Jump to content
  • Welcome!

    Register and log in easily with Twitter or Google accounts!

    Or simply create a new Huddle account. 

    Members receive fewer ads , access our dark theme, and the ability to join the discussion!

     

A closer look at top NFL contracts by position


KB_fan

Recommended Posts

2 hours ago, KB_fan said:

The dilemma quickly becomes obvious.  We already have 6 positions with players in the top 10 salaries at their position.  But given our roster depth, we've got more such players who need re-signing very soon.  If their play continues on a 2015-level, I'd argue that KK, Norwell and Turner all deserve top 10 money.

  • KK:  about $15 million per year.
  • Norwell & Turner could each command $7.5 million
  • Oher might be a bargain given his good fit with our team and coaches and his age.  Maybe he is worth about $6 - 7 million per year.
  • CJ, Addison & Ealy, it's a bit hard to predict, but two of these DEs could easily command $20 million between them if they play well.
  • If KB turns into the star we think he can be, he'd easily be looking at $13 million per year.
  • Kurt Coleman played like a top 10 safety last year.... If we want to pay him like one next year, that's another $6 - 7 million.

in my humble opinion (which is worth less than a mediocre fullback's salary):

KK belongs up there with Suh, Cox, Dareus, and McCoy. He will get (and deserve) at least 16.5 for 5 years, which would be a bargain.

Turner is going to be a perennial pro-bowler for years to come, he'll get paid as such. that may not bode well for Norwell as guards are easily draftable in later rounds. Unless he is willing to work at a bugget rate (which I hope because I frikkin love that guy)

Oher ($6-7mil) and Remmers ($4-5 mil) are both going to get team friendly contracts. Oher, because he's made his money already and likes it here, and remmers because he's about to usurped at RT and will become a damn good lifetime back up.

CJ will sign another short term, team friendly deal to retire a Panther. Addison is a 1 trick pony who won't demand a lot of money. he could get stolen by another team, but isn't a big loss, his replacement is already on the team somewhere (Cox, DeLaire). Ealy will get a huge contract if he continues to play like he did last season. $15-16 mil wouldn't be a stretch, hopefully G-man finds a way to keep him wit us.

Pay KB, another perennial pro-bowler  if his rookie year is any indication. Ginn, Brown, and Hill are all due also, but I have no idea of their value yet. If Hill has the break out season we all hope he has, he may be snatched up by another team next year. Then again, we may cut him before the season starts. The same can be said for Brown, and, to a lesser extent, Ginn. Ginn has already left chasing a pay day once, and it didn't turn out well for him, so he's likely to be team friendly when he's negotiating; plus he's old.

$6-7 mil for Coleman? I can see that. He played well last year, but is changing positions this season, so we'll see how he fares.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, top dawg said:

Interesting. 

I have alluded to the opinion before that I believe that Getty is in the same mold of Billy B when it comes to player contracts and his system (a.k.a. the Patriot way). I feel that the culture of compromise and sacrifice in order to be a part of a stronger and greater team that ultimately leads to winning is something that is instilled in players if not expressly, quite naturally just by being in an atmosphere that breeds brotherhood. Part of the philosophy is that no one player is greater or stronger than the brotherhood. I feel that Getty feels that if a player wants to be here---part of this excellence---then they will not upset the apple cart by demanding top dollars, but good money that will afford them an opportunity to stay here and be a part of this special system. 

I don't believe Gettleman is ever going to sacrifice the greater good of the team by putting more money than he feels is fair into a player, no matter who they are or whether or not they can command a greater salary on the open market. I believe that players know (or will know) that if you want to be a Panther, then you aren't going to break the bank---Gettleman's budget---to be here. 

All that being said, perhaps more in guarantees, or some other contractual benefits, may keep players like Short or Benjamin here. But, I don't believe that our culture is a fit for dudes who want to be the highest paid at their positions. Moreover, I feel that Gettleman acquires players that can adapt and be developed to fill in as contingencies in case any individual feels the need to get froggy and jump ship over a few mil per year. 

The team has already shown what it can do without Benjamin, and will show what it can do without Norman, and if it comes to it, without Short as well. Gettleman just keeps reloading the roster with talent, and some of those guys, much like Luke, TD and Olsen are going to be willing to make the sacrifice to want to be here simply because it's a great environment to be a part of in the locker room, on and off the field.

 

I agree, both with your statement and this team building strategy. However, both the Pats (cheating pricks) and G-man have core players that they need to elevate the talent around them. Cam/Brady, Olsen/Gronk...The question is, are KK and KB core players? IMO, KK very well may be, and will get a big payday as long as he doesn't try to rape us (talking to you JNo). KB is another question all together since we only have 1 year to look at, and we did very well without him last season. The jury is very much still out on whether he is a needed piece of our offense or just a really good player to have around.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Thanks for the work you put in @KB_fan. I know you love it, but still. You're awesome. 

