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Strength of Schedule Breakdown


Mr. Scot

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Honestly, I still feel I need clarification on one thing, that being whether divisional rivals actually count twice. In the numbers from both Gantt and the Great Blue North Report draft site, they do. However, the NFL's official tie-breaking procedures as listed online don't actually say. So the question becomes this: Do they only count a division team once - since in reality they are only one opponent - or twice because we play them twice? My guess would be the latter, but if it's listed officially anywhere, I haven't seen it.

I'm pretty sure you'r guess is correct. I believe the reason a division game "counts twice" is because they play them twice, thus adding two losses to their strength of schedule if a division team loses.

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It made sense to somebody, I guess.

The NFL uses head-to-head in its other tiebreakers. Why they left it out of this one is beyond me.

I'm trying to recall the last time it had to be applied though. Likely I'll have to look it up. In most years, there's been one team that's had the worst record, and one alone.

Think there is any chance that the NFL would award us the first pick if we were tied because the Bengals beat us? I doubt it but I still can dream :P

I suspect if we end up tied, that rule might end up being changed, even if we still get the #1 pick.

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Anybody find it kinda weird that we have never had the first overall pick in a draft? When we were an expansion team we lost a coin flip with the jags and when we were 1-15 the houston texans were an expansion team and got it. Now we had to suffer through this season and we may get screwed out of the pick AGAIN!!!

Maybe we should consider changing the mascot to something besides a black cat. Like maybe the Carolina four leaf clovers or rabbit feet. Or maybe we could just draft LUCK...hahaha...these will never get old.

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Anybody find it kinda weird that we have never had the first overall pick in a draft? When we were an expansion team we lost a coin flip with the jags and when we were 1-15 the houston texans were an expansion team and got it. Now we had to suffer through this season and we may get screwed out of the pick AGAIN!!!

Maybe we should consider changing the mascot to something besides a black cat. Like maybe the Carolina four leaf clovers or rabbit feet. Or maybe we could just draft LUCK...hahaha...these will never get old.

Not quite true. We actually won the coin flip and got the number one pick in the college draft. The Jags then got it in the expansion draft (and took Steve Beuerlein).

We didn't use it because we traded it for extra picks. Kerry Collins was taken at #5.

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I don't think we have that much to worry about ... I played out the season on ESPN's Machine thing and had the Bengals with an SOS that was 7 games stronger than ours at the end of the year. Now I'm not the best predictor of games but I'd be surprised if I was wrong by 7 games, especially since I gave some of our opponents wins in toss-up games (i.e. Bears over Jets, a Bengal opponent, and Rams over Chiefs). The 7-game edge is mainly due to the sucktitude of the NFC West ... I don't really see many teams beyond St. Louis doing anything the rest of the way (could see Seattle in particular going into a tailspin).

Bottom line: As long as we don't win twice, I think the #1 pick is ours.

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Can you update this after sunday? I will help if I can, but you are all over it. You see, you get something like this going and people get hooked on the info. Like junkies, this info will wear off and we will need to recalibrate by shooting some updated data into our viens.

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The way I see it, when we lose to the Cards, we get the #1 pick... I seriously doubt we beat the Steelers or Falcons, and it won't matter if one of the other teams in the running lose out...

I think that the Falcons will have clinched by the last game. Why do we always get people who have clinched for the last game?

CLINCHED= Wrapped up home field advantage

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