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Todd McShay: Fournette drops to 7, will be a Carolina Panther.


nctarheel0619

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1 minute ago, Captain Morgan said:

we gotta hope the QB's blow up the combine.

This, we need Kizer, Watson and Mitch to all ball out

 

I know Kizer didn't have a great year, but I could see a team falling in love with his physique. Coming from a UNC fan I wouldn't draft Mitch, but I'm praying a QB needy team falls in love with his deep ball. 

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22 minutes ago, GoobyPls said:

Fournette isn't getting pass the jags 

They just drafted yeldon. 

Have some words. .

Leonard Fournette - LSU 
What's there to say about a back whose been hyped as the next Peterson since he was 16? You can watch his film and see every possible thing the NFL could ask of him whether that's running power blocking with a hard first step or waiting in zone then cutting immediately into a hole. It's always DEs that get their first steps talked about since it often describes how fast you get over the line, but RBs really need it even moreso considering it dictates whether or not they're getting to a block in progress or after a lineman can disengage. His top-end speed for a back playing around 225-230 is impressive. Realistically, you don't need more top-end speed out of him, since the only guys catching him at that point are giving up 30 pounds to him. and might be out of position from the start depending on how his receivers block. I also love his power which really just seems to be a product of him always being the low man at contact and will probably keep him from any crazy upper-body injuries at the next level. When he gets up to speed, you do not want to be the one man in his way because he can go both through you and around you. He's shown pretty solid hands out of the backfield, though he rounds routes off a lot since LBs just don't cover him well. That'll have to get some work at the next level, but the thought of him running a wheel route at speed with precision is jaw dropping. The one thing I really don't like right now is his blocking ability. LSU didn't ask him to do it a lot, but he got by in those situations on pure physicality rather than any good technique. As a result, he's going to limit your play-action ability and be an initial tell as to whether you're willing to run in certain situations. His durability will be a concern too since he's had nagging leg injuries that are a bit concerning for a young RB. He didn't pick up quite the burn expected this year as a result, but his physicals will be extremely important. If I were a team in the top 7-8 with an established or recently drafted QB, I pick him every time. He'll draw the Peterson comparisons in terms of his potential as a prospect, but I think his actual playing style and likely projection is a bit closer to Steven Jackson who was a similar back in terms of physical ability but ran at a much lower pad level and was much more useful as a receiving threat at the expense of below average blocking.

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4 minutes ago, electro's horse said:

They just drafted yeldon. 

Have some words. .

Leonard Fournette - LSU 
What's there to say about a back whose been hyped as the next Peterson since he was 16? You can watch his film and see every possible thing the NFL could ask of him whether that's running power blocking with a hard first step or waiting in zone then cutting immediately into a hole. It's always DEs that get their first steps talked about since it often describes how fast you get over the line, but RBs really need it even moreso considering it dictates whether or not they're getting to a block in progress or after a lineman can disengage. His top-end speed for a back playing around 225-230 is impressive. Realistically, you don't need more top-end speed out of him, since the only guys catching him at that point are giving up 30 pounds to him. and might be out of position from the start depending on how his receivers block. I also love his power which really just seems to be a product of him always being the low man at contact and will probably keep him from any crazy upper-body injuries at the next level. When he gets up to speed, you do not want to be the one man in his way because he can go both through you and around you. He's shown pretty solid hands out of the backfield, though he rounds routes off a lot since LBs just don't cover him well. That'll have to get some work at the next level, but the thought of him running a wheel route at speed with precision is jaw dropping. The one thing I really don't like right now is his blocking ability. LSU didn't ask him to do it a lot, but he got by in those situations on pure physicality rather than any good technique. As a result, he's going to limit your play-action ability and be an initial tell as to whether you're willing to run in certain situations. His durability will be a concern too since he's had nagging leg injuries that are a bit concerning for a young RB. He didn't pick up quite the burn expected this year as a result, but his physicals will be extremely important. If I were a team in the top 7-8 with an established or recently drafted QB, I pick him every time. He'll draw the Peterson comparisons in terms of his potential as a prospect, but I think his actual playing style and likely projection is a bit closer to Steven Jackson who was a similar back in terms of physical ability but ran at a much lower pad level and was much more useful as a receiving threat at the expense of below average blocking.