Your research scares me, but I am consoled by the fact that not only do we have a savvy helmsman directing our franchise in Gettleman, but we also have a stellar talent evaluator and by 2018, we will have two more drafts by his hand to make up for lost talent.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The guaranteed money in KK's contract will be this yrs Franchise tag plus 120% for year 2 plus 120% for year 3. .... 6 yr 96 million with 50 mil guaranteed should keep him in Carolina. If we wait the guaranteed money will increase.

We can keep KK in Carolina by franchising him for 3 years (if that started this year, that would total 49.5 million). Thats where I came up with the guaranteed money.

Thats the problem with Von Millers contract, He wants that 3rd year guaranteed and the Broncos are not offering that.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 6/15/2016 at 0:53 PM, KB_fan said:

There are 290 players earning an annual average of at least 5 million, so roughly 9 players per team with this kind of premium contract, though that number varies quite a bit by team.   (Detroit has the fewest high-contract players - only 5.  Philly has the most with 15!)  New England currently has 6 players with contracts north of 5 million. The Panthers also have 6

Well, now the Panthers have 7 players north of 5 million per year.  LT Michael Oher was just given a 3 year extension:

Pretty much what I expected:

On 6/15/2016 at 0:53 PM, KB_fan said:

Oher might be a bargain given his good fit with our team and coaches and his age.  Maybe he is worth about $6 - 7 million per year.

Maybe a tad bit above what I thought.  But a solid LT is very very worth the money. 

 

Given that the average for the 22 highest paid LTs in the league is slightly above 9.1 million a year, this contract at about 7 million per year is still a bargain.  (The top 10 LTs make north of 11.6 million per year).

Here are the other top LTs and their salaries as of earlier this week:

LT salaries.png

So Oher comes in around 16th in the league in tersm of average annual salary.

($9,128,169 is the average for all 22 of the above LTs.  $11,685,900 is the average for the top 10.)

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I think the point is, don't fall in love with any one player . . . especially at a position like safety or WR.  Everyone is pegging KB as a top-dollar player; I'm not so sure.  He still has a lot to prove.  Getts derives value from his system, not what the player gets on the open market.  The necessary result of this is some teams have focused on front loading their roster with big spending on big time players, while other rosters shake it more evenly across the board.  Don't feel upset if KK is demanding 17-19 and we let him walk...

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 hours ago, KillerKat said:

Wasn't Cox paid as a DE?

 

3 hours ago, GoobyPls said:

Clay Mathews was paid as an OLB

 

And a lot the guys you mentioned will not get top money. 

As far as positions, I was just going by how they were listed at Spotrac.  Didn't have a chance to verify the data...

 

As for the guys I mentioned, I agree we can't / won't pay them all the kind of money I listed.  (Though I'm 1 for 1 with Oher!)  It was mostly just to illustrate the hard decisions G'man has ahead.  This is the kind of money some of these guys might be able to get from another team if they continue to play up to the level we expect is possible.

I'll be particularly interested to see what G'man does with Turner & Norwell.  Guards are a bit less expensive, and a bit easier to find than LTs or Cs.  But when you've got your QB in his prime and playing at MVP-level, investing significantly in the Oline makes sense. 

Who in particular do you think we'll let walk?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, KB_fan said:

Who in particular do you think we'll let walk?

I think it all depends on how much a particular player insists on getting. I really don't think our GM is going to play the 'highest paid player in the NFL at my position' game if other teams have gone off the deep end like Philly did with Cox. Some guys are hung up on that extra million or two and others value playing for an organization like the Panthers. Oher is the latest example of the latter. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, KB_fan said:

 

As far as positions, I was just going by how they were listed at Spotrac.  Didn't have a chance to verify the data...

 

As for the guys I mentioned, I agree we can't / won't pay them all the kind of money I listed.  (Though I'm 1 for 1 with Oher!)  It was mostly just to illustrate the hard decisions G'man has ahead.  This is the kind of money some of these guys might be able to get from another team if they continue to play up to the level we expect is possible.

I'll be particularly interested to see what G'man does with Turner & Norwell.  Guards are a bit less expensive, and a bit easier to find than LTs or Cs.  But when you've got your QB in his prime and playing at MVP-level, investing significantly in the Oline makes sense. 

Who in particular do you think we'll let walk?

