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Odds: SF@ Carolina


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 I guess if anything I would love to not feel the way I feel or know what I feel like I know but I felt the same way back in 2008 . I felt it. It's not something I have felt very often in my sports life.

 

 

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You are such a spare.

You're also what we call in the handicapping community a "square".

I have been gambling on football for over a decade, I know how things are going to play out sometimes, I see the fold before it happens in some instances. We would have beaten Philly and we would have beaten Green Bay but this San Fran team is a different animal. You know nothing, stick to grammar smack and begging for me being banned because I am talking logic while you carry on like a 15 year old kid that hasn't seen anything in the game of football.

 

gambling, sure..winning? doubtful. 

 

 Using your "logic" how much did the 03 Panthers cost you? 

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Line will go higher for SF

 

Yea because most are betting on SF at -2, -2.5 at a 67% clip and they want to get betting going the other way to even out the betting more. I'd say by Thursday it will be SF -3.5 to get some late bets on Carolina to get the bet spread closer to 55%-45%.

 

Also most early bets are fans betting their money, not big time gamblers. If you want to bet some big money, give it a few days and take Carolina +3 or +3.5 which it should get to based on early betting. 

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Seriously. Or a pack of first graders...

 

I didn't expect Carolina to be favored, but I am a little surprised this isn't a pickem. Public must have pounded the Niners hard. That line moved really fast. If it gets to Panthers +3 1/2 then damn.

 

Like I said in my other post, it's moved fast because the public went hard for the 49ers at +2. Last I checked the betting was somewhere around 67% on the 49ers. 

 

here's some lines as of right now.

 

Bovada has it as Carolina +3 (-35) or SF -3 (+15)

Sportsbook has it as Carolina +2 (-10) 

 

Most places in Vegas still have it as Carolina +2 (-10), however there are some that have Carolina at + 1 1/2 (-10).

 

I expect Vegas to quickly look like Bovada because of the way early betting has gone. 

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Yea because most are betting on SF at -2, -2.5 at a 67% clip and they want to get betting going the other way to even out the betting more. I'd say by Thursday it will be SF -3.5 to get some late bets on Carolina to get the bet spread closer to 55%-45%.

 

Also most early bets are fans betting their money, not big time gamblers. If you want to bet some big money, give it a few days and take Carolina +3 or +3.5 which it should get to based on early betting. 

 

Unless of course, you don't believe that Carolina +3 or +3.5 are the right bet

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Unless of course, you don't believe that Carolina +3 or +3.5 are the right bet

 

That's the line most of the big time gambler's are going to wait for, Carolina +3. It's expected to be a close low scoring game, That's a perfect line for betting on this game.  I mean they did barely beat GB's horrible defense by just 3 points.

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That's the line most of the big time gambler's are going to wait for, Carolina +3. It's expected to be a close low scoring game, That's a perfect line for betting on this game.  I mean they did barely beat GB's horrible defense by just 3 points.

 

Don't you think a lot of the smart money went on San Fran -1 at the open, thus swinging it to where it sits currently?

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SF is a favorite because of faulty public perception. That's how Vegas makes it's money. ESPN, NFLN, and Peter King, et.al. slobber over the 49ers from the final whistle of the packers game until kickoff the following Sunday at 1 pm. That influences public view of SF. "They must be the better team because Peter King and Trent Dilfer said so!"

Joe Public hears this shyt all week and goes out and drops $100 on the 49ers as a "lock."

Then the game gets started and the panthers win. Vegas cleans up and the square bettor loses because they drank the media kool aid.

Point spreads don't often have anything to do with who is the better team; they are adjusted up or down based on human psychology and perception of a team. The sheep blindly follow the cocksucking talking heads and lose. It happens every week.

That's why SF is favored - an angle for Vegas to win.

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That's the line most of the big time gambler's are going to wait for, Carolina +3. It's expected to be a close low scoring game, That's a perfect line for betting on this game.  I mean they did barely beat GB's horrible defense by just 3 points.

There's no point responding to that guy as he's obviously trolling.

 

When's the last time a 2 seed was a 3 point dog in the second round? Incredible. This line swung so fast, I have to think sharps are lying in wait for 3 and a half (or more?) to pounce on it. Wonder if Vegas will adjust much higher than it has regardless of the action they're getting on the Niners.

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