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Last Decade of First Round Draft Picks

kungfoodude

By kungfoodude,
in Carolina Panthers

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kungfoodude Grand Master

kungfoodude

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This was spawned by looking up how Shaq Thompson stacked up in the 2015 draft.

Using PFR's weighted Approximate Value.

2023: Bryce Young, Drafted #1, Ranked #21

2022: Ikem Ekwonu, Drafted #6, Ranked #27

2021: Jaycee Horn, Drafted #8, Ranked #89

2020: Derrick Brown, Drafted #7, Ranked #17

2019: Brian Burns, Drafted #16, Ranked #16

2018: DJ Moore, Drafted #24, Ranked #11

2017: Christian McCaffery, Drafted #8, Ranked #4

2016: Vernon Butler, Drafted #30, Ranked #103

2015: Shaq Thompson, Drafted #25, Ranked #33

2014: Kelvin Benjamin, Drafted #28, Ranked #78

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mrcompletely11 Grand Master

mrcompletely11

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11 minutes ago, kungfoodude said:

This was spawned by looking up how Shaq Thompson stacked up in the 2015 draft.

Using PFR's weighted Approximate Value.

2023: Bryce Young, Drafted #1, Ranked #21

2022: Ikem Ekwonu, Drafted #6, Ranked #27

2021: Jaycee Horn, Drafted #8, Ranked #89

2020: Derrick Brown, Drafted #7, Ranked #17

2019: Brian Burns, Drafted #16, Ranked #16

2018: DJ Moore, Drafted #24, Ranked #11

2017: Christian McCaffery, Drafted #8, Ranked #4

2016: Vernon Butler, Drafted #30, Ranked #103

2015: Shaq Thompson, Drafted #25, Ranked #33

2014: Kelvin Benjamin, Drafted #28, Ranked #78

I dont understand what the ranked # means. 

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jayboogieman Grand Master

jayboogieman

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39 minutes ago, kungfoodude said:

This was spawned by looking up how Shaq Thompson stacked up in the 2015 draft.

Using PFR's weighted Approximate Value.

2023: Bryce Young, Drafted #1, Ranked #21

2022: Ikem Ekwonu, Drafted #6, Ranked #27

2021: Jaycee Horn, Drafted #8, Ranked #89

2020: Derrick Brown, Drafted #7, Ranked #17

2019: Brian Burns, Drafted #16, Ranked #16

2018: DJ Moore, Drafted #24, Ranked #11

2017: Christian McCaffery, Drafted #8, Ranked #4

2016: Vernon Butler, Drafted #30, Ranked #103

2015: Shaq Thompson, Drafted #25, Ranked #33

2014: Kelvin Benjamin, Drafted #28, Ranked #78

In other words, the Panthers have greatly overdrafted guys in the first round including those that would be considered good players/hits.

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kungfoodude Grand Master

kungfoodude

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Just now, mrcompletely11 said:

Gotcha.  Draft class not overall.  I'm an idiot 

It would be basically impossible to do the other way around because wAV adds up over time. You essentially would be tilting the entire scale to longevity(which is somewhat true anyway).

But, it is supposed to be a measure of career rating so that is appropriate.

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kungfoodude Grand Master

kungfoodude

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1 minute ago, jayboogieman said:

In other words, the Panthers have greatly overdrafted guys in the first round including those that would be considered good players/hits.

For this time period yes. The difference in the Tepper and non-Tepper eras of this sample seem very stark, IMO.

I will add the caveat that the more recent picks are subject to very wide ranges of outcomes based on length and success of careers.

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