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Official Sound off like you got a pair Panthers Draft predictions thread


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2 hours ago, MasterAwesome said:

If you're modeling the relationship between two variables (i.e. weight and injury risk, in this case), then it doesn't really matter if you're encountering a new data point that is the lowest on record (i.e. Bryce Young's size).  Your model doesn't suddenly crash and burn and become invalidated.  In the simplest terms, I'm sure once upon a time you've heard of the formula Y = mx + b.  Y is your dependent variable (injury risk), m is your slope (basically how impactful weight is for injury risk), x is your independent variable (weight), and b is a constant.  So if there is truly a statistically significant correlation between weight and injury risk, then even if Bryce Young was 40 pounds, you can still plug that into your model and determine the injury risk.  It's very basic statistical analysis/linear regression.

Also even if there was never a sub-200 pound QB in the history of the league, you can still determine if there's a correlation between size and injury risk.  Do 200 pound QBs get more injured than 220 pound QBs, who get more injured than 240 pound QBs?  

But he refers to "common sense".  Game, set, match.  Doesn't that trump all facts, data, and evidence?

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On 4/20/2023 at 10:14 AM, Fright said:

We draft Young....

 

only to regret it by week 6 as Stroud starts to show signs of being elite while Young struggles. 

I’ll void the rookie year but if this is the story next year, and certainly the year after, the entire building needs to be cleaned out and Tepper needs to hire professionals asap.

Personally, I think they both do well. I am more curious about Richardson.

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1st - Bryce Young (QB) - I think we risk the size concerns and bet on his talent of being the best QB in the draft.

2nd - Jack Campbell (LB) - Fills a need at linebacker, plus useful with our new D.C putting him in a position to succeed. 

3rd- Siaki Ika (DT) - added meat as we use him as our centerpiece NT. Being we are transferring to a 3-4, hopefully he falls and we land him late in the third. 

4th - Zack Kuntz (TE) - I think Hayden Hurst is gonna ball in our system. This pick is about his potential as a pass catching threat and late gem. He competes for TE2 in training camp. 

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