So what? The also signed Ivory this offseason. It's obvious they don't believe in Yeldon.

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14 minutes ago, SOJA said:

This, we need Kizer, Watson and Mitch to all ball out

 

I know Kizer didn't have a great year, but I could see a team falling in love with his physique. Coming from a UNC fan I wouldn't draft Mitch, but I'm praying a QB needy team falls in love with his deep ball. 

He's accurate man.  So, I could see him getting drafted early, somewhere.  

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1 hour ago, CRA said:

Watson post Pitt game finally looks like the Watson I thought would represent all season.  Can't figure it out but something had been off with him all season.  He was still ballling but there was always a tad off all season.   That hurt his stock IMO.  His downfield throws most of this season had been consistently iffy.  I know he had a lot of Ginn type drops but his ball placement downfield was off.

It's the idgaf I'm only here for one more season and the only thing that matters doesn't start until damn near 2017 syndrome. He'll be fine

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1 hour ago, nctarheel0619 said:

My opinion, you can't go wrong with Cook, Foreman, Fournette, and McCaffrey.  I even think Joe Mixon from OU would be a good get as well.  Phenomenal receiver out of the backfield.  

If I drafted McCaffrey, I wouldn't use him as a back in our system.  I think it would be a waste of his talent.  I'd put him in the slot full-time, and I think he'd be a stud there.  Some WCO will use him as a back, and he'll probably be a stud there as well.

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Watson is the #5 QB and graded out as a 2nd or 3rd rounder. 

It would be interesting to see what Carolina does if Kizer is sitting there when the Panthers go on the clock. A couple teams I can think of would be willing to trade a few picks for him if Carolina wanted to dangle him on the end of a hook. 

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IMO my perfect scenario is either Myles Garrett, Leonard Fournette, or Jamal Adams.  Unless something happens unexpected and the QBs dominate the combine I don't see Garrett or Allen falling to us.  I think a Fournette pick is a game changer.  Adams would be the lockdown safety we've needed for years now. 

My feeling is anyone we would be looking at at our pick will mostly likely be gone.  I think there isn't a top 10 LT.  If Adams, Fournette, and the stud DEs are gone.  I would trade back into the teens pick up a 2nd and 3rd rounder draft D'Onta Freeman, Royce Freeman, etc. in later rounds.  Could still potentially get Adams in the teens or Dalvin Cook in the teens.

