Vegas says we win 8 games this year

[Captain Morgan]

http://www.nationalfootballpost.com/LVH-releases-2014-NFL-season-win-totals.html

 

 

 

[Cary Kollins]

sweet, what's up over

[RoaringRiot]

They've got pretty much everyone in our Division around .500

[PantherWake]

Welp the 2015 LT search starts now

[BigBoss]

lol 6.5, Vegas sure knows what their talking about!

 

I'm never terribly concerned with what goes on in sin city.

[Leeroy Jenkins PhD]

If you notice, betters tend to selectively bet the "overs". If you are at all into sports better, never bet the over.  The under holds so much more value.

 

[Cyclonus]

What did they predict for the Panthers last off-season?  

[Cary Kollins]

fwiw Vegas only wants maximum amount of bets on both sides.  They are not really predicting a win total.

[Montsta]

What did they predict for the Panthers last off-season?

I believe it was 6.5, but I'll have to double check. I bet the over and won it by November I know that much.

[caatfan]

No surprise at the prediction of a .500 season. We have no returning WR's and didn't draft or trade for a LT. That's our 'label' until we prove it wrong.

[Captain Morgan]

What did they predict for the Panthers last off-season?  

 

 

7, so it looks like we'll win 13 this year.

[Mr. Scot]

Pretty sure they said the same thing last year.

[Happy Panther]

Vegas says we win 8 games this year

As someone else pointed out the odds are not even for the over under so the actual even money "prediction" is something higher than 8.

 

The cowboys at 8 games is the even money prediction.

[Happy Panther]

fwiw Vegas only wants maximum amount of bets on both sides.  They are not really predicting a win total.

While technically most of the time the best way to get even money on both sides is to mathematically start with an accurate prediction. There are a couple of companies that set lines and they rely on shedloads of data.

 

For bigger games or matches where there will be obvious biased betting the casinos may move the line away from a data driven line at the start. Example of this would be Ladbrokes setting a line on an England vs Germany world cup final in England. Way more money will be going to England that any data would suggest.