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Xavier Legette is the face of the NFL at the Kentucky Derby

LondonderryPanther
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tukafan21 Grand Master

tukafan21

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, TheSpecialJuan said:

https://x.com/justblande/status/1918486619910238639?s=46&t=xeIgh_-Vr2aKxBkBJdfnKA

I love how he pitches XL as a guy to draft for fantasy this year

I still think XL has real potential as a #2 to T-Mac, but even if he improves from last year, he's not going to be a very good fantasy guy this year.

We're a run first team, T-Mac and Thielen will always be Bryce's first and second reads, plus T-Mac will be the red zone target.  My guess is XL still has a few big games here or there, but he's going to be a very up and down game log based on what the defense is doing that week and will be an impossible fantasy starter because of it.

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NAS Grand Master

NAS

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2 hours ago, tukafan21 said:

I love how he pitches XL as a guy to draft for fantasy this year

I still think XL has real potential as a #2 to T-Mac, but even if he improves from last year, he's not going to be a very good fantasy guy this year.

We're a run first team, T-Mac and Thielen will always be Bryce's first and second reads, plus T-Mac will be the red zone target.  My guess is XL still has a few big games here or there, but he's going to be a very up and down game log based on what the defense is doing that week and will be an impossible fantasy starter because of it.

He’ll be a solid flex option 

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tukafan21 Grand Master

tukafan21

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14 minutes ago, NAS said:

He’ll be a solid flex option 

Not really

If he has 50 rec, 600 yards, and 5 TDs in a PPR he only averages 8.2 points a game, which will be only 6.4 ppg in the weeks he doesn’t score a TD.

Yea, he’ll have a couple 7 rec, 75 yds, TD games which would be a great week to start him, but in most weeks he’s not going to be a someone you can start unless you are in a crazy deep league or decimated by injuries.

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jfra78 Grand Master

jfra78

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7 hours ago, tukafan21 said:

Not really

If he has 50 rec, 600 yards, and 5 TDs in a PPR he only averages 8.2 points a game, which will be only 6.4 ppg in the weeks he doesn’t score a TD.

Yea, he’ll have a couple 7 rec, 75 yds, TD games which would be a great week to start him, but in most weeks he’s not going to be a someone you can start unless you are in a crazy deep league or decimated by injuries.

You really don't know.  XL could be a 1k 10 td guy next season and Tmac could get 400 and 1td.  It's totally plausible.  

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tukafan21 Grand Master

tukafan21

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Posted (edited)
4 hours ago, jfra78 said:

You really don't know.  XL could be a 1k 10 td guy next season and Tmac could get 400 and 1td.  It's totally plausible.  

If XL has 1,000 yards and 10 TDs, then Thielen missed a lot of games and T-Mac either also did or he was more of a bust than XL was as a rookie last year.

There's no logical path to him putting up those kind of numbers as our 3rd receiving option unless that happens.  XL can have an outstanding season for us but still not be a good player on fantasy rosters, as it's a big difference between us trying to have him as our #1 WR last year vs #3 this year.  

Which is why I was looking at a possible 50/600/5 type of stat line, as if he does that while cutting down on his drops, while it will be a similar stat line as his rookie year, it will still be an improvement on his play and a good sign for his chances as our future #2 next to T-Mac.

I'm in a 12 person league with 2 flex spots and a deep bench, usually will see around 60-65 WRs drafted, and I'd be genuinely surprised to see XL get taken this season.

In fact, I could see a scenario where Coker is a more valuable fantasy player than XL this season, even in the event that XL has an improved season.  As I think XL is going to have that type of season where he has huge ups and downs from a box score perspective, where as Coker could be a more steady 3-4 catch for 30-40 yards every week type of season and would be a higher floor if you need a spot start at WR (at least in a PPR).

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