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Thielen update


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5 minutes ago, mav1234 said:

Pretty much every fan of Stroud and the Panthers acknowledges his trajectory has been down for a bit. Despite this, we have to massively subset his career and ignore HIS accomplishments for the comparison to be even roughly equal between he and Bryce. That's how much better his career has been to date.  We don't yet know for sure how his career will end but for any of you digging him I'd ask this: Would you rather have his accomplishments to date or Bryce's? 

I think with CJ you likely are looking at variant of the sophomore slump.  It didn't come week 1 of year 2.  Showed itself late last year and continues on this year.    

CJ has the talent to play in this league.  He already proved that.  The first real test after you can prove you got what it takes.....is can you overcome NFL teams really getting to know you (which to me is what a sophomore slump is). 

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1 minute ago, CRA said:

I think with CJ you likely are looking at variant of the sophomore slump.  It didn't come week 1 of year 2.  Showed itself late last year and continues on this year.    

CJ has the talent to play in this league.  He already proved that.  The first real test after you can prove you got what it takes.....is can you overcome NFL teams really getting to know you (which to me is what a sophomore slump is). 

The worry with CJ is that he is Trevor Lawrence. That's basically the worst case NFL QB scenario. Supreme talent and flashes enough to get a top 8 QB contract but never really truly improves to much more than a slightly above average NFL starter with an elite price tag. 

So, while we definitely got the lesser of the two QB's, it is possible we don't end up as badly, depending on Stroud's ultimate career arc. Bryce will never see that kind of contract, so we ducked that, at least.

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1 hour ago, AceBoogie said:

You can criticize the entire operation. Bryce included. Here’s the truth. Bryce was a better college football player than anyone on the roster. The roster around him ain’t good enough. Period. We aren’t at a place where we can have a serious QB convo. Look at Sam last night and Baker the last two years. It’s the team, it’s the organization. Yall think it’s a coincidence that the same teams never have QB issues? 

It can be both things at once though. Young would still be very limited on a loaded team.

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1 minute ago, kungfoodude said:

The worry with CJ is that he is Trevor Lawrence. That's basically the worst case NFL QB scenario. Supreme talent and flashes enough to get a top 8 QB contract but never really truly improves to much more than a slightly above average NFL starter with an elite price tag. 

So, while we definitely got the lesser of the two QB's, it is possible we don't end up as badly, depending on Stroud's ultimate career arc. Bryce will never see that kind of contract, so we ducked that, at least.

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7 minutes ago, CRA said:

I think with CJ you likely are looking at variant of the sophomore slump.  It didn't come week 1 of year 2.  Showed itself late last year and continues on this year.    

CJ has the talent to play in this league.  He already proved that.  The first real test after you can prove you got what it takes.....is can you overcome NFL teams really getting to know you (which to me is what a sophomore slump is). 

I think this is true. He is still showing flashes, but his consistency is shot imo. I hope they get him OL help.

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2 minutes ago, kungfoodude said:

The worry with CJ is that he is Trevor Lawrence. That's basically the worst case NFL QB scenario. Supreme talent and flashes enough to get a top 8 QB contract but never really truly improves to much more than a slightly above average NFL starter with an elite price tag. 

So, while we definitely got the lesser of the two QB's, it is possible we don't end up as badly, depending on Stroud's ultimate career arc. Bryce will never see that kind of contract, so we ducked that, at least.

to me, Trevor and CJ (what we are projecting with this post) are what people want to claim Bryce is.  If you put enough talent around Trevor and CJ......you can win and compete.  And I think you can.  It just will be inconsistent.    But w/ great talent can a Trevor or CJ get hot and make some nice runs? I think so.  Maybe you catch lightning in a bottle. 

I don't think Bryce projects as that.  His ceiling of play is just way too different than those types.   They have tools he doesn't and their good days can just be better. 

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2 hours ago, CRA said:

but Carson Wentz isn't a rookie and the Vikings just hung 48 on the Bengals last week.  0 yards. 

I would say it a combo of 2 things, AT is another year older and the Vikings have a solid TE in TJ Hock.   

and AT basically become a TE in Carolina that we over fed. 

