Jump to content
  • Welcome!

    Register and log in easily with Twitter or Google accounts!

    Or simply create a new Huddle account. 

    Members receive fewer ads , access our dark theme, and the ability to join the discussion!

     

Week 14 Other Games


CarolinaLivin
 Share

Recommended Posts

The Panthers historically have been obsessed with projecting the WRs they get in the draft for height/weight/speed and overall athletic protentional and tend to ignore straight up production and eye test on college WRs. 

This is why we've ended up with WRs like Funchess, Mingo, TMJ, Curtis Samuel, and now Legette, among others. None of them   had great consistent production in college and were viewed as projects (maybe minus TMJ who was good on LSU).  

The only WR the Panthers ever drafted that had not much college production but ended up being a beast was Musin Muhammad. his stats are kinda like Legettes in college in that he didnt really do much until his last year in college.

Even Steve Smith wasn't insane in college but had over 20 yards per reception in his limited time at Utah. That stands out. 

DJ moore had DECENT college stats and ended up being good in the NFL. So that ones kind of a wash. 

The main trend is, Panthers almost never draft WRs that have overwhelmingly great stats in college. I can not find one WR in their modern drafting history that fits that profile.

Puka Nakua had pretty mediocre college stats. I didnt watch him play so maybe the Rams staff were just using the eye test there and saw his toughness and thought it would translate to the nfl. DJ Moore  + Steve Smith were the closest we ever came to this kind of a WR pick.

Edited by Hoenheim
  • Pie 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Hoenheim said:

The Panthers historically have been obsessed with projecting the WRs they get in the draft for height/weight/speed and overall athletic protentional and tend to ignore straight up production and eye test on college WRs. 

This is why we've ended up with WRs like Funchess, Mingo, TMJ, Curtis Samuel, and now Legette, among others. None of them   had great consistent production in college and were viewed as projects (maybe minus TMJ who was good on LSU).  

The only WR the Panthers ever drafted that had not much college production but ended up being a beast was Musin Muhammad. his stats are kinda like Legettes in college in that he didnt really do much until his last year in college.

Even Steve Smith wasn't insane in college but had over 20 yards per reception in his limited time at Utah. That stands out. 

DJ moore had DECENT college stats and ended up being good in the NFL. So that ones kind of a wash. 

The main trend is, Panthers almost never draft WRs that have overwhelmingly great stats in college. I can not find one WR in their modern drafting history that fits that profile.

Puka Nakua had pretty mediocre college stats. I didnt watch him play so maybe the Rams staff were just using the eye test there and saw his toughness and thought it would translate to the nfl. DJ Moore  + Steve Smith were the closest we ever came to this kind of a WR pick.

Puka was great in college. I actually saw him first hand because I was defensive quality control intern for a school that he played against and he torched us.

His problem was staying healthy but he’s definitely a guy we keyed in on. During our research we found that he was averaging a TD about every 7 touches. He was very dynamic in college and only snuck through the cracks because injuries kept him out for quite a few games.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 minutes ago, LinvilleGorge said:

Yeah, Kupp was a monster in college but there were a lot of questions about whether or not it would translate to the NFL coming from a D1AA school and then having a pedestrian combine.

I think Jerry Rice and Terell Owens came from no-name schools. So IDK how valid that argument is. 

I guess its valid a probability sort of way. Its statistically improbable you'd find great WR from small schools but I don't think its a coincidence that top 5 WR in receiving yards all time went to small schools.

#1 WR  Jerry Rice : Mississippi Valley State University

#2 WR  Larry Fitzgerald: University of Pittsburg

#3 WR  Terell Owen: University of Tennessee at Chattanooga 

#4 WR Randy Moss: Marshall

#5 WR Isaac Bruce: Memphis

I guess you can argue that Pittsburg and Memphis arent small schools? but they def were not and are not known for putting out premier college WRs

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Hoenheim said:

I think Jerry Rice and Terell Owens came from no-name schools. So IDK how valid that argument is. 

I guess its valid a probability sort of way. Its statistically improbable you'd find great WR from small schools but I don't think its a coincidence that top 5 WR in receiving yards all time went to small schools.

#1 WR  Jerry Rice : Mississippi Valley State University

#2 WR  Larry Fitzgerald: University of Pittsburg

#3 WR  Terell Owen: University of Tennessee at Chattanooga 

#4 WR Randy Moss: Marshall

#5 WR Isaac Bruce: Memphis

I guess you can argue that Pittsburg and Memphis arent small schools? but they def were not and are not known for putting out premier college WRs

That's five names over the course of 30 years. Probably about the same as every other position group. Projecting college players to the NFL is hard. Doing it from lower levels of college competition is even harder. It's not about the program they come from as much as it is about the level of competition they faced.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The Bills are not contenders. They have a great QB and not much else. People hype them every year. 

 

Let's be real the Chiefs are going to win the AFC and the SB. The NFL is rooting for a 3 peat and you better believe the refs got the memo.

 

If you betting you better put all your money on the Chiefs. They have help behind them. I'll leave it at that.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

 Share


  • PMH4OWPW7JD2TDGWZKTOYL2T3E.jpg

  • Topics

  • Posts

    • I'm going to be real, the reason that vote ended up so lop-sided by the end was directly due to my programming. So there's nothing tongue in cheek about it. Also I left PFF after the Collinsworth acquisition (didn't want to move to Cincy) but have stayed involved in analytics via backdoor channels, but I can absolutely say that the experience was eye-opening, not because those guys are unquestionable football savants and that I became one by proxy, but because the amount of information that becomes available outside of what the typical fan has access to is revelatory and also really drives home how much context is still being missed even with all of that information. You don't discover that you know everything, you discover how much you still can't know no matter how hard you try, hence my point about the NFL not being able to figure out what makes a QB good. There's a lot of AI work going into that now and even that only seems to further confuse things vs. actually enlighten the problem. In the professional realm teams don't really talk about quarterbacks as A strictly being better than B, but how A can potentially perform better than B given a specific context of C. Of course those contexts may be wider for A than B, but there's also contexts where B can outshine A, even with lesser talent surrounding them. So what good teams strive to do is ultimately define a process of how they want their entire team to operate under schematically, find players that fit that scheme, and hopefully find a guy whose skillset will be maximized running that scheme with those players. Where bad teams fall of the wagon is constantly shifting those schemes and chasing bad fits or fads vs. sticking with a core identity and developing it.
    • there is a 100 mile long list of NFL players and coaches going to bat and defending horrible play from teammates.   
    • In 6 games, we've only had 6 hurries??? ... that can't be accurate
×
×
  • Create New...