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Winning games vs draft position

ctrcat

By ctrcat,
in Carolina Panthers

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ctrcat Newbie

ctrcat

Posted
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To ease some fears, here is a rundown of the teams that could possibly "pass us" if we win out and still don't make the playoffs.  http://www.gbnreport.com/weeklydraftorder.html

 

With 16 our floor, here are the remaining schedules of those that could possibly "jump" us if we win the next two...

 

Teams that would only need to win one of the next two for us to pick over if we win out...

 

SF (SD, ARI)

MIA (MIN, NYJ)

CLE (CAR, @BAL)

HOU (BAL, JAX)

 

Teams that would need to win both of their remaining games for us to pick over if we win out....

 

MIN (@MIA, CHI)

STL (NYG, @SEA)

 

It's extremely unlikely that SF, MIA, and HOU don't win one of their next two.  That puts our realistic floor at 13, because realistically, CLE will lose @BAL and STL will not win @SEA.  The ideal but yet still very possible scenario would be for MIN to win @MIA (mildly unlikely), and then for MIA to win vs. NYJ and MIN to win vs CHI, both very likely.  We would then stay "ahead" of MIN and pick #12. 

 

Conclusion: Winning out would "likely" cost us 2 or 3 spots, moving from 10 to 12 or 13.  Clearly "worth" the price at the chance of playoff football and building a winning culture. 

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ctrcat Newbie

ctrcat

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Whatever we have to do to get Cooper.

 

Lose our next two, hope the NYG win @STL or PHI, and CHI (bwahaha) wins vs DET or @MIN, lock onto the #7 spot.  Pray for a miracle that he falls and/or nobody trades up to get him.  No sane reason to believe or pull for this scenario. 

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Semaj Newbie

Semaj

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Yep. Say goodbye to Cooper. Rivera being Rivera and winning too late to make the playoffs but just enough to screw up our draft position. We would have to move up to top 5 for Cooper. I don't know what the cost would be, but I say don't do it. Let's just take the best OT available.

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cbarrier90 Newbie

cbarrier90

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Yep. Say goodbye to Cooper. Rivera being Rivera and winning too late to make the playoffs but just enough to screw up our draft position. We would have to move up to top 5 for Cooper. I don't know what the cost would be, but I say don't do it. Let's just take the best OT available.

It would be one thing if a team in this division was 11-5, but at least we are in position for a playoff spot as long as we keep winning. The only issue is that we're not in control of our own destiny.

In years past, Atlanta or New Orleans would have the division locked up at this point and only then would we start winning. Big difference.

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Goondal Newbie

Goondal

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It's extremely unlikely that SF, MIA, and HOU don't win one of their next two.  That puts our realistic floor at 13, because realistically, CLE will lose @BAL and STL will not win @SEA.  The ideal but yet still very possible scenario would be for MIN to win @MIA (mildly unlikely), and then for MIA to win vs. NYJ and MIN to win vs CHI, both very likely.  We would then stay "ahead" of MIN and pick #12. 

 

 

I would bet against San Francisco in both of those games.  The season is lost and Harbaugh is all but out the door.  San Diego this week still has a lot to play for and is in the thick of the playoff chase.  The final week Arizona will be fighting for the division, a bye and a possible top overall seed so they too will have plenty of incentive.

 

Agree on the other two, Miami and Houston should win at least one.

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