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Bill Barnwell ranks the Panthers offseason as 7th worst


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On 6/9/2021 at 10:57 PM, Peon Awesome said:

in no universe does the 20th pick, a future 1st and 2 4ths get you the #1 pick. So to say that us not trading with Chicago means we thought Horn was more valuable than a #1 overall pick is absurd. 

He did some true mental gymnastics.  First you have to throw out the Jimmy Johnson draft values and use the Chase Stuart numbers.  Then you have to assume that the value of picks in the future are the same as the value of picks today (which they aren't).   He also assumed we were given this offer, you know, because they must have.

If you use his logic of taking the last pick in the future rounds you have picks 20, 32, 144, 164, you get values of 15.5, 12.5, 3 and 2.1 for a total of 33.1, not 33.5 as he reported.  Even so, a  first rounder is 34.6 on the Stuart chart, so just about a 1st rounder.

If you use the JJ chart you get 850, 590, 34, 25.8 for a sum a 1499.8 which equals a number 7 pick.

Even if we did get this offer, it was NOT worth it to take it.

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