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calling ALL Gamblers


LUUUUUKE

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Most places have us as 6 points favorite, large majority of the money is on Carolina even with the large point spread, Vegas is thinking Carolina wins by a field goal and wants to force money on Denver with a large spread on Denver.

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http://www.oddsshark.com/

You can see the odds and the % of bets there.  Currently both the Panthers and the Over have 55% of the bets.

Earlier in the week it was being reported that 85% or so of the bets were on Carolina and the Over so the more recent money has been on Denver and the Under.

Something like 90% of the money on the game is typically bet in the final forty-eight to seventy-two hours, so things can definitely change.

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While I live in Vegas, I'm a betting noob but I have been listening to the radio this week. I don't wager but it's a bit intriguing. Basically, a repeat performance of what we did to the Cardinals and it will truly be a golden Super Bowl for the general public.

On a side note, you can now bet on who will be the game's MVP this year. One guess on who's the favorite there. 

 

 

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I am not sure how to bet this, the -6 is too big for my blood.  I hate going that high in the NFL.  I hate it even more with my team, especially in the SB.  I do not want to win by 3 and still be a little upset because I lost several hundred.

A couple of things I am looking at.  I think Denver Under 20 is the best bet

Teasing Carolina and the Under looks decent.  I normally hate teasing but it would make the game a pick and Under 51, which seems really nice

J-Stew to win the MVP at 25-1 is worth a flier.  You can also get him just better than even to have the most rushing yards and at 15-2 to score the first TD.  If I go this route then Stew could do me very well this weekend.

Other props I am considering:
Stew Over 67.5 yards
Hillman Under 62.5 yards
Ginn Ove 5.5 yards
Stew to beat Hillman by at least 5 yards
Manning Under 235.5 yards
Manning Under 21.5 Completions
Cam Under 18.5 Completions (the only negative Panther bet.  I think we will be up by enough that we do not need him to complete 19+ passes)

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    • to clarify I am not referring to Will Levis.  Not knowingly.   I just made that up and tried to use a reasonable guesstimate of what else was done.  That sounded in the ballpark.  At one time I did look it all up and there were several teams that had much more successful days downfield.   If that happened to be Levis' actual numbers than it's more of a lucky coincidence.  If memory serves, it wasn't just Will Levis that brought the claim into question, it was SEVERAL teams had better days.  and you are missing my entire point of the subjective nature of it all.  If PFF employee Doug watched Bryce's film and then used his same unique subjective vantage point to grade all 31 other starting QBs.  Then dumped into into a spread sheet, it would a subjective Doug take but at least it would be a level uniform subjectivity.   The grades are done by various people.  All watching and applying their own subjective view to a play.  Everyone isn't going to grade incompletions out the same.  Or completions.   So when you dump it all into a spread sheet and hit sort.....it's not actually a statement of fact as portrayed.  Which is why you sometimes get some head scratching stuff.  I'm not reframing anything.   I don't think.  I just wasn't going to look it all back up so I was talking vaguely off the general issue I have with PFF and treating any random claim they make as the truth. 
    • Jones got projected as the next Eli because they share a similar goofball, on the spectrum energy.  That's my theory.
    • I didn't think underrated was the wildest statement. The passing and offensive command he showed in week 18 against Atlanta was as good as any QB that has ever played for this franchise.  I mean THAT part is wild.  Which plays into the overrated part.  End of regulation I don't think he even hit 200 yards passing.  I mean he had a very efficient day vs a weak defense.   As good as we have ever seen in Carolina?   
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