Well everyone is concerned about what we'll pay KK because of Cox. But half of sites list Cox as a DE. So if they paid him as a DE, then his contract would have nothing to do with KK right?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

14 minutes ago, KillerKat said:

Well everyone is concerned about what we'll pay KK because of Cox. But half of sites list Cox as a DE. So if they paid him as a DE, then his contract would have nothing to do with KK right?

Well, that logic goes out the window if KK and his agent think that Cox's contract is a good comparable, and from all I've heard & read, they think it's a very good comparable - better than Malik Jackson.  And in fact, based on production, it's not a bad comparable at all.  But as I've said before Charlotte is not Philly in terms of cost of living, so in that sense Cox is not a good comparable, and I earnestly hope KK will figure that out.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.


  • PMH4OWPW7JD2TDGWZKTOYL2T3E.jpg

  • Topics

  • Posts

    • This is something that has irritated me for a while. I'm going to address his play during these "game winning drives," 8 of them apparently, clear up some nomenclature, and address some points specifically. The games in question.  Also responding to this  What is a Game Winning Drive? This is an undefined term and therefore can be whatever the person using it wants it to be. The term itself removes context from a result which lends itself to be used by people arguing in bad faith. Some people like to attribute every time Bryce is on the field in a situation like this to him "winning the game," or just kind of associating him with a "Game Winning Drive" and leaving it open ended. There's no criteria for what a GWD is. If you had a spectrum of what this could encompass it, on one end you'd have a single player being responsible, and on the other you'd have all 11. Put another way, a QB going 9/9 for 99 yards and rushing the final yard himself is on one end of the spectrum, and on the other is the blocking tight end who was just kinda there. Hey, he was on the field too.  For these purposes, I'm going to hedge and say a GWD is something you know when you see it. I'm not going to claim Bryce hasn't had one, but I'm absolutely not going to give him credit for every one of them. Reasonable people can disagree at the margins, but generally I think we'll be in accord more than not. I also want to look at the context of these, because I think we need to keep in mind how the team got to that position. There's a certain "mystique" about the term game winning drive. Like all of a sudden, when the game is on the line, the QB just turns it on and becomes a better player and blah blah blah. Nothing else matters because he Just Wins Games It neatly ignores the circumstances that led to a team needing a last second drive against some of the worst teams in the league, and this should be taken into consideration. This was an argument made in favor of Delhomme for years...until a certain game that we won't mention.  In reality, defenses are tired by the end of the game, defensive coordinators will generally give up yards in exchange for clock, and offensive playcallers will be more aggressive. That's really it.  But Fiz, why now? Why tonight? People are building this narrative about Bryce Young because it allows them to overlook the rest of his performance, his role in getting the team into whatever hole they're trying to crawl out of, and minimizing the contributions of everyone else (or assigning blame to players other than him) to make him look like he's better than he is/being let down. People in the national media with motivations I can only speculate on are doing this and it's irritating. Also it's very slow at work tonight and it's either this or reruns of ER.  I'll be looking at the final drives here (more or less) when the Panthers were in a position to win or tie. I'll also be adding some context as a I go. So lets just look at these.  2023 Houston at Carolina - 5/10 41 yds, FG  The Panthers drove to the Houston 44, then ran it 6 times in a row for the final 12 yards before the Texans started diving offsides. Panthers weren't just killing clock; Bryce had already taken one sack on the drive (six on the day!), and I don't think any of us feel like Pineiro had a 60 yarder in him in 2023. He did have 5 FG in him though, which is all the scoring the Panthers could muster. It was enough.  Game Winning Drive: eh, Bryce didn't really cover himself in glory here. If you think getting the team into range for a 60 yard attempt before letting the RB finish the job is a GWD, then we're going to have some problems. I'm generally kinda dubious of the whole "wow he set up a long range field goal for the win what a legend." Why yes early career Tom Brady was a fraud carried by Adam Vinatieri why do you ask  Atlanta at Carolina - 5/6 53 yds, GW FG Game Winning Drive: yeah, I think so. It was a miserable 9-6 win against the Desmond Ridder led Atlanta Falcons. Prior to this final drive, Bryce was a whopping 13/18 for 114 yds and the offense had managed 6 whole points. Hard for me to say here they weren't in the position to need a GWD because of how ineffective Bryce was. That said, I think it's fair he did this one on his own. Credit where credit's due little guy, you did it.  2024 New Orleans at Carolina - 1/4, 38 yds Game Winning Drive: not really. Panthers win 23-22. Sanders scored from 16 yards out on the ground, Carolina was only there because of a DPI (a theme with Bryce), Bryce took a sack on the 2 point conversion, and then the defense stopped the Saints afterwards. Prior to this Bryce had a very Bryce esque 15/22 133 1 Td 1 Int performance going so he was just kinda there.  