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Tetairoa McMillan - Your 2025 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year - (Welp... Guess I Was Right)


tukafan21
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1 hour ago, cranky said:

Anyone looking for a big jump next year is setting themselves up for disappointment given how well he played this year:

  • 14th in Yards (13th among WRs)
  • 15th in TDs (11th among WRs)
  • 10th in 20+ yard receptions
  • 10th in 40+ yard receptions
  • 7th in 1st Down receptions (6th among WRs)
  • 19th in YPC (but 8th among players with 40+ rec)

And Young was at 16.7% bad throws this year. Even is he drops to 15%, that's only a 1.7% improvement. Given TMac was targeted 122 times, that means he would have 2 extra catches next year. That put with the fact that Coker should be getting some of his catches next year, assuming he stays healthy, I would expect his targets to drop - not increase.

Just my JMTC

T-Mac averaged 7.1 targets a game this season and had games of 2, 4, 4, 5, 5, 6, and 6 targets this year.

Even with an improved Coker, there is no reason T-Mac shouldn't see a solid uptick of targets this year, he is a true #1 WR, and even with Coker, he realistically should be 8-9 targets a game next season.  Love Coker's potential as a real nice #2 option in this league, but he's not good enough that we should be taking targets away from T-Mac to get more for Coker.

In addition to that, I think they'll start throwing more downfield to him as well, which will only help his yardage total even if he gets the same amount of targets.  Then add him catching a few more of the ones he actually dropped, plus a handful more catches on the non-drops but tough catches he couldn't complete.

Also we had 191 targets to RBs and TEs next year, with Rico being our best receiving threat of any of them and he'll be gone.  Even if Etienne and/or Brooks take a bunch of those, or we sign a new TE, there should be a solid chunk of those targets going to Coker either, so he won't be taking any of T-Mac's targets due to that as well.

Also don't forget that while he played 17 games this year, T-Mac basically put up his stats in 16 games, as he clearly was out there in Week 17 as a decoy and not a real target threat due to him being sick, and thus his 1 catch for 5 yards on 4 target stat line.

Edited by tukafan21
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