Corona Virus

[jfra78]

9 minutes ago, Bytes said:

First,
KatzAzz stated:
"It also doesn’t note that COVID-19 is far less deadly than the flu in the United States."

So I assumed he knew the DEATH RATE if he stated this. By the way U.S. health officials have stated COVID-19 is 10 times deadlier. 

Secondly you referred to testing as part of the death rate. Testing has nothing to do with death rate, testing is part of THE RATE OF INFECTION. 2 completely different things. 

Well you have to know how many are infected vs how many die to get the mortality rate.

The death rate for the flu is believed to be around .01%, where as the death rate for Coronavirus is believed to be anywhere between 1% and 3%

[TylerDurden]

5 hours ago, Bronn said:

I saw the same. He's still somewhat quarantined, though. But his wife didn't get it at all (yet.)

Yeah, I find it fascinating that I keep reading about entire households that are getting it, like in Wuhan, and yet there is one family member that doesn't develop it.  I don't know if it's genetic or environmental, but it's worth finding out once the smoke clears.

[LinvilleGorge]

27 minutes ago, GRWatcher said:

No. Australia hasn't seen rate drop offs so counting on warm weather is misleading. The reason those countries contained it well is that they tested almost everyone so they saw the trends and enacted containment protocols before it exploded. The US is sitting here without adequate testing so we have no data and can't see the trends early. It's gonna' be like shooting fish in a barrel.

Australia barely has over 100 cases. We don't have nearly enough information on their outbreak yet to make any determination at all. Cold/flu doesn't go away in the summer either, but it's drastically reduced. Since we have no herd immunity resistance to a novel virus, "drastically reduced" is going to be relative to spreading like wildfire.

[Happy Panther]

11 minutes ago, Bytes said:

 Testing has nothing to do with death rate.

The death rate, better known as mortality rate, is defined as deaths/cases. Deaths is pretty hard to miss. May miss a handful but when you die the coroner figures out what killed you. Cases can only be accurately defined with widespread testing. Either everyone or everyone with symptoms. The US has been refusing to test people unless they came back from a danger area such as China.

The mortality rate in the US was close to 5% a few days ago. In South Korea where they do extensive testing it is .6%. South Korea administers like 150 times as many tests per capita than we do.

So no.

[DFive]

2 minutes ago, Proudiddy said:

Yeah, I find it fascinating that I keep reading about entire households that are getting it, like in Wuhan, and yet there is one family member that doesn't develop it.  I don't know if it's genetic or environmental, but it's worth finding out once the smoke clears.

Yeah, that happens.  The person likely has a natural immunity to it.  This happened back in the days of the Black Plague.  While most of the world was affected, some people did not get sick and die.  Their bodies were able to fight off the pathogen.  People like that are special, because their blood can be used to synthesize a possible vaccine but the WHO is already closing in on one as the virus' genome has been mapped.

[philit99]

3 minutes ago, LinvilleGorge said:

Australia barely has over 100 cases. We don't have nearly enough information on their outbreak yet to make any determination at all. Cold/flu doesn't go away in the summer either, but it's drastically reduced. Since we have no herd immunity resistance to a novel virus, "drastically reduced" is going to be relative to spreading like wildfire.

However, Tom Hanks and his wife have contracted the disease while they were in Australia. Out of all the people in Australia he managed to get it, so he and his wife are 2 out of the 100 reported? If you don’t report it, then the numbers will not change that much.

[TylerDurden]

5 minutes ago, DFive said:

Yeah, that happens.  The person likely has a natural immunity to it.  This happened back in the days of the Black Plague.  While most of the world was affected, some people did not get sick and die.  Their bodies were able to fight off the pathogen.  People like that are special, because their blood can be used to synthesize a possible vaccine but the WHO is already closing in on one as the virus' genome has been mapped.

Yeah, have always been intrigued by these cases.  The Omega Men (and women).

[LinvilleGorge]

1 minute ago, philit99 said:

However, Tom Hanks and his wife have contracted the disease while they were in Australia. Out of all the people in Australia he managed to get it, so he and his wife are 2 out of the 100 reported? If you don’t report it, then the numbers will not change that much.

Here ya go:

• 15 of the initially reported cases in Australia all had a direct or indirect travel history to Wuhan, China
• 10 cases, including 1 death, are associated with the Diamond Princess cruise ship repatriation flight from Japan
• 18 cases are reported to have had a direct or indirect travel link to Iran
• 52 cases are reported to have had a direct or indirect travel link to countries including the United States of America, United Arab Emirates, the United Kingdom, Italy, Iceland, Singapore, Thailand, the Republic of Korea, Japan, Indonesia, Philippines, Taiwan, Cuba, Trinidad and Tobago, Nepal, Egypt, Austria, France, Spain, Hong Kong
  • 7 of these cases are considered to be import-related
• 28 cases, including 2 deaths, do not have a reported history of overseas travel
  • 8 of these cases are associated with an aged care facility in NSW. 2 residents of this facility have sadly died
  • 2 cases are either directly or indirectly associated with attendance at a workshop
  • 18 cases are close contacts of known cases, with further details pending
• The likely place of exposure for a further 3 newly reported cases is under investigation

[LinvilleGorge]

That also highlights how well another country is tracking their infections to try to identify routes of community spread where as a lot of the cases here results in a big old shrug of the shoulders as to where and how they were infected. The most likely answer to that is probably that it's simply already widespread in our communities.

[philit99]

Great job getting the info. My point is that it is impossible to know how Tom Hanks contracted the virus. Less than 100 people means the odds are slim that he met with an individual in your list. So how did he get it? He got it from someone that is not listed or counted yet as they have not been tested. Same thing over here in the states. This disease is at least a week ahead of what is being reported.

[LinvilleGorge]

2 minutes ago, philit99 said:

Great job getting the info. My point is that it is impossible to know how Tom Hanks contracted the virus. Less than 100 people means the odds are slim that he met with an individual in your list. So how did he get it? He got it from someone that is not listed or counted yet as they have not been tested. Same thing over here in the states. This disease is at least a week ahead of what is being reported.

Yeah, there are definitely a lot of unidentified cases everywhere. But, he was there shooting a movie so he was probably hanging out with a bunch of high flying globe trotters. Good chance he was exposed due to contact from someone who isn't Australian.

[4Corners]

The idiot, incompetent braizilian President has tested positive for the virus days after visiting trump and pence in Florida and mocking the virus. You can’t make this poo up. Why haven’t trump and pence taken a test?

[LinvilleGorge]

1 minute ago, 4Corners said:

The idiot, incompetent braizilian President has tested positive for the virus days after visiting trump and pence in Florida and mocking the virus. You can’t make this poo up. Why haven’t trump and pence taken a test?

A) They have, they're positive, and they don't want to disclose it.

B) Because they're complete morons who want to continue to keep their heads buried in the sand on this.

Pick one.

[LegioX]

2 minutes ago, 4Corners said:

The idiot, incompetent braizilian President has tested positive for the virus days after visiting trump and pence in Florida and mocking the virus. You can’t make this poo up. Why haven’t trump and pence taken a test?

They are both the President and Vice President of THE US of A. If you think for one second they haven’t been tested or monitored 24/7 you have your head in the sand.