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LKN Blizzard of 2022


Happy Panther
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This storm is gonna be a big time bust. I learned while living in CO and chasing powder to ignore everyone except the NOAA. They're not a public facing agency. They're not trying to drive viewership or clicks, just trying to get predictions correct. On top of this, pay special attention to final tweaks. If amounts trend up, look out. It's gonna be a banger. If they trend down, it's probably going to bust. The final tweaks are usually not aggressive enough likely due to the bias of having watched the models predict otherwise for the days leading up. Up until this afternoon they were staying pretty consistent with 4-10" or 6-12" nearly all snow predictions for Morganton. They're backpedaling now. Hard. Now they're saying 1-3" of snow and some freezing rain. 

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2 hours ago, LinvilleGorge said:

This storm is gonna be a big time bust. I learned while living in CO and chasing powder to ignore everyone except the NOAA. They're not a public facing agency. They're not trying to drive viewership or clicks, just trying to get predictions correct. On top of this, pay special attention to final tweaks. If amounts trend up, look out. It's gonna be a banger. If they trend down, it's probably going to bust. The final tweaks are usually not aggressive enough likely due to the bias of having watched the models predict otherwise for the days leading up. Up until this afternoon they were staying pretty consistent with 4-10" or 6-12" nearly all snow predictions for Morganton. They're backpedaling now. Hard. Now they're saying 1-3" of snow and some freezing rain. 

Ventusky says 8.5.  Also NOAA

 

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Edited by Ja Rhule
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