Jump to content
  • Welcome!

    Register and log in easily with Twitter or Google accounts!

    Or simply create a new Huddle account. 

    Members receive fewer ads , access our dark theme, and the ability to join the discussion!

     

ESPN Upset Watch: Panthers over 49ers


UNCrules2187

Recommended Posts

Insider piece, so I'll only quote a portion: http://insider.espn.go.com/nfl/story/_/id/9938510/nfl-upset-watch-nfl-week-10

 

Well, they can start by continuing to play great defense. That's the biggest difference between these teams, where we rank the Panthers third and the 49ers a surprisingly mediocre 14th. Although their anonymous secondary has played better than anyone might have expected, the real strength of the Panthers' defense is their front seven, starring Defensive Player of the Year candidate Luke Kuechly, pass rushers Greg Hardy and Charles Johnson, and the rookie defensive tackle tandem of Star Lotulelei and Kawann Short.
 
That front seven presents a tough battle for the 49ers' running backs. We think of the 49ers as a strong running team, and they do in fact rank eighth in the league in run offense DVOA. But that ranking is built on good Colin Kaepernick runs and a lot of yardage gained in the open field. On standard running plays, the offensive line hasn't blocked anywhere near as well as it did the last couple seasons. San Francisco ranks 28th in our Adjusted Line Yards metric after leading the league in 2012. (ALY is explained here.) The Carolina defense ranks fifth in the same metric this year, and the Panthers have stuffed opposing running backs for a loss or no gain on 25 percent of carries, fourth in the NFL.
 
Also notes that the 49ers are 3rd in DVOA vs #1 WRs and 5th vs TEs, so Cam will need to find LaFell/Ginn and the RBs more as the 49ers are weaker against #2/slot WRs and RBs (20th or worse in DVOA against these positions).  I think Ginn is going to have a big game personally.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 

Insider piece, so I'll only quote a portion: http://insider.espn.go.com/nfl/story/_/id/9938510/nfl-upset-watch-nfl-week-10

 

 
 
Also notes that the 49ers are 3rd in DVOA vs #1 WRs and 5th vs TEs, so Cam will need to find LaFell/Ginn and the RBs more as the 49ers are weaker against #2/slot WRs and RBs (20th or worse in DVOA against these positions).  I think Ginn is going to have a big game personally.

 

 

Ginn is playing slot for you guys? If so he will matched up on Carlos Rogers who does pretty well in the slot. Should be a good matchup to keep your eyes on.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Ginn is playing slot for you guys? If so he will matched up on Carlos Rogers who does pretty well in the slot. Should be a good matchup to keep your eyes on.

Steve Smith generally moves to slot when Ginn comes on the field

Link to comment
Share on other sites

This is the most relevant piece of information:

 

That front seven presents a tough battle for the 49ers' running backs. We think of the 49ers as a strong running team, and they do in fact rank eighth in the league in run offense DVOA. But that ranking is built on good Colin Kaepernick runs and a lot of yardage gained in the open field. On standard running plays, the offensive line hasn't blocked anywhere near as well as it did the last couple seasons. San Francisco ranks 28th in our Adjusted Line Yards metric after leading the league in 2012. (ALY is explained here.) The Carolina defense ranks fifth in the same metric this year, and the Panthers have stuffed opposing running backs for a loss or no gain on 25 percent of carries, fourth in the NFL.

 

Prepare your anus, San Fran. . .not that you're unfamiliar with the phrase. . .

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 

Insider piece, so I'll only quote a portion: http://insider.espn.go.com/nfl/story/_/id/9938510/nfl-upset-watch-nfl-week-10

 

 
 
Also notes that the 49ers are 3rd in DVOA vs #1 WRs and 5th vs TEs, so Cam will need to find LaFell/Ginn and the RBs more as the 49ers are weaker against #2/slot WRs and RBs (20th or worse in DVOA against these positions).  I think Ginn is going to have a big game personally.

 

 

You cant quote the entire part of the article as it relates to the Panthers. Its still considered a preview since they get sales off people that want to know about the whole NFL, not just one team.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

You cant quote the entire part of the article as it relates to the Panthers. Its still considered a preview since they get sales off people that want to know about the whole NFL, not just one team.

 

Not sure exactly what you're saying here - there's much more to the article than what I quoted.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.


  • PMH4OWPW7JD2TDGWZKTOYL2T3E.jpg

  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Poster board? Were you trying to use the term poster child?
    • I mean, you're acting like we don't see the tippy-toe bunny hops, jump throws more than normal (with both feet dangling in the air every which a way), and off-platform but off-balance throws that arrive short or sail high. Could that be bad mechanics due to being short? Could a seeming propensity to bail the pocket towards the sidelines early as opposed to sitting in the pocket tall and strong, surveying his reads, be an attempt at trying to see an open throwing lane? I'm not saying that what you're saying isn't a contributing factor to what has been an underwhelming display of executing the QB position, but this is year three, and if the lightbulb hasn't switched on by now---if you haven't figured out that guys are faster, stronger and generally more athletic, then what's it going to take? It's hard to forget that "mental processing" was supposed to be Bryce Young's superpower. Are you telling me that he can't nail down such an easy concept as, "I can't get away with the things I did in college at the pro level," is that right? If he can't get past that, then that surely limits his ability to successfully execute all the other stuff.  Look, I'm not trying to be flippant. I acknowledge that playing pro football is more complex than a lot of fans realize, but all we can do, as fans, is observe. One of my favorite things to do is just look at the greater picture and think what part human nature is playing in the many decisions that are being made or have to be made. You're absolutely correct that fans don't know exactly what's going on, but that is by design, and in many ways it's just the nature of the beast. Some things we can't know. That being said, the professionals screw the hell up all the time. The professionals disagree all the time. These disagreements can be within the same franchise or from franchise to franchise. And sometimes these decisions are all over the place, so excuse me if I ain't exactly buying the I-know-more-than-thee sentiment and that that means that professionals always make better decisions than fans would about certain players. Some of this stuff is simply luck or a crapshoot.
×
×
  • Create New...