Panthers winning percentages over time

[KB_fan]

BBR posted a very interesting link over the weekend in their round up of recent links (http://blackandbluereview.com/links-you-may-have-missed-july-12/)

It provides a statistical analysis in a graphical color-coded format to show each team's winning percentage (percentile ranking) in a given season and over time.

You can find all the charts here.

http://www.frivoletics.com/team-performances-over-different-spans-of-time/nfl/

Here is a screen shot of the Panthers' chart  (It's best to go to the original link, however, because there, if you hover over a specific triangle or diamond, more data shows up.):

I found it interesting to use this chart to review the Panthers' best-ever REGULAR SEASON records over a 1 to 5 year period, and to see how this upcoming season could affect our results.

• Best-ever 1 year (16 game regular season) results:  12 - 4  (1996, 2008, 2013)
• Best-ever 2 year record:  20 - 12 (2008-2009)
• Best-ever 3 year record: 29 - 19  (2003 - 2005)
• Best-ever 4 year record:  38 - 26 (2005 - 2008)
• Best-ever 5 year record:  46 - 34  (2005 - 2009)

If we were to go 12 - 4 this year as some (like Eugene Robinson) predict, that would mean:

tied for the best 1 year record.,

just short of the best 2 year record at 19-12-1

a NEW best-ever 3 year record of 31-16-1

a NEW best-ever 4 year record of 38 - 25-1

just short of the best 5 year record at 44-35-1

We'd also set a new best 10 year record of 81-78-1.

 

Here's hoping we start seeing a LOT more blue in the coming years on this chart.  I think the Panthers are poised for a great winning run over the next few years.  Let's do it!

GPKP!!

[Jeremy Igo]

Good stuff. Thanks for posting. 

[nctarheel0619]

If everyone wants a good laugh, look at Arizona's.  Yeeshhhhhhh

[KB_fan]

By the way, one thing I didn't mention, was that it was only last season for the first time ever that the Panthers eeked out a winning 10 year record, thanks to the tie against the Bengals.  Our 7-8-1 record last year brought our running 10-year record to 80-79-1.

from 2004 - 2013 we were at .500  (80-80)

and in 4 separate 10 year periods (99-08; 00-09; 02-11, 03-12) we were just under .500 at 79-81.

[Mother Grabber]

we're currently 158-174-1 overall, including playoffs.  Looks like 2+ seasons until we're over .500 as a franchise.

NFCS Overall Records

• Panthers: .473
• NO: .442
• Atlanta: .432
• Tampa: .385

[@bonafidebanter]

we're currently 158-174-1 overall, including playoffs.  Looks like 2+ seasons until we're over .500 as a franchise.

NFCS Overall Records

• Panthers: .473
• NO: .442
• Atlanta: .432
• Tampa: .385

yuck

[Mr Mojo Risin]

Cam will get this Franchise over the hump. While it's great that we're #1 in the division in wins overall, I think he can get us well over .500 in the coming years.

[KB_fan]

we're currently 158-174-1 overall, including playoffs.  Looks like 2+ seasons until we're over .500 as a franchise.

NFCS Overall Records

• Panthers: .473
• NO: .442
• Atlanta: .432
• Tampa: .385

I'm assuming these numbers aove cover each Franchise's entire history?  I thought it might be better to look at each team's record over the past 20 years since the Panthers were formed, from 1995 - 2014.   Obviously, the divisions were different prior to 2002 and the creation of the NFCS.  If it would be helpful, I could look at the records just since 2002 within the NFCS.

I hope my quick research & calculations are accurate, but here's what I come up with.

20 year records  1995 - 2014  (regular season only)         team W L T Total Win %       Falcons 159 160 1 320 49.7%       Saints 157 163 0 320 49.1%       Panthers 151 168 1 320 47.2%       Bucs 148 172 0 320 46.3%                         20 year records (1995 - 2014) including postseason         team W L T Total Win % playoff years SBs SB Wins Saints 164 168 0 332 49.4% 6 1 1 Falcons 164 168 1 333 49.2% 8 1 0 Panthers 158 174 1 333 47.4% 6 1 0 Bucs 153 178 0 331 46.2% 7 1 1

 

 

[Mother Grabber]

I'm assuming these numbers aove cover each Franchise's entire history?  I thought it might be better to look at each team's record over the past 20 years since the Panthers were formed, from 1995 - 2014.   Obviously, the divisions were different prior to 2002 and the creation of the NFCS.  If it would be helpful, I could look at the records just since 2002 within the NFCS.

I hope my quick research & calculations are accurate, but here's what I come up with.