Yeah that 48 points hung was because of the defense. Wentz was more a game manager last week. TJ Hockenson hasn't done much this season either.  I watched that game and the Vikings suffocated the Bengals. The  defense caused 5 turnovers, one being a pick 6. I was speaking to the macrocosm not the anomaly from last week.

 

 We agree on AT’s age.

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2 hours ago, Beast_3000 said:

Yeah that 48 points hung was because of the defense. Wentz was more a game manager last week. TJ Hockenson hasn't done much this season either.  I watched that game and the Vikings suffocated the Bengals. The  defense caused 5 turnovers, one being a pick 6. I was speaking to the macrocosm not the anomaly from last week.

 

 We agree on AT’s age.

Sure, but again, the Vikings still put up 350+ yards of offense while putting up that 48.  They were in the offensive dreamworld.  See some of those 2015 Panther games.  That's when an O can really have some fun. 

I'm not saying TJ is great.  But the Vikings actually have a TE.   AT doesn't really have a place in that offense.  He can't play on the outside.  He isn't actually a slot WR (too slow and no YAC), you don't want him there. 

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5 minutes ago, CRA said:

to me, Trevor and CJ (what we are projecting with this post) are what people want to claim Bryce is.  If you put enough talent around Trevor and CJ......you can win and compete.  And I think you can.  It just will be inconsistent.    But w/ great talent can a Trevor or CJ get hot and make some nice runs? I think so.  Maybe you catch lightning in a bottle. 

I don't think Bryce projects as that.  His ceiling of play is just way too different than those types.   They have tools he doesn't and their good days can just be better. 

The issue with that "lightning in a bottle" is that's too close to Dilfer/Foles/Delhomme/etc for a top 5-10 QB contract. It's crippling to the roster eventually at that price tag. It's a pricier QB purgatory.

Bryce's ceiling was supposed to be a Brees type guy. Sees the field extremely well, makes quick decisions with the ball and analyzes the situation pre-snap at an elite level. None of this has transpired at all. Not to mention, his physical ceiling is far closer to a non-athletic Doug Flutie or poor man's Colt McCoy.

That is not a long term NFL QB.

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    • So he became GM and decided not to address the weakness in the QB room following one of the worst rookie QB performances in NFL history?  There were options last season other than signing Dalton to a 2 year deal. Brissett and Jones by a wide margin, both of whom outplayed Bryce, Wilson, Winston, hell even Rivers off the couch was more exciting at the QB position. The time to address the failure in the QB room was last year but instead people on the Huddle cheered when we brought Dalton back then cheered when we were able to get anything for him after they finally realized he was washed up like a few of had been saying all along and got poo'd for even mentioning.  This year, the options were more limited obviously, especially since we lost Icky. It changed the dynamic of our draft. I think we were stuck this year keeping Bryce, but i still think giving him a 5th year option for what has amounted to replacement worthy performance was the wrong move. Why guarantee 25m if you're planning to replace him? You think he's going to want to be a bridge QB? Hell no. He's going to want out and we'll end up cutting him if he has another lackluster season because no one is trading for him with that price tag.  Were there better options as far as production available. A couple. Were there guys available with more physical tools than Bryce, Pickett or Grier, you damn well better believe there were. I've been saying all along, you always keep looking for your 1b. Bryce has yet to prove he can be a starter. Keep looking for someone who may. Put competition in camp. Let the best QB lead the team. Stop settling for less than mediocre. 
    • Reasonable. I mean I didn’t see a clear path to relief this season myself. As I have typed already, I think the QB FA class is more interesting next season and that draft is supposed to be stacked as well. There just weren’t many options this year.  When you have Tepper to contend with you have to tread lightly around this unless you are 100% certain and willIng to stake your job on it.   There were a couple of outings that helped Bryce a lot in terms of  thinking maybe he can do this, and if you are a supporter you are giving them a lot of weight. You are likely to think just get him some more help and he can do that every week. Which I think Tepper falls into that category.  And the playoffs, division champs, regardless of the way I see that, the supporters will also give that a lot of weight.    And the big one, the atmosphere In BOA for that WC game, Tepper had to be soiling himself over that. If you pulled Bryce out right now you had better be right and your new guy had better make the playoffs and look good doing it or you will be gone and your chance to build your old team back into respectability will be gone too.  So here we have Pickett on a one year deal, and Grier and King. I understand it.  
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