Microsofts Cortana makes NFL week 1 predictions.

[Awesomeness!!]

Why is the media falling in love with the Tampa Bay Buc? Lovie Smith? lmao

[panthers55]

It looks like the formula used places a huge emphasis on "home-field advantage".

Exactly.  the model picked 14 out of 16 home teams to win.  You can do that and nothing else and be right way more than 50%.

[beastson52]

Why is the media falling in love with the Tampa Bay Buc? Lovie Smith? lmao

Cause everybody loves a redemption season??

[fieryprophet]

I'd be interested to see the formula for the NFL games and how it differentiates from the World Cup games.

Unfortunately, that type of stuff is rarely made available.

Soccer is a sport where the favored teams generally dominate. NFL has far more parity.

[Rules&Regulations]

Remember when that octopus predicted poo? Or when that 8 year old made a perfect march madness bracket?

Yeah, I'm gonna need to see more than just 1 tournament's worth of good predictions before Cortana is anything more than just another in a long line of lucky predictors.

[Jmac]

Oh hell....we are done....why even bother to show up now? Is this the same folks that brought us the wonderful windows 8?

[Mol3m4n]

Remember when that octopus predicted poo? Or when that 8 year old made a perfect march madness bracket?

Yeah, I'm gonna need to see more than just 1 tournament's worth of good predictions before Cortana is anything more than just another in a long line of lucky predictors.

Or when the Mayan's predicted the apocalypse!

Oh wait....

[TheCandyMan]

Oh hell....we are done....why even bother to show up now? Is this the same folks that brought us the wonderful windows 8?

 

This.

[beastson52]

Oh hell....we are done....why even bother to show up now? Is this the same folks that brought us the wonderful windows 8?

 

 

The hate is strong with you, should give windows 8.1 a spin  . 

[Estrada]

Sorry Cortana, this is football, not futbol. Panthers win

[propagandamachine]

Bucs will win if they em brace the underdog role and just do all sorts of wild poo - think colts vs New Orleans Super Bowl : then again we have a scary defense

Sent from my iPhone using CarolinaHuddle

[Kuech the Sneak]

They say upset like they're a perennial playoff team, give me a break

[CPantherKing]

As many of your already probably knew without opening this thread..... she has us losing. She's giving us a 43.4% chance of pulling the upset. No biggie, I know were going to whoop that Pirate butt.

 

 

What really caught my eye was how accurate she (Now were giving AI's gender?) was predicting the 2014 World Cup.

 

EDIT: Trying to link article but can't

 

No this cannot be! You see 43.4% chance and you think the Panthers are the underdog. No, it is just saying we are the road team.

 

Based on home field advantage alone Home teams win 57.3% of the time. (This fluctuates between 57%-58% depending on the statistical model of choice). A home team should not be below this % at home if they are the favored team.

 

The Bucs have lost -1.8% on their margin against the Panthers. A Home team will typically be between 60-70% probability of winning if they are favored in the match-up at home.

 

This also tells me that anyone putting money on the Bucs is a sucker.

 

Another way to look at it using a statistical model I prefer.

Home Teams/Win Probability to start their games:

~Above the Line~

Eagles 78%

Broncos 71%

Bears 69%

Steelers 69% - WON

Seahawks 68%

Lions 65%

Jets 65%

Chiefs 60%

Rams 60%

Cardinals 58%

Texans 58%

~Below the line~

Buccaneers 57%

Ravens 55%

Falcons 42%

Cowboys 37%

Dolphins 36%

Now the line changes from week to week as the season goes on, but I can tell you that there is an 83.6% probability that at least 5 of these home teams lose their game. And the teams below the line have a much greater chance of being those lucky teams.

 

The Panthers may be on the road, but the numbers show the Bucs are the ones at a disadvantage.

[Guest LavonteDavid]

Oh, nice. I love that Halo game. I play it all the time while I'm on the phone with Luke giving him tips on how to make Tackles for Loss.