20 year records  1995 - 2014  (regular season only)         team W L T Total Win %       Falcons 159 160 1 320 49.7%       Saints 157 163 0 320 49.1%       Panthers 151 168 1 320 47.2%       Bucs 148 172 0 320 46.3%                         20 year records (1995 - 2014) including postseason         team W L T Total Win % playoff years SBs SB Wins Saints 164 168 0 332 49.4% 6 1 1 Falcons 164 168 1 333 49.2% 8 1 0 Panthers 158 174 1 333 47.4% 6 1 0 Bucs 153 178 0 331 46.2% 7 1 1

 

 

yes, I posted the overall numbers. I started posting overall numbers last year, doing a countdown to .500, which didn't make any progress. :( Thought this discussion was a good place to bring it back up. trying to add to the discussion, not divert it.

[TheRed]

That extra 1 for the tie game against the Bengals just pisses me off every time I see it.

[KB_fan]

Mother Grabber, thanks.  Didn't think you were diverting the discussion.  The stats you posted are interesting, I was just trying to make sure I knew what years they covered.  Here's the breakdown for the results since the creation of the NFC South in 2002:

NFC South Division Records (2002 - 2014), including Postseason
team	W	L	T	Total	Win %	Division Wins	playoff years	SBs	SB Wins
Saints	121	97	0	218	55.5%	3	5	1	1
Falcons	113	103	1	217	52.1%	3	6	1	0
Panthers	111	107	1	219	50.7%	4	5	1	0
Bucs	90	123	0	213	42.3%	3	3	1	1

 

[KB_fan]

One more statistic for the curious...  I thought it was interesting to go back and look at the records for the 1st 20 years of each NFCS franchise.  The Panthers in this case totally outclass the rest of our division.  Of course the NFL has changed a lot over the years, so I'm not sure this is really an "apples to apples" comparison, but still, we've gotten off to a much better start than our rivals did. 

Each NFCS Franchise's 1st 20 seasons
team	W	L	T	Total	Win %	Years
Panthers	158	174	1	333	47.4%	1995-2014
Falcons	111	174	4	289	38.4%	1966-1985
Saints	90	196	5	291	30.9%	1967-1986
Bucs	94	213	1	308	30.5%	1976-1995

 

 

[hepcat]

x-post from reddit

[KB_fan]

(note: ignore the "spoiler alert" below - it was the only way I could figure out how to hide a lot of blank lines that I inadvertently copied from my Excel spreadsheet)

AND.....

Continuing my procrastination this evening, here's a roundup of all 32 NFL teams regular season records over the past 20 years.  Forgive me if this is old news to many.  I just had a lot of fun playing with that infographic/chart and being able to see each NFL team's records for different periods.  I'm fairly new to NFL geekery & stats.

It's incredibly striking how much parity there is among the 4 NFC South teams in the past 20 years, though obviously these records pre-date the creation of the NFC South in 2002. 

NFL Regular Season Records during the past 20 years (1995 - 2014)

* = less than 20 seasons

Division	Team	W	L	T	Total	Win %
AFC-E	Patriots	219	101	0	320	68.4%
NFC-N	Packers	207	112	1	320	64.7%
AFC-N	Steelers	199	120	1	320	62.2%
AFC-S	Colts	197	123	0	320	61.6%
AFC-W	Broncos	196	124	0	320	61.3%
NFC-E	Eagles	179	139	2	320	55.9%
AFC-N	Ravens*	168	135	1	304	55.3%
NFC-W	Seahawks	172	148	0	320	53.8%
NFC-E	Cowboys	170	150	0	320	53.1%
NFC-W	49ers	170	149	1	320	53.1%
NFC-N	Vikings	166	153	1	320	51.9%
AFC-S	Titans	165	155	0	320	51.6%
NFC-E	Giants	165	154	1	320	51.6%
AFC-W	Chargers	161	159	0	320	50.3%
AFC-E	Dolphins	160	160	0	320	50.0%
AFC-W	Chiefs	160	160	0	320	50.0%
NFC-S	Falcons	159	160	1	320	49.7%
NFC-S	Saints	157	163	0	320	49.1%
NFC-N	Bears	153	167	0	320	47.8%
NFC-S	Panthers	151	168	1	320	47.2%
AFC-E	Jets	150	170	0	320	46.9%
NFC-S	Bucs	148	172	0	320	46.3%
AFC-S	Jaguars	147	173	0	320	45.9%
AFC-E	Bills	144	176	0	320	45.0%
AFC-N	Bengals	141	177	2	320	44.1%
NFC-E	Redskins	137	182	1	320	42.8%
AFC-S	Texans*	88	120	0	208	42.3%
NFC-W	Rams	135	184	1	320	42.2%
NFC-W	Cardinals	131	189	0	320	40.9%
AFC-W	Raiders	124	196	0	320	38.8%
NFC-N	Lions	117	203	0	320	36.6%
AFC-N	Browns*	89	183	0	272	32.7%