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Carolina Panthers at Detroit Lions Stats and Thoughts

Jeremy Igo

By Jeremy Igo,
in Carolina Panthers

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Jeremy Igo Newbie

Jeremy Igo

Posted
Posted

Here is a statistical snapshot of this week's Carolina Panthers at Detroit Lions game.

car-det.jpg

 

Random Thoughts

Matt Stafford is having a pretty decent year under the radar.

On paper, this is a Carolina Panthers victory.

Detroit defense is ranked 4th in sacks per pass play. Pittsburgh was also highly ranked here. Result was not great.

There is every opportunity for the Carolina Panthers to get back on track here. Detroit is pedestrian both in the passing and run game. They also allow a ton of sacks. No excuses for the D. They need to rebound in a huge way if they want to earn any respect.

 

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Snake Grand Master

Snake

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3 minutes ago, Jeremy Igo said:

I dunno. Road games in the NFL are rarely easy. I would be happy with a solid 4 quarters and a 3 point victory honestly.

I have no fear that Cam and Co can drop 35 on this team. Especially because it's basically NEs defense. I'm also confident that Stafford is the worst QB to have with a even bad Panthers defense. He's not your low risk Dink and dunk guy that kills us. 

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RumHam Veteran

RumHam

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On 11/14/2018 at 10:12 AM, Jeremy Igo said:

I dunno. Road games in the NFL are rarely easy. I would be happy with a solid 4 quarters and a 3 point victory honestly.

if we want to squeak into the playoffs and lose immediately by 40, sure. We need 40+ and to hold to less than 20. Honestly, looking at their playmakers, we're about the same in those terms. If we don't tackle, it's over. Norv needs to get the checkdown option back out there. 

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GusLevy Newbie

GusLevy

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The beatdown in Pitt was a nice example of the home team running away with it on Thur night as soon as the road team makes a few miscues. The failed jumping of the route on Pitt’s first play, the silly penalty on the ensuing return, and Cam’s rookie mistake to heave the ball into the middle of the field rather than taking the safety started another familiar Thur night landslide.

Short week’s preparation, a hostile national TV home crowd, the glitter of the lights...two straight Thur night 31pt beatdowns for the road team.

Fortunes change fast in the NFL. About 3 weeks ago, Det was 3-3 and facing a stumbling SEA team at home. Today, Det is 3-6 with little hope of finishing with a winning record.

The exact metrics for this game feel irrelevant given the Pitt disaster for Car and Det’s all too familiar mid-season swoon. 

Det is again reliant on Stafford to keep them in games with a middling Rush game (101yds/game) and another weak defense. The obvious key in this game will be for Car strong Run game to keep the ball away from Stafford and the home AstroTurf. The 3rd ranked Rush offense vs the 5th worst Rush defense will determine the story of this game. 

This must be a game where Car plays smart and disciplined. Stafford at home has beaten Brady’s PATS and Rodgers’s Pack this year at home and were able to control the clock. Car weakness is Pass D so to give Stafford too many chances invites a predictable home dog win both SU and ATS.

Both teams are good with Penalties and TOs so can not rely on mistakes from the other side to give opportunities. As is the most typical refrain this year for Car: They must play good red-zone defense. A shootout where the teams trade TDs all day long will benefit Det’s odds.

65% of the cash is going to Car in this game and I too will give the pts with Car. A Stafford win at home would not shock me though.

 

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