2008-2010 Draft hit rate

[R0CKnR0LLA]

Taken from: http://ogdraft.com/2011/10/the-truth-about-thomas-dimitroffs-drafting-ability/

Found this looking around after laughing at the thread posted HERE. Never heard of the guy that made it (not to mention he's a Falcons fan) so I guess take it with a grain of salt. Still I found it pretty interesting.

1. Saints – 44% – 7/16

2. Packers – 34% – 8/24

3. Raiders – 29% – 6/21

4. Lions – 28% – 7/25

5. Chargers – 26% – 5/19

6. Titans – 26% – 7/27

7. Bengals – 23% – 7/30

8. Chiefs – 23% – 6/26

8. Jets – 23% – 3/13

10. Bucs – 23% – 5/22

10. Cardinals – 23% – 5/22

12. Patriots – 23% – 7/31

13. Giants – 22% – 5/23

13. Seahawks – 22% – 5/23

15. Ravens – 22% – 5/24

16. Jaguars – 20% – 4/20

17. Falcons – 19% – 5/26

18. Browns – 19% – 4/21

19. Bills – 19% – 5/27

20. Texans – 17% – 4/24

20. Vikings – 17% – 3/18

22. Colts – 16% – 4/25

23. Steelers – 15% – 4/26

24. Rams – 15% – 4/26

25. 49ers – 14% – 3/21

26. Redskins – 14% – 3/22

27. Eagles – 13% – 4/31

28. Panthers – 13% – 3/24

29. Cowboys – 13% – 3/24

30. Dolphins – 12% – 3/26

31. Bears – 8% – 2/26

32. Broncos – 7% – 2/28

Discuss.

[bauss]

For a FO who believes in developing your team from the draft they sure demonstrate they can't draft worth a poo.

[4Corners]

Hurney has to have the record for worst 2nd round DPs ever. He's hit the nail on the head several times, but for every Gamble, Gross, Beason, J-Stew, DW, etc

there is a Bruce Nelson, Everette Brown, AE, etc (I know I'm leaving people off)

[Stroupe-a-loop]

To put things into perspective, I went ahead and studied the 2008, 2009 and 2010 NFL Drafts. While some may say it takes 3 years to grade a draft, and I’m well aware of that, I went ahead and graded every teams pick solely on how the player has performed so far. Not worrying about value, or trades, or which GM made the pick. I simply graded each draft pick on a scale from A to F. I consider picks graded A and B to be solid impact players, which is what you aim for. I took the number of picks graded A or B and divided it by the amount of picks the team had to wind up with a “hit rate”, or how often that team drafted a solid player. I started in 2008 because that’s when Dimitroff was hired. I stopped in 2010 because there’s no way we can make any conclusions about the 2011 draft class so far.

Yeah, that sounds super scientific. It looks like some random guy from a falcons blog tossed out some grades from the past three drafts so that he could bang his own GM. Not that riveting.

[blackcatgrowl]

Hurney has to have the record for worst 2nd round DPs ever. He's hit the nail on the head several times, but for every Gamble, Gross, Beason, J-Stew, DW, etc

there is a Bruce Nelson, Everette Brown, AE, etc (I know I'm leaving people off)

Err... Clausen?

Hurney survives because when he hits, he hits big. His quality of the good draft picks is given more credit than his low quantity of good draft picks.

But with Cam leading our Offense now, our offense is starting to float upright. If he can hit big in the first round next year with a defensive power house, he might escape all criticism.

[Murph]

Um, the Panther's 2008 draft first four picks were J-Stew, Otah, Godfrey & Connor.

And yet he is saying there are only three good picks from the entire drafts of '08-'10?

Yeah, ok

[Ruff]

Only three impact players?

lol, JStew, Otah, Connor, Godfrey, Martin.

gtfo.

[4Corners]

Yeah Clausen most def

[4Corners]

Hurney has some hits in the later rounds, but his 2RD pick is habitually bad. They should just trade that pick every year, lol.

[Stroupe-a-loop]

Hurney has to have the record for worst 2nd round DPs ever. He's hit the nail on the head several times, but for every Gamble, Gross, Beason, J-Stew, DW, etc

there is a Bruce Nelson, Everette Brown, AE, etc (I know I'm leaving people off)

I think fans expect too much from the 2nd and 3rd rounds on average. I spent a day looking at it one time and there are a ton of crappy players in those rounds every year that everyone forgets about and they always act like when their team misses it's a tragedy.

http://www.carolinahuddle.com/forum/carolina-panthers/62062-hurneys-round-2-and-3-draft-record-vs-the-league.html

If you want to read a book about the 03, 04, and 05 drafts, I wrote one about it.

[Ruff]

Hurney has some hits in the later rounds, but his 2RD pick is habitually bad. They should just trade that pick every year, lol.

I doubt the 2nd round is not that great for any team. After about pick 45, I'd say that everything else is pretty much up in the air.

[X-Clown]

lol, look at who the lone commenter on the blog post is.

[TylerDurden]

Yeah, not a great source here RnR. Dude clearly has a personal bias and it's not coincidence we finish in the bottom third based on who he thinks is "solid" on our team. Also not taking into account injuries and such...

[jtnc]

lol Godfrey, Schwartz, Otah, J-stew, Connor, Sherrod, Goodson, Munnerlyn, Hardy. All hits.