddle thread titles that's all I was saying.

It's an article about the best home field advantages. You inferred it was about the Panthers.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Thread title implies the Panthers have the best homefield advantage when the article says they have the 31st. Article is interesting, title is terrible as are 90% of Huddle thread titles that's all I was saying.

 

 

 

The title only implies that the Panthers have the number 1 home field advantage if you are an idiot. 

 

The purpose of the article is NFL's best home field advantage. That is what the title of my thread implies. 

 

I can't help you read it as, "Panthers are the best homefield team everz"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

"Wow" implies a surprise. An article saying Seattle has the #1 homefield is not a surprise. An article putting the Panthers at #1 or near #1 WOULD be a surprise. Hence why I expected an article about the Panthers surprisingly having the best homefield advantage for some reason. Ergo....your thread title failed.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.


  • PMH4OWPW7JD2TDGWZKTOYL2T3E.jpg

  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Give me Anthony Hill Jr or give me death
    • We need a Sam Off Ball Backer to pair with Lloyd. Lloyd is a strong Interior Will especially in Pass Coverage- but that is also Trevin Wallace’s archetype. Need a Rozeboom style run stopper. Rodriguez and Allen fit that
    • There aren’t that many ways to screw Day 2 up.  That’d be them making an obvious reach, or selecting at one of the few positions that we are pretty solid at. Because as excited as we are for the growth and improvement this team is showing, it’s still not an overly talented or deep roster. Honestly, there aren’t really many positions I’d feel bad about. Feelings about Bryce aside (because we are not going to select a QB), it’s really RB (bad positional value) and that’s it. I guess OT too since we grabbed Freeling in Round 1.    While not as high on my wish list as other spots, you can justify WR or TE.     Interior offensive lineman who would likely take over an interior spot either this year (at center) or guard (next for cap casualty of Hunt or Lewis)? Fine by me.   Dlineman? Yes, that’s a highly rotational position and we have zero quality depth.    ILB? Yep, could stand for an upgrade over Wallace.    EDGE? Absolutely wouldn’t hate another option to spell Phillips, Scourton, and Princely.    FS?  Would love to add better coverage skill set to the backend of the defense. Moehrig and Ransom are great in run support but not as good deep. Adding a more traditional FS would allow us to mix and match/run some 3 safety sub packages and or a big nickel type look with a SS down near the line for better run support in possible pass downs.    CB? Could stand to get better at nickel. 
×
×
  • Create New...