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Who to Root for (Week 16)

Leeroy Jenkins Ph.D.

By Leeroy Jenkins Ph.D.,
in Carolina Panthers

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Leeroy Jenkins Ph.D. Rising Star

Leeroy Jenkins Ph.D.

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The Panthers currently have the 11th pick in the draft.  We are currently 5-9 and have an estimated Strength of Schedule (SOS) of .547, only 2 teams higher (Bengals and Falcons).  This matters because the first tie-breaker for draft position is SOS, with lower SOS getting better draft position. 

There are currently 5 other teams at 5-9, and one team  at 4-9-1. The Panthers could possibly move in front of these teams if they win and we lose.  The following are the games that matter for draft position.

Games that directly influence our draft position:

Raiders @ Chargers: A Chargers win would give them 6 wins on the year directly improving the Panthers draft position.

Steelers @ Jets: A Jets win would give them 6 wins on the year directly improving the Panthers draft position.

Jaguars @ Falcons: A Jaguars win would give them 6 wins on the year directly improving the Panthers draft position.  If the Falcons lose, they remain at 5 wins, but behind the Panthers in draft position given they have a better SOS. This win would slightly hurt our SOS as we have played the Falcons twice and the Jaguars only once. 

Cardinals @ Seahawks: A Cardinals win would move their record to 5-9-1 giving them a half game lead on the Panthers and directly improving the Panthers draft position. Because we played both teams, either team winning will have a null effect on our SOS. 

Lions @ Broncos: A Broncos win would give them 6 wins on the year directly improving the Panthers draft position. However, if the Lions were to lose 2 in a row, we could possibly move in front of them in week 17, as their record would be 5-10-1 giving us a half game lead. 

Games that have a small influence on our draft position: 

Saints @ Titans: A Saints loss favorably lowers our SOS more than a Titans loss. This also keeps the game against the Saints competitive in week 17. 

Texans @ Buccaneers: A Buccaneers loss favorably lowers our SOS more than a Texans loss.

Giants @ Redskins: A Redskins loss favorably lowers our SOS.

Packers @ Vikings: A Packers loss favorably lowers our SOS.

Ravens @ Browns: A Browns win moves them to 7 wins, just in case we accidently win one of our remaining games. 

Games that have no direct impact on our draft position: 

Rams @ 49ers: Because we played both teams, either team winning will have a null effect on our SOS. 

Chiefs @ Bears

Cowboys @ Eagles

Bengals @ Dolphins

Bills @ Patriots

The Panther currently have the 11th pick in the draft. Given the Panthers lose, the Panthers could move as high as 6th in the draft this weekend given the perfect scenario where the Broncos, Chargers, Jets, Jaguars, and Cardinals all win.  If the Panthers win, they could move as low as 15th in the draft. 

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Leeroy Jenkins Ph.D. Rising Star

Leeroy Jenkins Ph.D.

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Of those games that directly influence our draft position, these are the current vegas odds: 

Lions @ Broncos: Broncos are favored by 7!

Raiders @ Chargers: Chargers are favored by 6.5!!

Steelers @ Jets: Steelers are favored by 3. 

Jaguars @ Falcons: Falcons are favored by 7.

Cardinals @ Seahawks: Seahawks are favored by 10. 

 

FYI, Panthers @ Colts: Colts are favored by 7. 

 

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MHS831 Grand Master

MHS831

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4 hours ago, Leeroy Jenkins Ph.D. said:

Of those games that directly influence our draft position, these are the current vegas odds: 

Lions @ Broncos: Broncos are favored by 7!

Raiders @ Chargers: Chargers are favored by 6.5!!

Steelers @ Jets: Steelers are favored by 3.  SPOILER ALERT

Jaguars @ Falcons: Falcons are favored by 7.

Cardinals @ Seahawks: Seahawks are favored by 10. 

 

FYI, Panthers @ Colts: Colts are favored by 7. 

 

I think the jets could beat the Steelers.

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