Jump to content
  • Welcome!

    Register and log in easily with Twitter or Google accounts!

    Or simply create a new Huddle account. 

    Members receive fewer ads , access our dark theme, and the ability to join the discussion!

     

Recommended Posts

9 hours ago, stratocatter said:

I am near Myrtle Beach, on the beach itself it was packed, same at entertainment spots.

Surely I am worried about it locally but if any visitors were exposed the virus is going to travel back home with them. Past that, I am just a civilian so predictions from me mean little to nothing.

I live in Virginia Beach and my parents live down in Myrtle Beach.  I liked it when tourist towns shut down because I didn't like the idea of New Yorkers (and others) having the virus and bringing it down to these locations.  Tourist towns were more susceptible to being "okay" one day and then having an explosion the next because of all of the outsiders coming in.

9 hours ago, LinvilleGorge said:

ICUs will likely be past their capacity all over the country again by the end of June.

ICU beds "all over the country" were not past their capacity.  That was a false narrative.

Link to post
Share on other sites

I have a friend that works in the county healthcare system here in Cabarrus County. This week there were only 7 people in the hospital with COVID and only 80 known ACTIVE cases. Our county, next to Charlotte, has 260,000 people. So, that’s 7 in the hospital and 80 cases. So, that’s .03% of the population that’s  actively infected? You never hear about the recovered cases numbers. I think it’s time to start getting back to some semblance of life, imho.

Link to post
Share on other sites
11 hours ago, stratocatter said:

I am near Myrtle Beach, on the beach itself it was packed, same at entertainment spots.

Surely I am worried about it locally but if any visitors were exposed the virus is going to travel back home with them. Past that, I am just a civilian so predictions from me mean little to nothing.

America has decided the pandemic is over 

Link to post
Share on other sites

Went down to Isle of Palms a couple weeks ago, it's like the Rona never existed down there at all.  No masks, no social distancing, very weird coming from CLT.  Locally, my pool has opened up and while they published 'guidelines', nobody is following them.  I get we need to get back to some semblance of normal life and the economy has to ramp back up, but I also think that folks could be handling themselves in a manner that is more responsible.

  • Pie 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

This is an interesting article that describes why the initial calculations were so dire and why they keep get revised.

As I've been saying for a while, the huge 'x' factor are those not tested that have had this virus and still are contracting it.  To use an analogy: it's like an iceberg...the tested are all you see above the waterline, the unknown is how large is the unseen portion? 

No doubt this is worse than a really bad flu season, but it isn't the Spanish flu either.   Likely, this will like a more serious Hong Kong flu. Before you poo that idea, remember people weren't required to get tested and how relatively lax the response was to that pandemic.  Therefore, the numbers are almost assuredly under-reported for that outbreak.
 

An Interesting Look at COVID-19

 

Link to post
Share on other sites

In SC, the number of cases have gone up, but the daily number of deaths have stayed fairly constant averaging about 6.  That being said the mortality rate is slowly coming down.   Understand, we have a large sample size here and for the measuring stick being moved in any meaningful way is significant. 

We are down to 4.0% mortality of positive tests from 4.6% before widespread testing started a few weeks ago.  Again, when dealing with a sample this big (13,000 positive tests now) shrinking 0.6% is a big deal.

Edited by 45catfan
Link to post
Share on other sites

What is the breaking point between a destroyed economy and virus exposure? This is getting pretty bad...lots of foreclosures and unemployment and a second wave causing ‘closing back ups is predicted to have a really bad outcome.

But our state is doing a soft reopening of everything with limited ours and our cases are going up, fast.

People just don’t listen, they don’t care. It’s like the Michigan virus protestors saying they should be able to decide what to do and no one has to tell them to social distance because that was obvious and they could handle it on their own.

In reality, people can’t handle it on their own. Is it just Americans? People are doing some real stupid poo right now. People can’t seem to fathom their choice affects other people.

Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, onmyown said:

What is the breaking point between a destroyed economy and virus exposure? This is getting pretty bad...lots of foreclosures and unemployment and a second wave causing ‘closing back ups is predicted to have a really bad outcome.

But our state is doing a soft reopening of everything with limited ours and our cases are going up, fast.

People just don’t listen, they don’t care. It’s like the Michigan virus protestors saying they should be able to decide what to do and no one has to tell them to social distance because that was obvious and they could handle it on their own.

In reality, people can’t handle it on their own. Is it just Americans? People are doing some real stupid poo right now. People can’t seem to fathom their choice affects other people.

As with all deep questions, it requires a complex answer and I obviously don't have all of the insight.

First and foremost we need to look at the data, sift through the garbage and politically motivated.  There's enough studies being done that the picture is getting clearer now.  Then it's a risk/reward scenario reopening the economy.  Have guidelines that people should follow.  However, lock down didn't stop the virus, but we surely don't want to revisit the early days of the pandemic either.

Ultimately I think we keep awareness in the forefront and reopen the economy is the best road for going forward.  The virus will either burn itself out or we will get a vaccine.   In the meantime, we can't keep the country buttoned up any longer.  If it gets out of control again, unfortunately another stint in lock down may be required, but it probably worth the risk than staying in lock down indefinitely.

If you are high risk, TAKE PRECAUTION!  That has been and still is the main focus.  Infection rate and death rates are up for debate, but what data has unanimously shown is elderly people with pre-existing conditions should be the most cautious as the demographic most likely to succumb to the virus if contracting it at approximate 90% of all fatalities.

Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, onmyown said:

What is the breaking point between a destroyed economy and virus exposure? This is getting pretty bad...lots of foreclosures and unemployment and a second wave causing ‘closing back ups is predicted to have a really bad outcome.

But our state is doing a soft reopening of everything with limited ours and our cases are going up, fast.

Yeah, it’s really hard for people to socially distance when they get desperate. In other words, It’s hard to social distance in a homeless shelter or when they’re forced to move in with extended family. 
 

It’s simple hierarchy of needs. The need for food and shelter will always out weigh the chance of getting sick. It’s easy to say people are dumb (and there is a lot of stupid), but we also don’t know what they’re up against.

Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


×
×
  • Create New...