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BrianS

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Everything posted by BrianS

  1. The problem with the tweet is that it assumes that everyone accepts these things listed as "luck". I'm not sure that's the case. Opponent dropped interceptions - Are your receivers contesting these? Good teams have receivers who do it and coaches who teach it. Is your QB just throwing too many to the other guys, creating excess opportunities? Bad QB's do this. Either of these can skew such a stat to show that you're "unlucky". Opponent dropped passes - are your DB's in tight coverage making the catches contested? Good coaching and DB's heavily affect this stat. I'm not talking about pass break ups here, that's different. But just being in close proximity to a receiver can force mistakes. And that's not luck. Opponent kicks - Hey, here's a thought, don't let them get in a position to attempt the kicks. Good defenses do this. As a team, we are 20th in the league in number of FG attempts against per game. As a team, we are 21st in the league in TD's allowed per game. Overall, we're 17th in scoring defense. That seems about right. But it isn't luck. Fumble recoveries - While statistically speaking, fumble recoveries are a coin flip, there are other factors. Are you creating a lot of fumbles on defense? That's coaching and execution. Remember the impact of Charles Tillman here? Not luck. What about ball security on offense, do we have players who fumble more often than they should? Not luck. Awareness and coaching can affect this as well. This is the closest thing to luck on there, but it's not a slam dunk.
  2. Being the "best" of this sorry group is nothing to write home about, nor is it anything that should guarantee a paycheck in 2023.
  3. The guy is not wrong. Ravens are 2-4 this season when opponents score more than 20 points. Ravens are very inconsistent on offense. Now that's not all on Jackson, but if the Ravens put him on the books for 250 million what makes anyone believe the team will become MORE consistent? You just lost all your ability to sign vets, so you're depending on your drafted players on first contracts. The absolute definition of inconsistent.
  4. Defensive coaches are a dime a dozen. Wilks is that. The landscape is littered with Steve Wilks caliber defensive coaches. Dom Capers is still coaching for heavens sake! In this league, creating and keeping an offensive identity is far more important than defense. The only way to do that is to make sure your head coach is the one who is bringing that identity. You need an offensive minded coach to set you up for long term success.
  5. We don't have to give up ANY picks for Lamar Jackson. He's an unrestricted free agent after this season. However, I also don't think we should pay him. I think the QB market has finally reached a tipping point. Teams are starting to see what happens when you commit too much of your cap to a QB. The impending retirements of Rodgers, Brady, Wilson, etc are going to open up the playoffs to a number of teams with only "good" QB's. We've spent a lot of seasons now with some generational QB's in the league. Seems like we may be entering a patch where there aren't very many, if any, truly generational QB's in the NFL. And frankly, it will probably make things more interesting.
  6. Think of it this way . . . if Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes suddenly became Panthers . . . how good would our offense look?
  7. What on earth leads anyone to believe Cade Mays is the future? He's played a grand total of 20 snaps all season - exactly one snap on offense. In fact, the only rostered O lineman with fewer snaps played this year is Larnel Coleman who we swiped from Miami's practice squad last month. He's on our team so I hope he succeeds, but there is no evidence at all that he has a future at this point. Certainly not someone you bet your future on if there is a chance you can keep a guy like Bozeman around on reasonable money.
  8. Of all the guys on this staff Campen is the one I most want to see retained. Our OL isn't all time, but they are more than adequate to the task. They are playoff caliber.
  9. Baker can still reach the mark. Based on the first 10 games of the year, our offense should have around 1020 snaps over the course of the year. So far, Baker has played 315 snaps. If he gets all the snaps the rest of the year he would end with about 750 snaps. Just over the number required to hit the 4th/5th round mark.
  10. Trey Lance is not an unknown to that staff. They know him. They have two camps with him. They have two preseasons with him. They have all of last year watching him in practice. All of the past off season. That staff, right or wrong, seem to believe they have their guy. Negotiations this offseason with Jimmy G will tell us even more. With Corral, we have one TC - and not even a whole camp. Certainly not a preseason. He won't practice again until OTA's. And he'll have a new staff. The two situations could not be more different. Bottom line is you trust your evaluation. If your evaluation as a staff says that a guy is a franchise QB, and you don't have a proven one on roster, you draft the guy. Round projections and draft slot is all a smokescreen at this position. It's about evaluation and need when it comes to QB.