Again, this is where context comes into play. Completing 1/4 passes does not "leading a game winning drive" make. If that's the dividing line, everyone on the field led a GWD, so the term becomes meaningless.  Carolina at Giants - 0/0  Game Winning Drive: no matter what a GWD is, it's certainly not this, and if anyone argues differently you can disregard them. Daniel Jones fumbled on the first play of overtime, Panthers ran a couple times and kicked the game winning FG. Prior to this, Bryce was terrible. Panthers were up 17-7 with 5:31 in the 3rd quarter, on the back of Chuba. From that point on, Bryce went 2/6 for 14 yards. Panthers had two 3 and outs and got just 2 first downs. Panthers overcame him here.  Arizona at Carolina - 0/0 Game Winning Drive: no. On the panthers second possession in overtime, Chuba ran it twice for 49 yards and a TD. On their first possession, Bryce completed a 1 yard checkdown, took a sack, and the Panthers punted after totaling -4 yards. Furthermore, Bryce couldn't convert a 3rd and 3 at the 2 minute warning up 3 points. Arizona got the ball back and tied the game.  Carolina at Atlanta - 5/5, 71 yards  Game Winning Drive: sure whatever have a day. For context, it's generally accepted in Atlanta sports media the defense was trying get the coordinator fired that day, which he was. I was at the game. I'm not saying the players had a conspiracy, but I'm not sure how it would look different if they did. but hey, as long as weird poo keeps happening against the Falcons, let it ride.  Miami at Carolina - 3/5, 45 yards, TD  Game Winning Drive: yes BUT. I don't want to re-litigate this. Briefly, the Dolphins have a historically bad defense, the Panthers were only trailing because of how badly Bryce played, the defense bailed the team out, and Rico was clearly the MVP. Trying to sneak this into a narrative about Bryce and his game winning drives is an attempt to hide how completely dogshit he was for most of the game. On second half drives to start, Bryce went.... 0/1 passing, took a sack, FG 2/3 passing, 18 yards, Delay of Game on Bryce, punt 2/2 passing, 16 yards, took a sack, punt  1/3 passing, 4 yards, punt  1/1 passing, 4 yds, 2 defensive penalties, 43 yd run by Rico, 1 yd TD run Absolutely dismal performance Dallas at Carolina - 3/6, 25 yards, FG  Game Winning Drive: Panthers had 34 yards rushing on this drive, and Rico rushed for more yards on the day than Bryce threw. People will want to point to the 7 yard slant to Renfrow, but that's one moment. Why do you need a 4th down conversion to kick a game winning FG against the worst defense in the league? The Renfrow catch is just as meaningful as the DPI (again) on 3rd and 7. Hard for me to say yeah Bryce gets credit for this and Rico doesn't. or Ryan Fitzgerald. People aren't going to be telling stories about where they were when Bryce got 25 yards passing to set up a 30 yard FG to beat the worst defense in the league.  Conclusion I'd say low end 3, high end 6 for what I'd actually credit Bryce for with having a game winning drive. Absolutely not for the Giants and Cardinals game. Saints game probably not.  As far as questioning which games need a GWD because of Bryce, I'd argue Miami, New York, 2023 Atlanta, and Houston definitely. League average QB play and you don't need the heroics. Bryce had multiple chances to seal the game against the Cardinals in 2024 and couldn't do it. The defense picked off the Cardinals late in the 4th quarter at their 11 yard line after the Panthers went 3 and out, including a classic Bryce check down short of the line to gain on 3rd.  About half of the time, it looks like these GWD, whomever is responsible for them, are happening in part because of what Bryce did or didn't do. I don't think league average QB play is too much to ask for. Panthers usually win these games despite of Bryce; he's an obstacle to be overcome.  Stats Taken in totality, in these situations Bryce's stats are  7 games 17/26 passing for 233, 1 TD  65% completion rating  13 ypc 8.9 ypa I'm not going to compare this to league average, I'm just going to point out you'd expect someone with 8 GWD to have more than 1 TD.  Other side of this  but what about the games in a similar situation where they DIDN'T win? Shouldn't we look at those games too? Maybe find ones where Bryce absolutely lost the game with a pick, or calling an audible into the wrong play, or spiking the ball with zero seconds on the clock after throwing into the middle of the field, or all of the turnover on downs? Maybe also go into some of the games that have been mythologized, like the Eagles game that ended on a turnover on downs where Bryce had 3rd and 4 in Eagles territory and couldn't get a first down? Yeah...someone should do that...
    • Best RB tandem in Panther history (at least for a few weeks)
×
×
  • Create New...