Is there really a higher likelihood of finding starting caliber RB in later round?

[Untouchable]

1 hour ago, JawnyBlaze said:

That chart is more of an indicator of draft tendencies than anything, really.  Skill players go earlier, Gs, Cs, etc go later.  Good players can be found in any round, but if you need a certain caliber player at a particular position you need to pick them early. 

FournettetoPanthers2017

I would agree. It's really good at speaking to the value of positions. Elite talent obviously goes early but an interesting note I see at corner, for example, is the uptick in the 4th-5th round which probably would mean GMs start liking to take chances in nickelbacks. Gettleman at least seems to follows that logic as both nickels he's drafted were in the 5th (Bene, Sanchez).

[Snake]

In the 90s and early 2000s you might be right but now days RBs are not work horses and play more gun than power. Look at how NE has to totally change there formations for a player like Blount. He's cheap so they do it but not every down. 

[top dawg]

7 hours ago, JawnyBlaze said:

That chart is more of an indicator of draft tendencies than anything, really.  Skill players go earlier, Gs, Cs, etc go later.  Good players can be found in any round, but if you need a certain caliber player at a particular position you need to pick them early. 

FournettetoPanthers2017

I think the other chart is more about tendencies. The one I listed here speaks more to proficiency and skill.

Plus, there is a tendency to draft higher skilled players in the higher rounds.

[arbnranger]

Just adding data here. I went through and looked at all the starting RB's (32) then researched where they were selected in the draft. 

Not sure what this data tells us exactly, I'm still looking at it. Just wanted to share. 

RB's Selected in the 1st- 8

RB's Selected in the 2nd-7

RB's Selected in the 3rd- 6

RB's Selected in the 4th- 4

RB's Selected in the 5th- 1

RB's Selected in the 6th- 1

RB's Selected in the 7th- 1

RB's Undrafted -              4

 

 

[top dawg]

4 hours ago, arbnranger said:

Just adding data here. I went through and looked at all the starting RB's (32) then researched where they were selected in the draft. 

Not sure what this data tells us exactly, I'm still looking at it. Just wanted to share. 

RB's Selected in the 1st- 8

RB's Selected in the 2nd-7

RB's Selected in the 3rd- 6

RB's Selected in the 4th- 4

RB's Selected in the 5th- 1

RB's Selected in the 6th- 1

RB's Selected in the 7th- 1

RB's Undrafted -              4

 

 

I think that it somewhat mirrors the chart data which is kind of telling in my opinion, but my thing is more than a few Huddlers have said that it's easier to find quality RBs in the later rounds than other positions, and that's not really true. You're actually less likely to find a good RB relative to most other positions.

[Shocker]

If we don't get Fornette I like the idea of moving up into the bottom of the first for McCaffrey.  Probably need to keep Stewart around but McCaffrey can be good in multiple roles for us.

[d-dave]

The issue is always a quandary.  The NFL is a quarterback driven league.  You have to have a franchise QB if you want to get anywhere.  Thankfully we do.

A running game only makes that QB better.  It gives you the entire play-action game.  It helps your defense.  So long as the player translates to your system OR you're willing to adjust for the strengths of your player, then it's an easy pick to make.

As far as getting a late round RB, that's really hit or miss due to the fact that later RBs tend to have some kind of weaknesses.  A stud RB who'se good at everything, or great at a few things, tends to be able to make plays regardless of the situation.  A "good" RB who has some strengths and limits on the other hand, has to fall into the right situation.  

Sometimes you can get a guy on the 3rd day who can run the ball effectively in your system, but he's not a pass catcher.  Or he's good for 4 yards a go, that's it.  You can build an offense with a role player, who will come out and have some great seasons in the right system.  Think of Alfred Morris. a 6th round pick.  He had some great years in DC, but was stuck behind Zeke in Dallas.

I'd love to have a guy who can be that 3 down player.  A guy who can replace Stewart, while maybe learning from him as a rookie.  Fournette would be a dream pick, but does that create a situation where another player can have a greater, immediate impact?  That's a slippery slope of logic, and why I'm glad I'm just a fan with a keyboard =)