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NFL.com Prospect Grades?

section543

By section543,
in Carolina Panthers

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section543 Enthusiast

section543

Posted
Posted

So how much stock do you put into these ratings?

Barkley, Nelson, Edmunds, Chubb and Darnold are the only ones rated between 7-7.5

Ridley, Roquan Smith, Vea, Fitzpatrick, and Payne are the next at 6.5-6.9

21 players from 6-6.4

9.00-10 Once-in-lifetime player
8.00-9.00 Perennial All-Pro
7.50-7.99 Future All-Pro
7.00-7.49 Pro Bowl to All-Pro Ability
6.50-6.99 Good NFL Starter with Pro Bowl Potential
6.00-6.49

Chance to become good NFL starter

   
   
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AU-panther Mentor

AU-panther

Posted
Posted

Depends on how you look at it.

I'm sure they know that more then 10 players will end up making the pro bowl but that isn't the point of the grades for the entire class, its the chance for each player to achieve a certain level..  Use Sutton for example, what is more likely to happen?  He becomes a quality starter or a quality starter that makes a pro bowl?  If you had to bet your paycheck on it you would probably say quality starter, but if you have 10 players like that you know some will overachieve the grades.  I would also think that once you get past 30 players or so the odds go below 50% of the player becoming a quality starter.

Here again you aren't trying to predict the number of all pros or quality starters in a draft.  You are predicting what is most likely going to happen to each player on their own. 

Some players will beat the odds so the overall numbers will be higher then the original projection but when you view each player on their own, before the fact, I can see the point of the rankings.

Either way I tend to  look at the grades, just as not projections of what they can become, but also a way to organize the players into tiers.  I think understating the tiers in a draft helps you navigate it more efficiently.

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Shocker Grand Master

Shocker

Posted
Posted
22 hours ago, section543 said:

So how much stock do you put into these ratings?

Barkley, Nelson, Edmunds, Chubb and Darnold are the only ones rated between 7-7.5

Ridley, Roquan Smith, Vea, Fitzpatrick, and Payne are the next at 6.5-6.9

21 players from 6-6.4

9.00-10 Once-in-lifetime player
8.00-9.00 Perennial All-Pro
7.50-7.99 Future All-Pro
7.00-7.49 Pro Bowl to All-Pro Ability
6.50-6.99 Good NFL Starter with Pro Bowl Potential
6.00-6.49

Chance to become good NFL starter

   
   

They had Kamera at 5.9 last year.  Ross 6.1.  OJ Howard 6.5.  Anyway, its just a rating by them.  Doesn't mean a lot.

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Captain Morgan Grand Master

Captain Morgan

Posted
Posted
22 hours ago, LinvilleGorge said:

Seriously?

 

there are several posters here who think Nick Chubb is a first rounder.  They've been posting for months, despite not one single mock draft or player ranking having him not even close to 1st round material.

 

I don't get it, but huddle is gonna huddle.

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stirs Grand Master

stirs

Posted
Posted
6 minutes ago, Captain Morgan said:

 

there are several posters here who think Nick Chubb is a first rounder.  They've been posting for months, despite not one single mock draft or player ranking having him not even close to 1st round material.

 

I don't get it, but huddle is gonna huddle.

Who knows, there might be only one RB and on WR taken in the first this year.  Will be quite unusual

I think we could get Chubb in the 3rd

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