Who to Root for (Week 16)

[Leeroy Jenkins Ph.D.]

The Panthers currently have the 11th pick in the draft.  We are currently 5-9 and have an estimated Strength of Schedule (SOS) of .547, only 2 teams higher (Bengals and Falcons).  This matters because the first tie-breaker for draft position is SOS, with lower SOS getting better draft position. 

There are currently 5 other teams at 5-9, and one team  at 4-9-1. The Panthers could possibly move in front of these teams if they win and we lose.  The following are the games that matter for draft position.

Games that directly influence our draft position:

Raiders @ Chargers: A Chargers win would give them 6 wins on the year directly improving the Panthers draft position.

Steelers @ Jets: A Jets win would give them 6 wins on the year directly improving the Panthers draft position.

Jaguars @ Falcons: A Jaguars win would give them 6 wins on the year directly improving the Panthers draft position.  If the Falcons lose, they remain at 5 wins, but behind the Panthers in draft position given they have a better SOS. This win would slightly hurt our SOS as we have played the Falcons twice and the Jaguars only once. 

Cardinals @ Seahawks: A Cardinals win would move their record to 5-9-1 giving them a half game lead on the Panthers and directly improving the Panthers draft position. Because we played both teams, either team winning will have a null effect on our SOS. 

Lions @ Broncos: A Broncos win would give them 6 wins on the year directly improving the Panthers draft position. However, if the Lions were to lose 2 in a row, we could possibly move in front of them in week 17, as their record would be 5-10-1 giving us a half game lead. 

Games that have a small influence on our draft position: 

Saints @ Titans: A Saints loss favorably lowers our SOS more than a Titans loss. This also keeps the game against the Saints competitive in week 17. 

Texans @ Buccaneers: A Buccaneers loss favorably lowers our SOS more than a Texans loss.

Giants @ Redskins: A Redskins loss favorably lowers our SOS.

Packers @ Vikings: A Packers loss favorably lowers our SOS.

Ravens @ Browns: A Browns win moves them to 7 wins, just in case we accidently win one of our remaining games. 

Games that have no direct impact on our draft position: 

Rams @ 49ers: Because we played both teams, either team winning will have a null effect on our SOS. 

Chiefs @ Bears

Cowboys @ Eagles

Bengals @ Dolphins

Bills @ Patriots

The Panther currently have the 11th pick in the draft. Given the Panthers lose, the Panthers could move as high as 6th in the draft this weekend given the perfect scenario where the Broncos, Chargers, Jets, Jaguars, and Cardinals all win.  If the Panthers win, they could move as low as 15th in the draft. 

[MHS831]

Thanks again, Leeroy.

 

[Captain Obvious]

 

Let's goooooooo.

[Leeroy Jenkins Ph.D.]

Of those games that directly influence our draft position, these are the current vegas odds: 

Lions @ Broncos: Broncos are favored by 7!

Raiders @ Chargers: Chargers are favored by 6.5!!

Steelers @ Jets: Steelers are favored by 3. 

Jaguars @ Falcons: Falcons are favored by 7.

Cardinals @ Seahawks: Seahawks are favored by 10. 

 

FYI, Panthers @ Colts: Colts are favored by 7. 

 

[mc52beast]

I’m expecting the Panthers to win against the Colts and end up with six wins. Hopefully that doesn’t drop us too far out of the top 10.

[Snake]

Well let's hope the defense keeps giving up points and the offense keeps giving up INTs. It would be a very good time to rest CMC as well. 

[Leeroy Jenkins Ph.D.]

5 minutes ago, Snake said:

Well let's hope the defense keeps giving up points and the offense keeps giving up INTs. It would be a very good time to rest CMC as well. 

Can we wait to rest CMC until week 17 and my fantasy football championship game is over? 

[qazsazsaz]

2 hours ago, mc52beast said:

I’m expecting the Panthers to win against the Colts and end up with six wins. Hopefully that doesn’t drop us too far out of the top 10.

Almost impossible....

[Mr. Scot]

Nice information, dude.

Just sucks that it matters...

[MHS831]

4 hours ago, Leeroy Jenkins Ph.D. said:

Of those games that directly influence our draft position, these are the current vegas odds: 

Lions @ Broncos: Broncos are favored by 7!

Raiders @ Chargers: Chargers are favored by 6.5!!

Steelers @ Jets: Steelers are favored by 3.  SPOILER ALERT

Jaguars @ Falcons: Falcons are favored by 7.

Cardinals @ Seahawks: Seahawks are favored by 10. 

 

FYI, Panthers @ Colts: Colts are favored by 7. 

 

I think the jets could beat the Steelers.

[Pimpdaddy]

i want a fkin top 10 pick so marty can maintain his status of one of thee greatest evaluators of college talent ...

 

[Sir Purr]

Do you guys normally stay in the room and watch or do you film it and watch later? 

[Leeroy Jenkins Ph.D.]

16 hours ago, Sir Purr said:

Do you guys normally stay in the room and watch or do you film it and watch later? 

The last one to finish has to eat the biscuit.

[bmoshx]

I'm expecting a Chargers and Broncos win.  I don't see the Jags beating the Falcons or the Jets beating Pitt.  As long as the Panthers don't mess up and get a win, top 10 is a real nice probability.