  11. I forgot he called that. That man has had one hell of a career. He can say whatever he wants at this point, he will go down as one of the greatest sports broadcasters ever.
  12. Hopefully someone has already pointed out what a made up stat this is. Using age as the marker is silly. Look at seasons played. By the end of his fourth season, Peppers had 40.5 sacks. By the end of his fourth season, Reggie White had 70 sacks. By the end of his fourth season, JJ Watt had 57 sacks. By the end of his fourth season, Myles Garrett had 42.5 sacks. By the end of his fourth season, Von Miller had 49 sacks. If Burns continues his current pace to the end of the season it will be his best season on record, and he'll finish in double digits for the first time with 12. And he'll still be behind all of those guys. He's good, not great. He has "great" in him, but he won't get there. Not with us as a DE. I'd be terrified of him in a Steelers shirt, because he'd be an OLB.
  13. No. He's not. A good backup takes care of the ball and makes safe decisions. The very things PJ doesn't do. Teddy Bridgewater is a good backup. He doesn't win games, but he doesn't throw them away either.
  14. Some would say it was coming. Jackson hasn't played a full season since his rookie year.
  15. Don't think that's it, even in sarcasm. I believe Corral was to have been our starter by this point. It seems abundantly clear. The offense was tailored to him. Now, we're stuck with guys that don't have the RPO ability. Who don't make quick decisions and throws and our offense looks terrible. We don't have a guy who can actually run what was installed effectively.
  16. This does not put butts in the seats. Burns does. Look, I don't think Burns will ever be great here. He'll be good. I can however see why the choice was made to keep him, even if I don't agree completely.
  17. Just at a quick glance, the Saints are 62 million over the 2023 cap right now. We are 3 million over. We're both in less than advantageous positions, but we're slightly better off.
  18. One thing you have to bear in mind about that Rams deal is that it was all future picks. They don't have a first round pick this April. Thus, the 2024 pick is actually valued as a second and the 2025 pick valued as a third. When you look at it through that lens the deal looks a little different.
  19. As a fan of the team, I hope all our draft picks become Pro Bowlers. In this case, the odds are against it. In general, non-first round QB's hit at a rate of about 10%. That chance should in no way influence our willingness to draft a QB this offseason. If we are picking and a guy we think is a franchise guy is on the board, we take him. If by some miracle we end up with two starting caliber QB's, we trade one for more draft capital.
  20. Really? Does he? Mike Rucker, 6'5", 275 Julius Peppers, 6'7", 295 Charles Johnson, 6'2", 275 Greg Hardy, 6'2", 280 JJ Watt, 6'5", 288 Myles Garret, 6'4", 271 Etc. Brian Burns, 6'5", 250 He's 20 to 30 lbs lighter than a prototypical DE. That matters. Burns does not have the size or strength of a typical DE. He does have exceptional speed. Frankly, he fits as a 3-4 OLB far far better than he does as a DE. So far, I am not convinced that Burns will ever be great for us. He'll be good. As long as he wants "good" money and not great, all is well. But paying great money for good production isn't what smart teams do.
  21. You can read the whole article here: https://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/nfl/look-tony-dungy-questions-nfl-officiating-crew-for-controversial-non-call/ar-AA13Qcbd?ocid=entnewsntp&cvid=6eb352e0a77d4a50bda2eacba8302509 Short version is that the same officiating crew who last week flagged DJ Moore for taking off his helmet neglected to flag Jalen Ramsey this week for the same thing. I didn't catch that game, and the incident isn't on the highlights. But seriously, at what point does the NFL actually do something?
  22. I cannot give this enough pie. QB is not the most important position in football. It's the most important position in team sports. Getting a young stud on a rookie contract for five years gives you a window to go from mediocre to contender. Until you have that guy, you spend every draft trying to get him at any slot required.
  23. QB coach, ok. OC, no way. The only year his offense (as an OC) was ever better than average was the 2017 SB year with the Eagles where Carson Wentz was actually playing like a god. His other OC gigs were middle of the pack at best.
  24. No. He's not. MHJ has the physical presence his dad never had. He's far more of a Randy Moss type.
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