LKN Blizzard of 2022

[Ja Rhule]

Duke energy predicts close to one million residence will lose power from this storm in NC and SC.

Edited January 15, 2022 by Ja Rhule

[cookinbrak]

I learned a trick while reading about people stuck on the interstate. Small terra cotta planters and short fat candles. Heat and light.

[LinvilleGorge]

This storm is gonna be a big time bust. I learned while living in CO and chasing powder to ignore everyone except the NOAA. They're not a public facing agency. They're not trying to drive viewership or clicks, just trying to get predictions correct. On top of this, pay special attention to final tweaks. If amounts trend up, look out. It's gonna be a banger. If they trend down, it's probably going to bust. The final tweaks are usually not aggressive enough likely due to the bias of having watched the models predict otherwise for the days leading up. Up until this afternoon they were staying pretty consistent with 4-10" or 6-12" nearly all snow predictions for Morganton. They're backpedaling now. Hard. Now they're saying 1-3" of snow and some freezing rain. 

[LinvilleGorge]

Folks, the NOAA is all the way out. Not just on snow but moisture content in general.

This thing must be falling apart.

[Ja Rhule]

2 hours ago, LinvilleGorge said:

This storm is gonna be a big time bust. I learned while living in CO and chasing powder to ignore everyone except the NOAA. They're not a public facing agency. They're not trying to drive viewership or clicks, just trying to get predictions correct. On top of this, pay special attention to final tweaks. If amounts trend up, look out. It's gonna be a banger. If they trend down, it's probably going to bust. The final tweaks are usually not aggressive enough likely due to the bias of having watched the models predict otherwise for the days leading up. Up until this afternoon they were staying pretty consistent with 4-10" or 6-12" nearly all snow predictions for Morganton. They're backpedaling now. Hard. Now they're saying 1-3" of snow and some freezing rain. 

Ventusky says 8.5.  Also NOAA

 

Edited January 16, 2022 by Ja Rhule

[Ja Rhule]

3 minutes ago, LinvilleGorge said:

Folks, the NOAA is all the way out. Not just on snow but moisture content in general.

This thing must be falling apart.

It’s flurries in Columbia SC

 

[Ja Rhule]

Temps.  You can see arctic blast from NE

[Happy Panther]

If it ends up being a couple inches +ice give credit to accuweather who has had that forecast for a few days.

And Brad Panovich for calling it too.

Darksky still has LKN at 9-13" as I type this.

[LinvilleGorge]

I just hope to get decent moisture out of this. Damn it's been a dry ass winter. My little creek is barely trickling.

[Happy Panther]

From Brad

[Happy Panther]

Meanwhile:

[motocross_cat]

Monroe is ice ice baby.

No snow just ice.

[motocross_cat]

[Floppin]

Considering that at my house in mooresville we already have pretty close to the 3 three inches of snow that they predicted, I'd say it's not gonna bust.