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    • This is something that has irritated me for a while. I'm going to address his play during these "game winning drives," 8 of them apparently, clear up some nomenclature, and address some points specifically. The games in question.  Also responding to this  What is a Game Winning Drive? This is an undefined term and therefore can be whatever the person using it wants it to be. The term itself removes context from a result which lends itself to be used by people arguing in bad faith. Some people like to attribute every time Bryce is on the field in a situation like this to him "winning the game," or just kind of associating him with a "Game Winning Drive" and leaving it open ended. There's no criteria for what a GWD is. If you had a spectrum of what this could encompass it, on one end you'd have a single player being responsible, and on the other you'd have all 11. Put another way, a QB going 9/9 for 99 yards and rushing the final yard himself is on one end of the spectrum, and on the other is the blocking tight end who was just kinda there. Hey, he was on the field too.  For these purposes, I'm going to hedge and say a GWD is something you know when you see it. I'm not going to claim Bryce hasn't had one, but I'm absolutely not going to give him credit for every one of them. Reasonable people can disagree at the margins, but generally I think we'll be in accord more than not. I also want to look at the context of these, because I think we need to keep in mind how the team got to that position. There's a certain "mystique" about the term game winning drive. Like all of a sudden, when the game is on the line, the QB just turns it on and becomes a better player and blah blah blah. Nothing else matters because he Just Wins Games It neatly ignores the circumstances that led to a team needing a last second drive against some of the worst teams in the league, and this should be taken into consideration. This was an argument made in favor of Delhomme for years...until a certain game that we won't mention.  In reality, defenses are tired by the end of the game, defensive coordinators will generally give up yards in exchange for clock, and offensive playcallers will be more aggressive. That's really it.  But Fiz, why now? Why tonight? People are building this narrative about Bryce Young because it allows them to overlook the rest of his performance, his role in getting the team into whatever hole they're trying to crawl out of, and minimizing the contributions of everyone else (or assigning blame to players other than him) to make him look like he's better than he is/being let down. People in the national media with motivations I can only speculate on are doing this and it's irritating. Also it's very slow at work tonight and it's either this or reruns of ER.  I'll be looking at the final drives here (more or less) when the Panthers were in a position to win or tie. I'll also be adding some context as a I go. So lets just look at these.  2023 Houston at Carolina - 5/10 41 yds, FG  The Panthers drove to the Houston 44, then ran it 6 times in a row for the final 12 yards before the Texans started diving offsides. Panthers weren't just killing clock; Bryce had already taken one sack on the drive (six on the day!), and I don't think any of us feel like Pineiro had a 60 yarder in him in 2023. He did have 5 FG in him though, which is all the scoring the Panthers could muster. It was enough.  Game Winning Drive: eh, Bryce didn't really cover himself in glory here. If you think getting the team into range for a 60 yard attempt before letting the RB finish the job is a GWD, then we're going to have some problems. I'm generally kinda dubious of the whole "wow he set up a long range field goal for the win what a legend." Why yes early career Tom Brady was a fraud carried by Adam Vinatieri why do you ask  Atlanta at Carolina - 5/6 53 yds, GW FG Game Winning Drive: yeah, I think so. It was a miserable 9-6 win against the Desmond Ridder led Atlanta Falcons. Prior to this final drive, Bryce was a whopping 13/18 for 114 yds and the offense had managed 6 whole points. Hard for me to say here they weren't in the position to need a GWD because of how ineffective Bryce was. That said, I think it's fair he did this one on his own. Credit where credit's due little guy, you did it.  2024 New Orleans at Carolina - 1/4, 38 yds Game Winning Drive: not really. Panthers win 23-22. 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I don't want to re-litigate this. Briefly, the Dolphins have a historically bad defense, the Panthers were only trailing because of how badly Bryce played, the defense bailed the team out, and Rico was clearly the MVP. Trying to sneak this into a narrative about Bryce and his game winning drives is an attempt to hide how completely dogshit he was for most of the game. On second half drives to start, Bryce went.... 0/1 passing, took a sack, FG 2/3 passing, 18 yards, Delay of Game on Bryce, punt 2/2 passing, 16 yards, took a sack, punt  1/3 passing, 4 yards, punt  1/1 passing, 4 yds, 2 defensive penalties, 43 yd run by Rico, 1 yd TD run Absolutely dismal performance Dallas at Carolina - 3/6, 25 yards, FG  Game Winning Drive: Panthers had 34 yards rushing on this drive, and Rico rushed for more yards on the day than Bryce threw. People will want to point to the 7 yard slant to Renfrow, but that's one moment. Why do you need a 4th down conversion to kick a game winning FG against the worst defense in the league? The Renfrow catch is just as meaningful as the DPI (again) on 3rd and 7. Hard for me to say yeah Bryce gets credit for this and Rico doesn't. or Ryan Fitzgerald. People aren't going to be telling stories about where they were when Bryce got 25 yards passing to set up a 30 yard FG to beat the worst defense in the league.  Conclusion I'd say low end 3, high end 6 for what I'd actually credit Bryce for with having a game winning drive. Absolutely not for the Giants and Cardinals game. Saints game probably not.  As far as questioning which games need a GWD because of Bryce, I'd argue Miami, New York, 2023 Atlanta, and Houston definitely. League average QB play and you don't need the heroics. Bryce had multiple chances to seal the game against the Cardinals in 2024 and couldn't do it. The defense picked off the Cardinals late in the 4th quarter at their 11 yard line after the Panthers went 3 and out, including a classic Bryce check down short of the line to gain on 3rd.  About half of the time, it looks like these GWD, whomever is responsible for them, are happening in part because of what Bryce did or didn't do. I don't think league average QB play is too much to ask for. Panthers usually win these games despite of Bryce; he's an obstacle to be overcome.  Stats Taken in totality, in these situations Bryce's stats are  7 games 17/26 passing for 233, 1 TD  65% completion rating  13 ypc 8.9 ypa I'm not going to compare this to league average, I'm just going to point out you'd expect someone with 8 GWD to have more than 1 TD.  Other side of this  but what about the games in a similar situation where they DIDN'T win? Shouldn't we look at those games too? 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    • Best RB tandem in Panther history (at least for a few weeks)
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