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NFL ELO Ratings, Playoff Odds, Super Bowl Odds - Week 3

h0llywood

By h0llywood,
in Carolina Panthers

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h0llywood Enthusiast

h0llywood

Posted
Posted

http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/nfl-week-3-elo-ratings-and-playoff-odds/

 

In light of all the negative crap this week, hopefully here are some positive nuggets going into week 3.

 

According to fivethirtyeight.com, an ESPN affiliate, Carolina has the 5th best ranking for all teams through week 3.

 

silver-elo-table-1-week3.png?w=305&h=894

 

 

 

Carolina is simulated to win 10.7 games (3rd best)

67% Chance to win the Division (Best in NFL)

77% to make the playoffs (2nd Best)

9% change to win the Super Bowl (3rd Best)

 

silver-elo-table-2-week3.png?w=610&h=104

 

I hope that this trend continues through the course of the year then we will be in good shape. #KEEPPOUNDING

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Ruff Newbie

Ruff

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ELO is a really comprehensive guide for rankings. It's similar to the system that's used in competitive chess, and it's what all of the major competitive video games use to calculate ladder rankings. 

 

It measure strength of opponent by using things like, winning against a higher ranked opponent gives you more points, losing against a lower ranking team gives you negative points, for example. It's really hard to use on a team-based game, though, because the system really is (usually) to determine individual rankings.

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h0llywood Enthusiast

h0llywood

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ELO is a really comprehensive guide for rankings. It's similar to the system that's used in competitive chess, and it's what all of the major competitive video games use to calculate ladder rankings.

It measure strength of opponent by using things like, winning against a higher ranked opponent gives you more points, losing against a lower ranking team gives you negative points, for example. It's really hard to use on a team-based game, though, because the system really is (usually) to determine individual rankings.

Thanks Ruff. It was late and I couldn't find how to explain it

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