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Week 18 Game Thread: Cats vs Birds


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Patriots had the 1st draft pick locked with a loss today... but they won anyways. So yeah, draft position certainly matters to fans and front office people but coaches and players? if they care even a little, they'll try to win. 

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Just now, LinvilleGorge said:

I would rather draft #1 overall than later on the draft. Moral victories can't be measured. Draft capital can be. One has real value. The other is cope.

human psychology is real. growth being a multistep process is real. wins begat more wins by building confidence and growth. you can’t build a winning program by losing. 

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1 minute ago, LinvilleGorge said:

The Tampa game made the result of our game irrelevant. The Falcons were out no matter what.

Our game made the result of that game equally irrelevant.

The Falcons needed two things to happen to make the playoffs. The fact that the one they had an active role in didn't is because of us.

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2 minutes ago, Mother Grabber said:

human psychology is real. growth being a multistep process is real. wins begat more wins by building confidence and growth. you can’t build a winning program by losing. 

Tell tht to the Colts. Peyton Manning was the #1 pick in 1998.

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2 minutes ago, Mother Grabber said:

human psychology is real. growth being a multistep process is real. wins begat more wins by building confidence and growth. you can’t build a winning program by losing. 

100% if draft capital were so important why do organizations like the Steelers, who never kick in the the top 10 find a way to compete year after year? Above all they have a culture. 

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Just now, Mr. Scot said:

Our game made the result of that game equally irrelevant.

The Falcons needed two things to happen to make the playoffs. The fact that the one they had an active role in didn't is because of us.

There's some really bad logic going on in this thread. LOL!

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    • You might want to look at that table again.  Round 2 has the least QB's taken in that time period. What is more interesting is how the "darts at a dart board" happens in the 6th and 7th round. Those are the 2nd and 3rd most frequently drafted rounds for NFL QB's.  If you are strictly using my criteria for "success" it does lend credence to that not being an awful strategy. At 17-21% chance to get a bare minimum of 30+ starts OR a 5+ year career. That's pretty good for a very throwaway pick. I don't know how that would compare to other positions. I would maybe have to adapt what I have done to something like PFR's Career AV to set a line that accomplished roughly the same result as I have from the spreadsheet. If I can get to a number value, applying this to each position wouldn't be that hard. Not sure how "fair" that is without making some adjustment based on averages for each position. I would have to do that as well, I think. A positional "handicap" of sorts.
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